Felix Prehn 🐶 Profile picture
May 26 12 tweets 4 min read Read on X
While everyone waits for the SpaceX IPO, 3 already-listed space stocks could 2-5x before it even happens.

They build the hardware behind everything SpaceX is building toward, and most retail investors have never heard of them.

Here's each one:🧵
Let’s talk about what the IPO means for you.

It’ll flood the space sector with money AND attention.

SpaceX has been private 20 years, and its early backers are on massive gains they can't touch.

The IPO is their exit, and the shares they sell get bought by you. Image
So should you, as a retail investor, buy SpaceX at the IPO?

I'd be careful.

Insiders can't sell for the first 6 months. The day that lockup ends, the big money typically rushes out and the stock takes its biggest dip.

(this happened with Uber, Lyft, and WeWork) Image
And that’s not all.

It's listing near $2 trillion. Even if SpaceX nails everything, your realistic upside is a 2x, maybe 3x.

Solid, but not life-changing for you.

The real opportunity is in the small suppliers of the space economy, while they're still cheap Image
What you probably don't realize:

These 3 companies win when SpaceX wins.

SpaceX lowers launch costs and opens up space for everyone, so every company building the hardware and stations rides the same wave up.

So I'm buying the suppliers, not the IPO.
One quick option before I share it.

If you'd rather watch me walk through all 3 names, with the chart setups and exactly how I'd play each one, the full video is right here:



If you'd rather read, here's the first.
Stock 1: Redwire (RDW)

TIn every gold rush, the people selling shovels got rich.

This is the picks-and-shovels play

Redwire builds the gear every spacecraft needs: solar arrays, antennas, sensors, robotic systems.

60% of revenue is government, so the base is stable.

It's stock chart breakdown:
Stock 2: Voyager (VOYG)

Half defense company, half space company.

The defense side (missile interceptors, hardened comms) brings in steady cash today.

That cash funds Starlab, their Airbus-backed bet to replace the ISS when it retires around 2030.

What it's chart looks like:
Stock 3: Firefly (FLY)

The launch company flying under the radar while everyone watches SpaceX and Rocket Lab.

Their Alpha rocket lifts small satellites, and a bigger one is coming for heavier loads.

Their revenue is growing steadily.

The chart breakdown:
Quick recap, lowest risk to highest:

1) Redwire (RDW)
2) Voyager (VOYG)
3) Firefly (FLY)
Those are the 3.

But which ones fit you depends on your risk tolerance and what you already own.

In the full breakdown I walk through the charts, the catalysts, and exactly how I'd size and manage the risk on each one:

If you learnt something new about the space economy today, give me a follow.

I turn hedge fund and market research into plain English so you can make smarter decisions with your money.

And for exactly how I'd manage risk for all 3 of these, click the link above.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Felix Prehn 🐶

Felix Prehn 🐶 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @felixprehn

May 25
Intelligence sources say Cuba has lined up 300 attack drones within range of US soil.

The US is now wide open to a drone strike, so Trump is about to fund defense companies that can build the protection against it.

8 stocks I believe positioned to win those contracts:🧵
Let’s start off with context.

Axios, citing classified intelligence, reported Cuba acquired 300+ drones from Russia and Iran and discussed using them on US targets.

Cuba denies it.

But the CIA director just visited and the US ran counter-drone drills off Key West. Image
Why should you care about this?

Drones are the next front in modern warfare - they're small, cheap, fly low, and radar can barely see them.

America is wide open to exactly this kind of attack at home, and that gap is where the government money flows next.
Read 18 tweets
May 22
Back in April, Trump signed an executive order that cracked open a $400 billion market nobody talks about.

It's a brand new category of mental health treatment, and 3 small biotech stocks are positioned to ride it.

Here's each one and why they win:🧵
The category is psychedelic-assisted therapy.

It’s around lab-made magic mushrooms, taken in a clinic with a doctor.

The order fast-tracked approval for it, added $50M in funding, and gave certain drugs priority status.

The day after, 3 tied biotechs popped 20 to 50%. Image
Before you buy any of them, let’s understand why this happened.

280M people have serious depression right now.

The WHO expects it to be the leading driver of global disease burden by 2030.

And worse, about 85M don't respond to standard pills (30-35%). Image
Image
Read 14 tweets
May 20
If you missed Palantir at $20, Intel at $45 or Seagate at $95, you're not alone.

Each stock ran 500-700% in 12 months and most retail investors had no idea.

I went hunting for the next stock like these, and believe these 3 could go on a similar run:🧵
This is for the investor who keeps missing the big winners despite watching CNBC all day and scouring Reddit forums.

By the time stocks show up there, institutions have taken their gains, and retail is buying the top.

I'm sharing 3 that are still early:
Stock #1: Fortinet (FTNT).

AI is making cyber attackers 1,000x more dangerous.

Every Fortune 500 needs a robust firewall to filter out cyber attacks before they hit the network.

Fortinet builds their firewalls on custom chips, which makes them faster and cheaper to run than any software-only competitor.

Recently, their chart hit a new all-time high.
Read 13 tweets
May 19
Bank of America just sent their institutional clients a report.

They outlined three market signals that preceded every big market crash in history is happening right now.

Retail investors probably have no idea about them.

What each one is + why they predict a crash:🧵
The fastest way to know what's coming in this market is to study what's already happened.

Wall Street's biggest banks already did this, because their own capital and their clients' portfolios depend on avoiding the next crash.

Here are the 3 signs BofA is watching:
Sign 1: The Maginot Line

The 30-year Treasury yield just crossed 5% for the first time in over a decade.

BofA calls this the "dam" holding back the bond market.

Once it breaches that level, investors are demanding more from the US government because they sense risk.
Read 17 tweets
May 15
I'm up 60% on oil stocks I bought 6 months before the Iran war.

I got in early by using a 3-step framework that spots WHERE institutional money rotates into next.

In this thread, I'll cover each step and why it works:🧵
Quick note before we go further: I'm not a financial adviser.

I'm not a registered investment adviser. I'm not telling you what to buy.

I'm sharing the research, the framework, and the data I use to make my own decisions.

What you do with it is yours to decide.

Let's dive in.
Hedge funds have made $24 billion this year alone shorting software.

They believe AI will kill the sector entirely.

Meanwhile, most companies haven't actually cancelled their software subscriptions.

Eventually they have to buy back in and that's when the rotation happens.
Read 17 tweets
May 14
Silver has gone from $33 an ounce 12 months ago to over $85 today, and the demand side is still increasing.

AI data centers, EVs, and solar panels consume silver at a pace miners physically cannot match.

What this means for your silver position right now:🧵
The world has consumed more silver than it can mine for 6 years in a row.

The cumulative shortfall is approaching 1 billion ounces.

That gap was filled by drawing down warehouse stockpiles, ETF holdings, and exchange reserves.

The physical metal is now genuinely tight.
Most retail investors don’t realize silver isn't dug out of silver mines.

It's a byproduct of lead, zinc, and copper mining.

The miners can't ramp production no matter how high the price goes, because their decisions are driven by entirely different metals.

Supply is capped.
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(