Clément Molin Profile picture
May 22 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Russia 🇷🇺 is shutting the Rostov-Crimea road for civilian traffic after multiple ukrainian 🇺🇦 strikes hit this critical road

More strikes are also hitting the Mariupol-Donetsk highway. Right now, all the land corridor to Crimea is threatened.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
This map is made thanks to multiple geolocations from : @99Dominik_ @blinzka @carse_n @dmitrij46839 @federicoborsar1 @franfran2424 @GarbuzYe @hochu_dodomu @klinger66 @Kukulkan415 @MaxximOSINT @moklasen @neonhandrail @AndrewPerpetua @NotWoofers @tom_bike @VyshnyaOstap (among others) and my own geolocations.

I have a total of 73 trucks hit since march, but I believe this is barely 20% of the real numbers, since most of the results are not filmed and multiple videos cannot be geolocalized.
More and more videos from southern Ukraine are showing the results of Ukraine's middle strikes, mainly done with Hornet drones as well as long range FPV drones, which can now reach 50 km.
On this particular video, we can see a Honet drone looking for a target above a road in southern Ukraine, as soon as a military truck will be seen, it will target it.
This is a zoom of geolocalized hits around Donetsk city, which, again, means multiple ones are not on video or not mapped. Image
The Rostov-Crimea and Mariupol-Donetsk roads are the backbone of russian presence in the south.

These roads have been improved for logistical purposes. Also, military trains are more and more targeted.

Image
This video from today shows some AI guided FPV drones targeting the Mariupol-Donetsk road near Donetsk.

With the improved range of FPV drones, the "kill zone" is getting bigger, Ukraine will soon be able to set up some areas interdictions.
To understand how the strategy is working :

🔹FP-1/2 are hitting high value targets (depots, oil infrastructure, logistic centers, command centers, air-defenses)
🔹Hornets are hitting logistics (trucks, cars...) far behind
🔹Long range FPV's are hitting closer to the frontline.
Russia will soon start to adapt, to modify it's logistic strategy, to put air-defense teams in critical areas of the front, to cover roads with nets or to use othr roads.

But this is the ukrainian strategy, force Russia to change their strategy, which will obviously be less efficient.
I talked about the drone war more in details 10 days ago, here is the article :

I will continue to monirot those strikes and try to geolocate missing ones to have a bigger picture.

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More from @clement_molin

May 23
New Map Update 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 💥

I updated the map of ukrainian middle strikes against trucks with some new geolocations and informations published today.

I have now ~15 confirmed hits on the Rostov-Crimea road and 30 confirmed hits on the Mariupol-Donetsk road + Donetsk ring. ⬇️ Image
For now, we have mainly videos from these two roads. I've tryed to geolocate some videos from supply roads leading to Donetsk, but it's much more difficult, especially due to the quality of the images.

This video is useful, because they put the area hit:

Yesterday's geolocations come from here : multiple geolocators + my own geolocations :

Read 5 tweets
May 23
In the Sloviansk direction, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 800 airstrikes this month in two directions, preparing the terrain for a larger offensive.

At the same time, Ukraine's third Azov Corps launched the first counter-attacks to cut the Lyman salient.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️Image
Few days ago, I posted an update on the Oskil front situation, depicting the most important assault roads used by russian troops.

On this update, you could see two ukrainian drone strikes located by @giK1893 in Pryshyb and Tetianivka, behind the Donets river. Image
This river is very important, it was the main ukrainian defensive line in the region in 2022, it's covered by massive forests and directly protecting cities like Izium or Sloviansk.

For 3 years, the russians are trying to reach it, behind the town of Lyman. Image
Read 16 tweets
May 22
Situation préoccupante à l'ouest d'Houlialpole dans le sud de l'Ukraine, où la Russie a lancé plus de 1 000 frappes aériennes ces 20 derniers jours.

La précision des frappes, environ 80%, et leur localisation montrent que l'armée russe met d'importants moyens dans la région. ⬇️ Image
A titre de comparaison, voici les frappes aériennes durant le mois d'avril dans la zone : Image
Et celles en février/mars :

On remarque bien le déplacement vers l'ouest. Image
Read 5 tweets
May 20
These last 2 months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 dug 1 300 km of fortifications from Kyiv to Odesa

In the eastern part of the country, the AFU can now rely on 2 to 6 defensive lines, with kilometers of obstacle lines extending behind the front.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24⬇️ Image
When we talked about fortifications in Ukraine from 2014 to 2024, we were talking about those large trenches in the middle of the fields.

Drone war has made those completely obsolete. I put here famous ones, try to find where they are : Image
Image
Image
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Today's fortifications are much different. The priority is not to hide soldiers, but to prevent the ennemy from advancing.

That's why those new defensive lines are composed of 3 anti-vehicle ditches filled with anti-infantry barbed wire and multiple barbed wire lines. Image
Read 24 tweets
May 17
Si l'armée ukrainienne frappe de plus en plus le territoire russe 🇷🇺, l'armée russe poursuit et intensifie sa campagne de frappes sur l'Ukraine.

Cette carte présente une bonne partie des frappes de drones longue portée et quelques missiles depuis janvier 2026.

🧵THREAD🧵1/11 ⬇️ Image
Chaque jour, l'armée russe frappe le territoire ukrainien avec des centaines de drones kamikazes Shahed iranien (fabriqués en Russie sous le nom de Geran), mais aussi des leurres, comme les Gerbera ou les Parody.

On constate une augmentation progressive des frappes. Image
Après deux mois records, nous nous dirigeons progressivement vers un nouveau record avec probablement plus de 7 000 frappes de drones stratégiques en mai 2026.

Attention, il faut bien garder à l'esprit qu'environ 30 à 40% de ces drones sont en réalités des leurres. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 16
On Ukraine's 🇺🇦 southern front, Russian 🇷🇺 forces are pushing near Orikhiv, while ukrainian forces continue to launch cleaning operations.

The Russian army has intensified its attempts to push the front, while the ukrainians reinforced their fortifications.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ Image
The southern/south-esatern front of Ukraine is the one that saw the biggest change since 2024 started.

This front is currently the second most important for Russia (1st is Donbas, 3rd is the Oskil).

Maps in the thread are from @M0nstas's online map. Image
Image
In the Novopavlivka-Ivanivka area west of Pokrovsk, Russia is trying to capture ukrainian strongholds in the region.

They have a lot of difficulties due to the number of ditches, fortified lines and rivers. In Novopavlivka, infiltration attempts continue without much success.

On the first (unfinished) fortified line, russian forces are trying to cross under fire the ditches (more than 100 bodies are lying there) and constantly manage to advance to Ivanivka before getting destroyed.Image
Read 13 tweets

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