Felix Prehn 🐶 Profile picture
May 20 • 13 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
If you missed Palantir at $20, Intel at $45 or Seagate at $95, you're not alone.

Each stock ran 500-700% in 12 months and most retail investors had no idea.

I went hunting for the next stock like these, and believe these 3 could go on a similar run:🧵
This is for the investor who keeps missing the big winners despite watching CNBC all day and scouring Reddit forums.

By the time stocks show up there, institutions have taken their gains, and retail is buying the top.

I'm sharing 3 that are still early:
Stock #1: Fortinet (FTNT).

AI is making cyber attackers 1,000x more dangerous.

Every Fortune 500 needs a robust firewall to filter out cyber attacks before they hit the network.

Fortinet builds their firewalls on custom chips, which makes them faster and cheaper to run than any software-only competitor.

Recently, their chart hit a new all-time high.
Stock #2: Compass Minerals (CMP)

They mine salt for roads and specialty fertilizer for premium crops.

Hard assets are back in favor as AI disruption fears spread, and recent earnings pulled institutional money back in after years of decline.
Stock #3: MKS Instruments (MKSI)

Every country is spending hundreds of billions to build their own chip factories to stay ahead of the AI race.

MKS makes the tools inside every chip-making machine.

Institutions are already positioning into it.
The pattern under all 3 is the same.

Each one is off everyone’s radar, sitting on a real business with a macro tailwind, and the institutional money has already started rotating in.

That's the exact setup Palantir, Intel, and Seagate had before they ran 500-700%.
Of course, not all these setup work.

Some of these stocks will run, some will stall, and some will reverse and stop out.

That's the cost of this game.

Position accordingly and always have a sell rule before you buy.
Most retail investors who pick the right stocks still lose money on them.

The thesis usually isn't wrong, but there's no rule for when to take profits before the move reverses.

Without one, even the right pick goes to zero.
A sell rule changes how you treat every position you own.

You stop checking losing trades hoping they bounce back.

Every position has a defined exit written down before you ever click buy, which means the portfolio runs on logic instead of hope.

More clarity, less stress.
If you have a system for picking stocks but no system for selling them, that's the piece I'm covering this weekend in a free 2-hour live training.

I'll cover the sell rules I use, the 3 sectors I'm watching, and a live Q&A.

Reserve your spot: felixfriends.org/live-y
An investor who joined last week's training:

"My initial Goat Academy experience was totally opposite of what I call a typical sales pitch. Educational, no hype, no pressure to buy. I had nothing to lose signing up for a free weekend seminar. It was what I needed to succeed." Image
A word of caution: nothing here is financial advice.

The thesis I've outlined comes with real downside risk, like any investment.

The framework is meant to support your own analysis, not replace it.

Do your own research before taking any position.
If this thread changed how you see the market, give me a follow.

Every week I break down the stocks I'm watching, the sectors smart money is rotating into, and the patterns that separate big winners from bags.

More threads like this next week.

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More from @felixprehn

May 19
Bank of America just sent their institutional clients a report.

They outlined three market signals that preceded every big market crash in history is happening right now.

Retail investors probably have no idea about them.

What each one is + why they predict a crash:🧵
The fastest way to know what's coming in this market is to study what's already happened.

Wall Street's biggest banks already did this, because their own capital and their clients' portfolios depend on avoiding the next crash.

Here are the 3 signs BofA is watching:
Sign 1: The Maginot Line

The 30-year Treasury yield just crossed 5% for the first time in over a decade.

BofA calls this the "dam" holding back the bond market.

Once it breaches that level, investors are demanding more from the US government because they sense risk.
Read 17 tweets
May 10
Quantum computing is on track to become an $850 billion industry by 2040, with $65 billion in government money already committed worldwide.

It's in the same window the internet had in 1992 and cloud computer had in 2010.

3 quantum stocks I'm looking at in 2026:🧵
Firstly, governments are treating quantum the same way they're treating AI right now, a race they cannot afford to come second in.

• The US DoE is funding 5 national research centers
• The DoD requested almost $1B for R&D Image
So why is the US suddenly racing to fund it?

A regular computer reads a book one page at a time. A quantum computer reads every page at once.

Whoever builds it first will dominate the next 50 years of finance and defense and the same way the US dominated the internet era.
Read 12 tweets
May 9
There are 8 sectors institutions are positioning TRILLIONS of dollars into right now.

By the time it makes news headlines on CNBC and Bloomberg, their money will have rotated out and retail will be left buying the top.

Here's each sector:🧵
Sector 1: Semiconductors

The global chip market hits $1 trillion this year.

SOXX is the famous ETF play, but CHIPS and BBLU give similar exposure at a fraction of the fees.
Sector 2: Drones and modern defense

Global defense spending hits $2.6T this year, with $50B specifically going into drones.

AeroVironment (AVAV), Red Cat (RCAT) and L3Harris (LHX) sit on this trade.

Also - I broke all 8 sectors down in detail on YouTube.
Read 14 tweets
May 6
The global monetary reset explained in 60 seconds:🧵
Firstly, this thread is a condensed version of the full breakdown of my youtube video.

You can watch it here:

It covers how stable coins are funding US debt, where we are now in this crisis and which 3 assets protect your portfolio.

Let's continue.
The US has $40T in debt.

There are 3 ways it ends for them:

1) Default and crash the economy
2 Cut spending in half and risk a civil war
3) Print money and let inflation shrink it

They chose number 3 because the damage happens slowly enough that regular people don't notice.
Read 14 tweets
May 2
With $40 trillion in debt, a war in the Middle East and rising inflation, the market should've crashed by now.

And if it did, your retirement account would drop 30-40% like it did in 2008.

But 4 forces built into the system prevent this from happening.

Each one explained:🧵
1) The Fed steps in every time

When the market drops, they print money or cut rates.

They've done it since 2008.

Right now, they're printing $40 billion a month and calling it reserve management purchases so nobody notices.
2) Your 401k buying stocks on auto-pilot

60% of all money in the market now comes from passive investing like index funds and 401ks.

In 2010 that number was 19%.

This creates constant buying pressure that cushions every selloff.
Read 11 tweets
Apr 29
Institutional money is rotating out of mega cap tech and into two sectors almost no retail investor has looked at.

I tracked where the capital is flowing and identified 5 stocks positioned to benefit from this rotation.

Here's each stock and why they win:
Firstly, this isn't 2021 where everything went up no matter what you picked.

The macro has changed.

Inflation is sticky, energy is scarce, and wars are reshaping supply chains.

Institutional money already positioned into two sectors: oil services and critical minerals.
Why oil services?

Everything right now points to more drilling and more infrastructure.

• AI needs enormous power to run
• LNG terminals need pipelines and equipment
• War-damaged infrastructure needs rebuilding now

Here are two stocks I'm watching:
Read 14 tweets

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