Clément Molin Profile picture
May 20 24 tweets 10 min read Read on X
These last 2 months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 dug 1 300 km of fortifications from Kyiv to Odesa

In the eastern part of the country, the AFU can now rely on 2 to 6 defensive lines, with kilometers of obstacle lines extending behind the front.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24⬇️ Image
When we talked about fortifications in Ukraine from 2014 to 2024, we were talking about those large trenches in the middle of the fields.

Drone war has made those completely obsolete. I put here famous ones, try to find where they are : Image
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Today's fortifications are much different. The priority is not to hide soldiers, but to prevent the ennemy from advancing.

That's why those new defensive lines are composed of 3 anti-vehicle ditches filled with anti-infantry barbed wire and multiple barbed wire lines. Image
Thus :

🔹No vehicle can get through without a consequent breaching operation.
🔹Destroying the barbed wire lines is impossible because of the dragon teeths
🔹Soldiers cannot cross easily because of multiple barbed wire lines, including at the bottom of the ditches. Image
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More interestingly, when ditches and fortifications usually didn't cover forest, urban areas or rivers, it is now the case.

No unplanned hole is left behind, as I showed last month with those only 20 planned roads on a 100km obstacle line. Image
Ukraine is now systematically cutting trees hundred meters from their lines, which means russian soldiers won't get any cover before reaching those lines.

Most of the time now, they will need to attack a line in the open, without any cover. Image
How can russian soldiers cross those lines ? I would say they will try to open gaps with artillery, FABs and FPV drones, but you can imagine how much munitions and precision you need to breach a 100 meter large line.

Also, this does not change the road problem : Image
For their own troops and to avoid any breakthrough, Ukraine built some specific roads. Those are planned holes in the lines, where russian forces will try to cross.

One important thing is how large those roads are, we are talking about ~150-180 meters long, exposed road. Image
Those lines are intended to protect fortified positions where frontline infantry and drone teams will hide.

I mapped thousands of those positions but I will maintain opsec on their exact positions, even if it's quite easy to see those. Image
But in general, yes, the russians understood where those positions are since they are massively bombing with FAB guided bombs the treelines west of Hulialpole. Image
Those small positions are built in treelines, which makes them harder to locate and are covered on the top most of the time to avoid artillery and FPV strikes.

However, the best positions remains villages, town and cities, with basements or industrial areas more fortified. Image
Mapping those very visible lines is very easy and we can easily see how villages and towns are just behind those lines, where drones can be launch. Areas between those lines are what we call "kill zone". Image
This "kill zone" is also layered with barbed wire lines that complicate any movement, ou can see those in white here.

On the right, you can btw see the only (unfinished) new line being attacked, it held for 10 months and around 100 corpses are sitting there. Image
And that's another interesting point : the new defensive lines have remained untouched at 99%. Only one small portion is currently on the frontline and most of those lines are 5 to 10 km minimum from the frontline.

Imagine having to cross 4, 5 or 6 of those lines ! Image
Where is Ukraine digging ? In 2025 (orange), most of the lines were completed in Donetsk oblast, with around 1 line in other frontline oblasts.

In 2026 (yellow), new lines priorise Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kharkiv oblasts. Image
In the remaining part of ukrainian controled Donbas, new fortifications are being built in front of Novodonetske and in front of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Image
Both cities are still being fortified with multiple ditches and barbed wire lines in the eastern side of those.
It is now impossible to dig big lines, so Ukraine is prioritising multiple obstacle to maximise the kill zone. Image
New fortifications are also being dug around Kharkiv and in Kharkiv oblast. Finally, most of the border is now covered and a second line is under construction closer to the city.

Izium, Chuhuiv and Veliky Burluk have also been fortified. Image
In Sumy, the construction is ongoing for the second line, but it is more difficult because of the large forest areas in the region. Image
Even Chernihiv oblast is now completing new fortified lines, including the regional capital, Tchernihiv. Image
Finally, new ring fortifications are also covering Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia as well as Mykolaiv and Odesa. Image
It's very clear that this new fortification program that started in december 2024 is central in the AFU defensive strategy.

More obstacles means less men to man the frontlines, with more losses for the ennemy trying to assault, especially in the drone war. Image
I will continue to follow closely these new trends and this new ukrainian strategy.

This mapping job is unpaid and takes a lot of time, you can support me here if you wish so ! buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin
If some journalists want to ask some questions, they can do it freely by sending me an email : clement.molin2005@gmail.com

(BTW, I won't be giving the fortification KML for free anymore, as you can understand)

Thank you all for following !

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More from @clement_molin

May 26
This morning, a continuous fid a videos from key roads in russian 🇷🇺 occupied territories allowed a large number of new geolocations.

I have now mapped 125 trucks hit on key roads, mostly in may, with more than 80 destroyed.

🧵THREAD🧵1/8 ⬇️ Image
I geolocated two additionnal burned trucks north of Berdiansk :

46.866328, 36.760171

(red part is visible on more recent satellite images)

Image
Image
This video from this morning on the Mariupol-Melitopol road shows 4 vehicles on fire in the middle of the road after a strike.

Geoloc :
Read 8 tweets
May 25
Across the weekend, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to harass Russian 🇷🇺 logistics routes along the Azov Sea and in Donetsk

Ukrainian strikes are beginning to pose a problem for Moscow, whose advance on the front has slowed this year.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
This morning, @azov_media published a second video of their strikes around Mariupol, this time hitting around 20 military and fuel trucks between Mariupol and the russian border.

On this important road, I have now mapped more than 23 hits (some trucks are confirmed as destroyed by ground videos showing destroyed vehicles) with Hornet drones on russian logistics.

Geolocations sources are here :
🔹x.com/moklasen/statu…
🔹x.com/99Dominik_/sta…
🔹My own geos : x.com/clement_molin/…
🔹+ some more guesses I added on the map based on Azov map shared at the beginning of the video.
Read 15 tweets
May 23
New Map Update 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 💥

I updated the map of ukrainian middle strikes against trucks with some new geolocations and informations published today.

I have now ~15 confirmed hits on the Rostov-Crimea road and 30 confirmed hits on the Mariupol-Donetsk road + Donetsk ring. ⬇️ Image
For now, we have mainly videos from these two roads. I've tryed to geolocate some videos from supply roads leading to Donetsk, but it's much more difficult, especially due to the quality of the images.

This video is useful, because they put the area hit:

Yesterday's geolocations come from here : multiple geolocators + my own geolocations :

Read 5 tweets
May 23
In the Sloviansk direction, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 800 airstrikes this month in two directions, preparing the terrain for a larger offensive.

At the same time, Ukraine's third Azov Corps launched the first counter-attacks to cut the Lyman salient.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️Image
Few days ago, I posted an update on the Oskil front situation, depicting the most important assault roads used by russian troops.

On this update, you could see two ukrainian drone strikes located by @giK1893 in Pryshyb and Tetianivka, behind the Donets river. Image
This river is very important, it was the main ukrainian defensive line in the region in 2022, it's covered by massive forests and directly protecting cities like Izium or Sloviansk.

For 3 years, the russians are trying to reach it, behind the town of Lyman. Image
Read 16 tweets
May 22
Situation préoccupante à l'ouest d'Houlialpole dans le sud de l'Ukraine, où la Russie a lancé plus de 1 000 frappes aériennes ces 20 derniers jours.

La précision des frappes, environ 80%, et leur localisation montrent que l'armée russe met d'importants moyens dans la région. ⬇️ Image
A titre de comparaison, voici les frappes aériennes durant le mois d'avril dans la zone : Image
Et celles en février/mars :

On remarque bien le déplacement vers l'ouest. Image
Read 5 tweets
May 22
Russia 🇷🇺 is shutting the Rostov-Crimea road for civilian traffic after multiple ukrainian 🇺🇦 strikes hit this critical road

More strikes are also hitting the Mariupol-Donetsk highway. Right now, all the land corridor to Crimea is threatened.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
This map is made thanks to multiple geolocations from : @99Dominik_ @blinzka @carse_n @dmitrij46839 @federicoborsar1 @franfran2424 @GarbuzYe @hochu_dodomu @klinger66 @Kukulkan415 @MaxximOSINT @moklasen @neonhandrail @AndrewPerpetua @NotWoofers @tom_bike @VyshnyaOstap (among others) and my own geolocations.

I have a total of 73 trucks hit since march, but I believe this is barely 20% of the real numbers, since most of the results are not filmed and multiple videos cannot be geolocalized.
More and more videos from southern Ukraine are showing the results of Ukraine's middle strikes, mainly done with Hornet drones as well as long range FPV drones, which can now reach 50 km.
Read 10 tweets

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