Felix Prehn 🐶 Profile picture
Ex-Banker. 🏦 No fluff, just frameworks. Teaching the 3-Step Analysis method professional investors use. 🧠 Education & Mentorship. (Not a broker / NFA)
Mar 27 • 15 tweets • 5 min read
Investors don’t realize gold ALWAYS crashes during an oil-driven crisis.

It happened in all major oil shock in the last 50 years - 1973, 1979, 1991, 2001, and 2022.

In this thread, I'll break down exactly why it happens and what institutions expect happens next: It begins with a disruption in oil supply, resulting in:

1) Oil prices spike
2) Inflation expectations rise

But the Fed gets stuck - it can't cut rates anymore.

So bond yields climb, and suddenly US debt paying 5% is more attractive than gold.

Money flows out of gold.
Mar 23 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
The petrodollar system was formed in 1974 to keep the US dollar dominant.

Every country in the world had to buy US dollars to purchase Saudi oil, propping up American economic power.

In this thread, I'm covering how this system is breaking - and how it directly affects you. Firstly, oil is the most important resource in the world that EVERY country needs.

• The fuel filling up your car
• The fertilizer growing your food
• The electricity powering your home

Whoever controls how oil is paid for holds the biggest lever in the global economy.
Mar 4 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
The Iran War is just a distraction.

The Fed is printing $40 billion per month, disguising it as "reserve management purchases" so you won't notice.

They're deliberately inflating their $38T debt away—and it's creating an unprecedented opportunity in 3 specific sectors:🧵 They've renamed money printing 3 times now.

• In 2008 (financial crisis), it was called "quantitative easing"
• In 2020 (COVID), it was "emergency liquidity measures"
• Now it's "reserve management purchases"

Here's what happens EVERY time they print money:
Feb 15 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
Goldman Sachs just revealed their "buy and sell list for software stocks in 2026".

They're not sharing this with retail investors—just their biggest institutional clients.

But I got my hands on the full list.

Here are their winning and losing stocks for this sector: Firstly, they created this list based on which software companies will survive AI.

Their list tells you their 26 winners and 41 losers.

I'm breaking down the companies for each that matter most.
Feb 13 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
$4.7 trillion will flood the US economy in just 9 months—creating the largest wealth transfer in American history.

This is part of Trump's tax plan to inflate their debt away.

Institutions are already positioning for this.

Here's what's happening and how to position too: 🧵 This 4.7 trillion doesn't hit all at once. It flows in five distinct waves.

Wave 1 (Apr-Jun): Tax refunds starting late Feb.
Wave 2 (Jul-Sep): Corporate repatriation
Wave 3 (Q4): Bonus depreciation
Wave 4 (Q4): Capital expenditure boom
Wave 5 (late 2026): Inflation response
Jan 30 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
6 economic trends are colliding in 2026 to create the largest wealth transfer of our generation.

Cash holders will get poorer while asset owners will get richer—at a scale not seen in decades.

Here's the breakdown (thread 4/6): 🧵 If you missed Thread 3/6:

• $1B in critical mineral funding with guaranteed Defense contracts
• US building domestic capacity (LPTH, MP Materials, UKOR)
• 10-year government-backed buildout starting now

Start here first:
Jan 29 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
6 economic trends are colliding in 2026 to create the largest wealth transfer of our generation.

Cash holders will get poorer while asset owners will get richer—at a scale not seen in decades.

Here's the breakdown (thread 3/6):🧵 Let me help you understand what's happening.

The 6 converging economic trends are:

1. $4.7T new money into the US economy
2. Complete tax overhaul
3. Critical minerals
4. AI spending
5. Defense surge
6. Fed cuts

Let’s discuss trend #3—critical minerals:
Jan 27 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
Japan's 30-year bond yield just hit 3.91%—the highest ever recorded since creation.

The US Fed is now propping up the yen to prevent forced selling as Japan sits on $1.2 trillion in Treasuries

Here's why they had no choice (and what happens without it): 🧵 Firstly, here's what's happening in Japan right now:

• They own $1.2Tin US debt—making them the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries.
• Their 250% debt-to-GDP (double the US at 120%).

And how did they get here? Image
Image
Jan 24 • 17 tweets • 5 min read
6 economic trends are colliding in 2026 to create the largest wealth transfer of our generation.

Cash holders will get poorer while asset owners will get richer—at a scale not seen in decades.

Here's the breakdown (thread 1/6):🧵 Let me help you understand what's happening.

The 6 converging economic trends are:

1. $4.7T new money into the US economy
2. Complete tax overhaul
3. Critical minerals independence
4. AI spending
5. Defense surge
6. Fed cuts

Let’s discuss trend #1—the $4.7T new money:
Jan 21 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
Gold's up 65% in just one year—the biggest annual gain in 45 years.

Why?

Central banks worldwide are buying record amounts as their trust in the dollar crumbles.

Here's the full breakdown (and what it means for you): Let me give you the full picture:

Over 40 years, gold averaged 6-12% yearly.

In the last 5 years, it grew 20% per year.

Then delivered the biggest spike in 2025 at 65%.
Jan 19 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
BlackRock just cut their holdings in long-term government bonds.

They're repositioning into shorter-term bonds because America's massive debt creates major risks for long-term ones.

Let me explain what I mean + the 5 investment opportunities this move creates:🧵 BlackRock reduced their long-term US treasuries (20-30 year bonds) to buy shorter duration debt at higher rates.

They’re still holding it—just not as much anymore.

There are major 3 market shifts they saw that drove their decision:
Jan 16 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
$4.7 trillion will flood the US economy in just 9 months—creating the largest wealth transfer in American history.

This is Trump's tax plan to inflate their debt away.

Institutions are already positioned for this.

Here's what's happening and how to position too: 🧵 This 4.7 trillion doesn't hit all at once. It flows in five distinct waves.

Wave 1 (Apr-Jun): Tax refunds starting late Feb.
Wave 2 (Jul-Sep): Corporate repatriation
Wave 3 (Q4): Bonus depreciation
Wave 4 (Q4): Capital expenditure boom
Wave 5 (late 2026): Inflation response
Jan 11 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
I analyzed every major crash since 1929—1968, 2000, 2007, 2021.

Each followed the same 4-stage pattern before they peaked, then had massive corrections.

In this thread, I’ll cover what happens in each stage (and why market indicators show we’re in stage 3): The 4-stage pattern is:

Stage 1: The rational bull market
Stage 2: The acceleration phase
Stage 3: Euphoria peak (we're here)
Stage 4: The crash

Let's dive in:
Jan 10 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
Venezuela is the key to inflating America’s debt away without causing civil riots.

By buying millions of oil barrels from them, gas prices stays low—which is the first thing people notice during high inflation.

In this thread, I'll cover why this is the only choice for the US: On January 7th, Venezuela transferred 30-50 million barrels ($2B worth) to the US.

And Trump says shipments continue indefinitely.

The reason they’re buying is because the government faces an inflation paradox: Image
Jan 3 • 20 tweets • 6 min read
Trump just signed a $1 trillion defense budget—the biggest increase in military spending since World War II.

I've identified 13 stocks positioned to explode once contracts materialize.

Here's each stock and why they win: This isn't the usual defense budget.

Three new priorities reshape where every dollar flows:

• Next-gen weapons (hypersonics, lasers, AI)
• Homeland security (smart wall + Golden Dome)
• Manufacturing onshoring (minerals banned from China)

Now let’s dive into each stock:
Dec 19, 2025 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
US is erasing its $37 trillion debt using inflation and crypto.

First, they’ll print money to inflate the debt away.

Second, they'll using stablecoins to create massive demand for government debt.

Here’s what I mean: The government doesn't need to pay back all $38 trillion in debt—that's mathematically impossible.

No empire in history has paid back debts this large.
Dec 14, 2025 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
Everyone watches unemployment to predict stock crashes.

But here's what Wall Street actually tracks: S&P 500 real earnings growth.

This single indicator called every major crash since 1989 - and it's 100% free to access.

Let me show you how it works: Most investors believe unemployment signals a recession.

The problem?

Unemployment is useless for timing.

In 1990, unemployment hit 5.5% before the crash.
In 2001, it was 4.3%.
In 2008, it was 5%.

There's no consistent number.
Dec 13, 2025 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
Bank of America just leaked their report to institutional clients.

They've revealed the Fed is about to print $45 billion per month, disguising it as “reserve management purchases” so you won't notice.

You’re about to see your savings get crushed by inflation.

The breakdown: First, understand this: Bank of America doesn't send these reports to retail investors or CNBC.

Only their biggest institutional clients get this.

But I got my hands on it.

And here’s what I discovered:
Dec 10, 2025 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
Trump's commerce secretary just leaked an executive order on humanoid robotics.

It’s projected they’ll be 1 billion robots made, turning this industry into a $5 trillion market by 2050.

Yet no ones talking about this.

Here's how to take advantage of this opportunity right now: First, understand this:

Most people make the mistake of chasing popular tech stocks (Apple, Tesla, etc).

But the MASSIVE wins are made in stocks with growth potential that aren't mainstream yet.

This is the robotics industry right now.
Dec 8, 2025 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
There are TWO simple mathematical forces that when combined exponentially build wealth.

It’s why people make money significantly faster when they've hit $100k in net worth.

Here's what they are and how to maximize them: The two mathematical forces are:

1. Compound interest
2. Scale of capital

Before I breakdown the first one—what Einstein called the "eighth wonder of the world”—Let me explain what keeps most people stuck:
Dec 5, 2025 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
The Fed just exposed a $3T shadow banking system bypassing every rule from 2008.

Banks lent $300B to unregulated funds where 47% of borrowers can't afford payments.

When they default, index funds, retirement funds and 401ks will take a hit.

The breakdown: After 2008, regulators passed Dodd-Frank to make banks safer.

Banks had to hold more capital and reduce risky lending.

So what did Wall Street do?

They just moved the risk off their books into "private credit funds."

Same game, different name.