Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
May 26 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Snyder: Trump is very much on Putin’s side. He keeps saying Russia has to win, will win, or has already won — but none of that is true.

Trump moved a lot of American power onto Russia’s side, and still Russia has not won. Russia is losing the war. 1/
Snyder: America has two negotiators, and neither is a diplomat: the president’s son-in-law and the president’s friend.

In any other country, that would look corrupt and impossible to work. It has already failed with Ukraine and Iran. 2/
Snyder: Trump took the United States and made it much less powerful. China was never going to catch up unless Trump became president.

Now America has losses in science, education, and a war it should never have fought — so Trump goes to Beijing to beg. 3/
Snyder: Trump gives dictators false confidence. No one can “give” China Taiwan, but Trump creates a situation where China might do something stupid.

He creates a probability field around himself where people are more likely to make bad decisions. 4X
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More from @Mylovanov

May 28
Zelenskyy: Gripen fighters with Meteor missiles — 200km+ range.

We believe we can push Russian aircraft back far enough to stop their mass use of guided bombs against us.

1/
Zelenskyy: First Gripens arrive in 10 months. Pilots start training now.

The challenge: our pilots are already flying combat missions in Ukrainian skies. We need to pull them out to train — and that's never easy during a war.

2/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine has the world's greatest experience protecting lives, infrastructure, energy, schools.

No one else has this — we'll share it. Gripens, interceptor drones, EW, aviation, helicopters. Land, air, sea. That's a modern air defense shield.

3X
Read 5 tweets
May 28
UK spy chief Anne Keast-Butler: Almost half a million Russian soldiers have now been killed since the conflict began.

Russian forces are now going backwards on the battlefield for the first time since late 2022, — The Guardian. 1/ Image
The estimate from British intelligence is even higher than recent calculations by Meduza and Mediazona, which estimated around 352,000 Russian deaths using probate records. 2/
Ukraine’s strategy is to raise Russian losses above Moscow’s ability to recruit new soldiers. Russia suffered around 30,000 casualties in April alone. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 28
Denys Prokopenko, 1st Azov Corps commander: Russia loses because its army is built for political control, not battlefield effectiveness.

Russians sacrifice enormous numbers of soldiers to please their leadership, even when it was doomed from the start — Ukrainska Pravda.

1/ Image
Prokopenko: Ukraine wins because its army is built on trust and initiative.

HQ defines the goal and purpose. How to achieve it stays with the officers on the ground, who have the best picture of the battlefield. High trust, high initiative. The unit becomes a single organism.
2/
In summer 2025, Russia broke through the front near Dobropil — 15 km wide, 20 km deep. Azov Corps stopped the advance, conducted counteroffensive operations, and restored the line.

Now enemy hardware, depots and positions burn at depths up to 250 km.

3/
Read 6 tweets
May 27
Bolton: Iran is using negotiations to prove it controls the Strait of Hormuz, that everyone must bargain with Tehran before Arab oil and cargoes leave the Gulf.

If Iran can turn Hormuz on and off like a light switch, the precedent is disastrous. 1/
Bolton: Tehran is desperately playing for time.

If Iran gets control of the Strait and resumes oil revenues, it will rebuild the Quds Force, militias, nuclear program, missile program and drone program — then threaten the Gulf even more. 2/
Bolton: Freedom of the seas is the core issue. Hormuz was an international waterway where commercial vessels and even warships had the right of innocent passage.

If Iran can control passage or charge tolls, that right is becoming history. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 27
61-year-old American neurosurgeon Rocco Armonda flies from Washington to Dnipro to operate on wounded Ukrainians at Mechnikov Hospital.

“What we saw over 20 years of war in Iraq and Afghanistan, they saw here in the first two years of the full-scale war” — The Atlantic. 1/ Image
After Russia’s full-scale invasion, Armonda started collecting neurosurgical supplies for Ukraine: stents, coils, spirals, flow diverters.

That’s how he met Andriy Sirko, chief neurosurgeon at Mechnikov Hospital. Four weeks later, Armonda was in Ukraine. 2/
Armonda isn’t part of the hospital staff. He flies in only to operate.

During one visit, he performed five surgeries in a single day.

At Mechnikov, soldiers and civilians arrived with injuries from artillery, drones, and cruise missiles. Some were double or triple amputees. 3/
Read 9 tweets
May 27
"If Russia had not invaded Ukraine, nobody would be striking Tuapse or Perm."

Konstantin Sonin, University of Chicago: Russia's recent "growth" came from wartime production. Civilian sectors stagnated — The Insider. 1/ Image
Sonin argues Russian economic statistics don’t match reality.

Official data claims incomes are rising, but Russians are buying fewer cars, traveling less, delaying healthcare spending, and consuming less overall.

“People are objectively living worse.” 2/
Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure are becoming one of the war’s most sensitive economic pressure points.

According to Sonin, Moscow left nearly 400 billion rubles with oil companies in March to repair damaged refineries and infrastructure. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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