This map is made thanks to multiple geolocations from : @99Dominik_ @blinzka @carse_n @dmitrij46839 @federicoborsar1 @franfran2424 @GarbuzYe @hochu_dodomu @klinger66 @Kukulkan415 @MaxximOSINT @moklasen @neonhandrail @AndrewPerpetua @NotWoofers @tom_bike @VyshnyaOstap (among others) and my own geolocations.
I have a total of 73 trucks hit since march, but I believe this is barely 20% of the real numbers, since most of the results are not filmed and multiple videos cannot be geolocalized.
More and more videos from southern Ukraine are showing the results of Ukraine's middle strikes, mainly done with Hornet drones as well as long range FPV drones, which can now reach 50 km.
On this particular video, we can see a Honet drone looking for a target above a road in southern Ukraine, as soon as a military truck will be seen, it will target it.
This is a zoom of geolocalized hits around Donetsk city, which, again, means multiple ones are not on video or not mapped.
The Rostov-Crimea and Mariupol-Donetsk roads are the backbone of russian presence in the south.
These roads have been improved for logistical purposes. Also, military trains are more and more targeted.
This video from today shows some AI guided FPV drones targeting the Mariupol-Donetsk road near Donetsk.
With the improved range of FPV drones, the "kill zone" is getting bigger, Ukraine will soon be able to set up some areas interdictions.
To understand how the strategy is working :
🔹FP-1/2 are hitting high value targets (depots, oil infrastructure, logistic centers, command centers, air-defenses)
🔹Hornets are hitting logistics (trucks, cars...) far behind
🔹Long range FPV's are hitting closer to the frontline.
Russia will soon start to adapt, to modify it's logistic strategy, to put air-defense teams in critical areas of the front, to cover roads with nets or to use othr roads.
But this is the ukrainian strategy, force Russia to change their strategy, which will obviously be less efficient.
I talked about the drone war more in details 10 days ago, here is the article :
I will continue to monirot those strikes and try to geolocate missing ones to have a bigger picture.
Chaque jour, l'armée russe frappe le territoire ukrainien avec des centaines de drones kamikazes Shahed iranien (fabriqués en Russie sous le nom de Geran), mais aussi des leurres, comme les Gerbera ou les Parody.
On constate une augmentation progressive des frappes.
Après deux mois records, nous nous dirigeons progressivement vers un nouveau record avec probablement plus de 7 000 frappes de drones stratégiques en mai 2026.
Attention, il faut bien garder à l'esprit qu'environ 30 à 40% de ces drones sont en réalités des leurres.
On Ukraine's 🇺🇦 southern front, Russian 🇷🇺 forces are pushing near Orikhiv, while ukrainian forces continue to launch cleaning operations.
The Russian army has intensified its attempts to push the front, while the ukrainians reinforced their fortifications.
🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️
The southern/south-esatern front of Ukraine is the one that saw the biggest change since 2024 started.
This front is currently the second most important for Russia (1st is Donbas, 3rd is the Oskil).
Maps in the thread are from @M0nstas's online map.
In the Novopavlivka-Ivanivka area west of Pokrovsk, Russia is trying to capture ukrainian strongholds in the region.
They have a lot of difficulties due to the number of ditches, fortified lines and rivers. In Novopavlivka, infiltration attempts continue without much success.
On the first (unfinished) fortified line, russian forces are trying to cross under fire the ditches (more than 100 bodies are lying there) and constantly manage to advance to Ivanivka before getting destroyed.
Behind the Oskil River, the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 army is still holding out in three pockets: Kupiansk, Borova, and Lyman.
The Russian 🇷🇺 army has intensified its infiltrations in Lyman and Kupiansk in recent weeks, using the cover of trees.
🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️
In four years, the Oskil front (named after the river crossed in October 2022) has barely moved.
Russian forces have mainly succeeded in advancing in three directions: toward Senkove, cutting the front in two; then toward Lyman, cutting it in three; and finally toward Dvorichna.
Near Lyman, russian forces are launching important infiltrations, using the tree cover in the region.
They are mainly pushing south and north of the city, some soldiers even crossed the Siverski Donets river. The main objective is to cut the city from the rear.
In the remaining Ukrainian 🇺🇦-controlled Donbas, Russia is currently pushing 3 offensives, on 3 key cities : Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, and Dobropilla.
The Russian army has recently made some progress towards several key positions in the region.
🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️
The first direction is the Sloviansk one. After the fall of Siversk 6 months ago, russian forces have been slowly crawling towards Rai Oleksandrivka, a strategic height overlooking Sloviansk/Kramatorsk agglomeration.
They are slowly nearing Mykolaivka and Sloviansk itself.
Here are the suspectied russian offensive routes in black, with geolocated videos of ukrainian strikes in the last 31 days in red.
Blue circles are ukrainian strongholds. The grey zone is expanding and the situation is slowly worsening, this is the main russian success of 2026.