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May 19 22 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ Over four years into the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russian commanders have still not beaten their deadliest enemy – the cumbersome centralised bureaucracy of the Russian military. 'Two Majors' gives a flavour of how badly Russian commanders are swamped with paperwork. ⬇️ Image
2/ In an essay titled "On the Need for a Radical Overhaul of the Management System for Security Forces Involved in the Special Military Operation. Thoughts on the Topic, with Some Profanity", one of the contributors to the prominent 'Two Majors' Telegram channel writes:
3/ "▪️ The principle of multitasking and prioritisation. Even before the war, we once asked a young officer from a garrison unit subordinate to ours: why aren’t you working on such-and-such a task, since it’s objectively important?
4/ The answer struck us with its honesty: “The task is important. It’s just that nobody gives a shit about it.”

And indeed. Officers were beaten up over every bit of paperwork: plan implementation reports, logs, annual targets, more plans—but this time from higher-ups.
5/ "Staff officers demonstrated their work like this: “Look how many directives we’ve issued! Look how many meetings we’ve held! Look at all the reports we’ve received from below!” The statistics were rising, but the actual work process was deteriorating.
6/ "More accurately, it was being replaced by a simulacrum. Oh well. It was peacetime; there was no need to rush.
7/▪️“War is war, but they’ll hold us accountable for the reports.” By the first half of 2022, when jokes started up again in the smoking rooms of the rear units, everyone remembered about reporting.
8/ "The start of the special military operation went “under the radar” for everyone, so the lion’s share of peacetime decisions hadn’t been canceled.
9/ "In other words, the grueling first months of the war had passed, there were a couple of months left before mobilisation, and rear units—and not-so-rear units—were bogged down in paperwork.
10/ "Although earlier there had been verbal orders to “screw the paperwork, everything for the guys on the front lines.” And since then, regular reporting to the capital had only been piling up with new paperwork.
11/ "▪️The most alarming thing is that the objectives set out in numerous directives bear no relation whatsoever to the tasks within the Special Military Operation.
12/ Logistical, planning, organisational-administrative, and personnel-related telegrams and letters from higher-ups continue to be baffling. Certain types of consultative collegial bodies, headquarters, and organisational decision-making processes…
13/ …(and without a written decision, any action is illegal, and you’ll later be held accountable by the very same people who gave you verbal permission) simply do not keep pace with the rapidly changing situation.
14/ "▪️Hyper-centralisation is a scourge. Federal executive bodies and their regional offices are so bogged down that the top leader in his sphere receives a written, almost name-by-name breakdown of the agency’s personnel every day,…
15/ …detailing who is working where for the coming 24 hours. As a result, headquarters in the center are overburdened, and Moscow constantly “meddles” in virtually every combat incident. In other words, the strategic level is distracted by solving tactical tasks.
16/ "Come on, a colonel general can’t possibly command a sergeant or warrant officer over the phone who is currently engaged in combat, say, against a UAV or a multiple rocket launcher.
17/ And the headquarters certainly doesn’t need to know at all costs how many tracer rounds the sergeant fired into the sky or water: 15 or 17. But the habit of controlling everything and reporting in the finest detail to create the illusion of control over the situation remains.
18/ "▪️The only possible solution lies in the military-political sphere. Sorry, but nothing will change without a good thrashing from above. Remember how we started this discussion back in the good old days? “No one gives a shit about it.”
19/ "So here’s the thing. As long as they’re beating us up over plans to fix shortcomings, formal reports, and carrying out countless unnecessary orders, the military command system is unlikely to change.
20/ "We need a situation where every action (including in matters of training, combat readiness, educational work, etc.) by a military unit or formation is evaluated based on how it affects the situation within the context of achieving operational objectives.
21/ "Otherwise, we’ll just keep sitting here, pestering headquarters with registration numbers and plans. And the role of headquarters in solving combat tasks will be far from offensive, but rather one of control and reporting for briefings among high-level offices." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

May 18
1/ The steadily increasing number of Ukrainian drones being flown into Russia is a major cause for concern among Russian warbloggers reflecting on the weekend's attack on Moscow. 'Older than Edda' sees Russia's air defences being progressively worn down and overwhelmed. ⬇️ Image
2/ "When assessing the prospects of a "drone war," it's important to understand that massive attacks using a couple thousand or more UAVs per night are just around the corner.
3/ "This means that in selected areas, the enemy will attempt to simply breach air defences by exhausting the missile launchers' ammunition—which, even with timely delivery on launchers, doesn't appear automatically; reloading takes time.
Read 10 tweets
May 18
1/ Could Yevgeny Prigozhin have become Russia's equivalent of Ukraine's Robert 'Madyar' Brovdi if he had been allowed to live? A provocative Russian commentary suggests that Wagner's 'civilian-controlled military' operating model could have been applied more widely by Russia. ⬇️ Image
Image
2/ 'Russian Engineer' writes:

"The answers to the questions are about what changes allowed the enemy to halt the downward trend in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which was clearly evident throughout 2025."
3/ "And now they're striking along the Novorossiya highway, and simultaneously in Moscow and Sevastopol.
Read 14 tweets
May 17
1/ Ukraine's massive penetration of Moscow's air defences is sparking a great deal of gloomy and angry commentary from Russian warbloggers. The military-technical Telegram channel 'Atomic Cherry' warns of an escalating trend of Ukrainian capabilities. ⬇️
2/ "As an interim observation, I will note that the Armed Forces of Ukraine, for the first time in years of the conflict, have succeeded in destroying a number of targets in the Moscow region:

1) Solnechnogorsk loading station;
2) Angstrem JSC enterprise;
3) Elma Technopark;
3/
4) Transneft oil storage facility;
5) Kapotnya oil refinery.

There are a number of statements and testimonies about hits on other targets as well, but listing them all makes no sense. The trend is clear without this.
Read 30 tweets
May 17
1/ The Russian government is warning that the Ukrainians are trying to buy Russian Telegram channels that are now unprofitable after the government's blocking of the app. Russian commentators say it's an inevitable result of the government's restrictive policies. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russia has been severely restricting Telegram since the start of April, as well as making it retrospectively illegal to use Telegram for advertising. This has been a disaster for Russian businesses, for which Telegram was an essential marketing tool.
3/ Individual Telegram bloggers have also faced a collapse in their income from Telegram, both because of the advertising ban and due to the blocking reducing their user bases (though many Russians continue to access it through VPNs). Some are now trying to sell their channels.
Read 33 tweets
May 16
1/ Russia's anti-drone defences are said to be severely hampered by bureaucracy, such as bans on interceptor drones with explosive warheads, and legal liability, which makes mobile fire teams liable for damage caused by shot-down enemy drones. ⬇️
2/ Russian drone developer Alexey Chadayev looks for answers to the eternal question of "where air defence?". He highlights legal and bureaucratic obstacles that he says are major obstacles to the effective protection of facilities that are being targeted by Ukrainian drones:
3/ "A few thoughts on counter-drone defence of rear-area facilities.

1. The very fact that we have legally limited the ability to use explosives to combat drones in the rear leads to an increase, not a decrease, in collateral losses.
Read 12 tweets
May 16
1/ The Poseidon intercontinental nuclear torpedo is a very stupid idea, says Russian writer and blogger Maxim Kalashnikov. He lambasts it as a huge waste of Russia's resources which is likely to be highly vulnerable to interception and wholly ineffective in practice. ⬇️ Image
2/ Recent reports that the much-hyped Poseidon will soon be undergoing sea trials on a purpose-built carrier submarine have attracted a scathing response from Kalashnikov. He bluntly dismisses it as a very expensive and militarily pointless propaganda exercise:
3/ "I look upon the cult of the “Poseidon” torpedo with disdain. Is it aimed at complete idiots whose minds have been shaped by Hollywood and who’ve forgotten their high school physics? Or at impressionable retirees?
Read 20 tweets

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