Clément Molin Profile picture
May 20 24 tweets 10 min read Read on X
These last 2 months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 dug 1 300 km of fortifications from Kyiv to Odesa

In the eastern part of the country, the AFU can now rely on 2 to 6 defensive lines, with kilometers of obstacle lines extending behind the front.

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When we talked about fortifications in Ukraine from 2014 to 2024, we were talking about those large trenches in the middle of the fields.

Drone war has made those completely obsolete. I put here famous ones, try to find where they are : Image
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Today's fortifications are much different. The priority is not to hide soldiers, but to prevent the ennemy from advancing.

That's why those new defensive lines are composed of 3 anti-vehicle ditches filled with anti-infantry barbed wire and multiple barbed wire lines. Image
Thus :

🔹No vehicle can get through without a consequent breaching operation.
🔹Destroying the barbed wire lines is impossible because of the dragon teeths
🔹Soldiers cannot cross easily because of multiple barbed wire lines, including at the bottom of the ditches. Image
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More interestingly, when ditches and fortifications usually didn't cover forest, urban areas or rivers, it is now the case.

No unplanned hole is left behind, as I showed last month with those only 20 planned roads on a 100km obstacle line. Image
Ukraine is now systematically cutting trees hundred meters from their lines, which means russian soldiers won't get any cover before reaching those lines.

Most of the time now, they will need to attack a line in the open, without any cover. Image
How can russian soldiers cross those lines ? I would say they will try to open gaps with artillery, FABs and FPV drones, but you can imagine how much munitions and precision you need to breach a 100 meter large line.

Also, this does not change the road problem : Image
For their own troops and to avoid any breakthrough, Ukraine built some specific roads. Those are planned holes in the lines, where russian forces will try to cross.

One important thing is how large those roads are, we are talking about ~150-180 meters long, exposed road. Image
Those lines are intended to protect fortified positions where frontline infantry and drone teams will hide.

I mapped thousands of those positions but I will maintain opsec on their exact positions, even if it's quite easy to see those. Image
But in general, yes, the russians understood where those positions are since they are massively bombing with FAB guided bombs the treelines west of Hulialpole. Image
Those small positions are built in treelines, which makes them harder to locate and are covered on the top most of the time to avoid artillery and FPV strikes.

However, the best positions remains villages, town and cities, with basements or industrial areas more fortified. Image
Mapping those very visible lines is very easy and we can easily see how villages and towns are just behind those lines, where drones can be launch. Areas between those lines are what we call "kill zone". Image
This "kill zone" is also layered with barbed wire lines that complicate any movement, ou can see those in white here.

On the right, you can btw see the only (unfinished) new line being attacked, it held for 10 months and around 100 corpses are sitting there. Image
And that's another interesting point : the new defensive lines have remained untouched at 99%. Only one small portion is currently on the frontline and most of those lines are 5 to 10 km minimum from the frontline.

Imagine having to cross 4, 5 or 6 of those lines ! Image
Where is Ukraine digging ? In 2025 (orange), most of the lines were completed in Donetsk oblast, with around 1 line in other frontline oblasts.

In 2026 (yellow), new lines priorise Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kharkiv oblasts. Image
In the remaining part of ukrainian controled Donbas, new fortifications are being built in front of Novodonetske and in front of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Image
Both cities are still being fortified with multiple ditches and barbed wire lines in the eastern side of those.
It is now impossible to dig big lines, so Ukraine is prioritising multiple obstacle to maximise the kill zone. Image
New fortifications are also being dug around Kharkiv and in Kharkiv oblast. Finally, most of the border is now covered and a second line is under construction closer to the city.

Izium, Chuhuiv and Veliky Burluk have also been fortified. Image
In Sumy, the construction is ongoing for the second line, but it is more difficult because of the large forest areas in the region. Image
Even Chernihiv oblast is now completing new fortified lines, including the regional capital, Tchernihiv. Image
Finally, new ring fortifications are also covering Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia as well as Mykolaiv and Odesa. Image
It's very clear that this new fortification program that started in december 2024 is central in the AFU defensive strategy.

More obstacles means less men to man the frontlines, with more losses for the ennemy trying to assault, especially in the drone war. Image
I will continue to follow closely these new trends and this new ukrainian strategy.

This mapping job is unpaid and takes a lot of time, you can support me here if you wish so ! buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin
If some journalists want to ask some questions, they can do it freely by sending me an email : clement.molin2005@gmail.com

(BTW, I won't be giving the fortification KML for free anymore, as you can understand)

Thank you all for following !

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More from @clement_molin

May 22
Russia 🇷🇺 is shutting the Rostov-Crimea road for civilian traffic after multiple ukrainian 🇺🇦 strikes hit this critical road

More strikes are also hitting the Mariupol-Donetsk highway. Right now, all the land corridor to Crimea is threatened.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
This map is made thanks to multiple geolocations from : @99Dominik_ @blinzka @carse_n @dmitrij46839 @federicoborsar1 @franfran2424 @GarbuzYe @hochu_dodomu @klinger66 @Kukulkan415 @MaxximOSINT @moklasen @neonhandrail @AndrewPerpetua @NotWoofers @tom_bike @VyshnyaOstap (among others) and my own geolocations.

I have a total of 73 trucks hit since march, but I believe this is barely 20% of the real numbers, since most of the results are not filmed and multiple videos cannot be geolocalized.
More and more videos from southern Ukraine are showing the results of Ukraine's middle strikes, mainly done with Hornet drones as well as long range FPV drones, which can now reach 50 km.
Read 10 tweets
May 17
Si l'armée ukrainienne frappe de plus en plus le territoire russe 🇷🇺, l'armée russe poursuit et intensifie sa campagne de frappes sur l'Ukraine.

Cette carte présente une bonne partie des frappes de drones longue portée et quelques missiles depuis janvier 2026.

🧵THREAD🧵1/11 ⬇️ Image
Chaque jour, l'armée russe frappe le territoire ukrainien avec des centaines de drones kamikazes Shahed iranien (fabriqués en Russie sous le nom de Geran), mais aussi des leurres, comme les Gerbera ou les Parody.

On constate une augmentation progressive des frappes. Image
Après deux mois records, nous nous dirigeons progressivement vers un nouveau record avec probablement plus de 7 000 frappes de drones stratégiques en mai 2026.

Attention, il faut bien garder à l'esprit qu'environ 30 à 40% de ces drones sont en réalités des leurres. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 16
On Ukraine's 🇺🇦 southern front, Russian 🇷🇺 forces are pushing near Orikhiv, while ukrainian forces continue to launch cleaning operations.

The Russian army has intensified its attempts to push the front, while the ukrainians reinforced their fortifications.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ Image
The southern/south-esatern front of Ukraine is the one that saw the biggest change since 2024 started.

This front is currently the second most important for Russia (1st is Donbas, 3rd is the Oskil).

Maps in the thread are from @M0nstas's online map. Image
Image
In the Novopavlivka-Ivanivka area west of Pokrovsk, Russia is trying to capture ukrainian strongholds in the region.

They have a lot of difficulties due to the number of ditches, fortified lines and rivers. In Novopavlivka, infiltration attempts continue without much success.

On the first (unfinished) fortified line, russian forces are trying to cross under fire the ditches (more than 100 bodies are lying there) and constantly manage to advance to Ivanivka before getting destroyed.Image
Read 13 tweets
May 14
Behind the Oskil River, the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 army is still holding out in three pockets: Kupiansk, Borova, and Lyman.

The Russian 🇷🇺 army has intensified its infiltrations in Lyman and Kupiansk in recent weeks, using the cover of trees.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
In four years, the Oskil front (named after the river crossed in October 2022) has barely moved.

Russian forces have mainly succeeded in advancing in three directions: toward Senkove, cutting the front in two; then toward Lyman, cutting it in three; and finally toward Dvorichna. Image
Image
Near Lyman, russian forces are launching important infiltrations, using the tree cover in the region.

They are mainly pushing south and north of the city, some soldiers even crossed the Siverski Donets river. The main objective is to cut the city from the rear. Image
Read 10 tweets
May 13
In the remaining Ukrainian 🇺🇦-controlled Donbas, Russia is currently pushing 3 offensives, on 3 key cities : Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, and Dobropilla.

The Russian army has recently made some progress towards several key positions in the region.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ Image
The first direction is the Sloviansk one. After the fall of Siversk 6 months ago, russian forces have been slowly crawling towards Rai Oleksandrivka, a strategic height overlooking Sloviansk/Kramatorsk agglomeration.

They are slowly nearing Mykolaivka and Sloviansk itself. Image
Here are the suspectied russian offensive routes in black, with geolocated videos of ukrainian strikes in the last 31 days in red.

Blue circles are ukrainian strongholds. The grey zone is expanding and the situation is slowly worsening, this is the main russian success of 2026. Image
Read 14 tweets
May 11
Le drone terrestre peut-il remplacer le soldat ?

Dans le Donbass, ce sont 22 000 robots terrestres qui ont remplacé des soldats ukrainiens 🇺🇦 sur la ligne de front durant les premiers mois de 2026.

(English 🇬🇧 below for the slides)

🧵THREAD🧵1/10⬇️ Image
Le chiffre est du Président Zelensky lui-même, sur le seul premier trimestre 2026.

Il montre à quel point cette nouvelle technologie est sur le point de devenir indispensable sur le front. Image
➤ Le marché ukrainien est passé de 500 drones terrestres produits en 2024 à environ 20 000 au seul premier trimestre 2026. Plus de 280 entreprises, près de 310 modèles distincts. Une bascule de l'artisanat à la production de série en dix-huit mois. Image
Read 10 tweets

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