Thread by @ChrisO_wiki

1/ The Russian army's use of dazzle camouflage in an attempt to confuse Ukrainian drones is unlikely to succeed, according to sceptical Russian warbloggers. They point out that it's not the First World War, and trucks on roads aren't ships at sea. ⬇️

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2060755420122124325

2/ Kirill Fedorov comments:

"Ukrainian channels published a photograph of a Russian Kamaz truck repainted in zebra camouflage. This was done to confuse American Hornet UAVs, which have AI-assisted final-track lock-on.

3/ "However, if the drone is controlled manually, and it doesn't necessarily have to be a Hornet, repainting it won't help. In that case, it could serve as a temporary solution. Long-term, road protection and an interceptor system are needed."

4/ 'Informant' makes the connection with First World War tactics, but is sceptical about its usefulness:

5/ "It should be noted that a similar approach to ships can be seen in archival images from World War I. This trend began to fade during WWII due to technological advances, but ships in similar camouflage were still occasionally seen during WWII.

6/ "The purpose of camouflage in this case is to interfere with machine vision target acquisition and/or disrupt the military/civilian target selection process, assuming such algorithms are available.

7/ "Whether this would work in the current environment is, frankly, unlikely; at a minimum, the camouflage would need to be tested and significantly disrupt the silhouette.

8/ "It might work against the aforementioned military/civilian target selection algorithms in automated mode, but given that the vehicle is marked as a target by the operator, it's unlikely to be of much use. Although the lines of thought are quite interesting."

9/ The unrelated 'Military Informant' channel notes that the Soviets also used dazzle camouflage, but implies that the current appearance is merely an amateur imitation:

10/ "Essentially, straight black and white lines against the underlying ground, or even greenery, are a way to disrupt the automatic tracking correlator, especially if it's a modern enemy drone's correlator equipped with state-of-the-art AI.

11/ "In the scientifically based Soviet school of creating camouflage paints and patterns for this purpose, it was customary to use decoration based on second-order mathematical curves. These stripes are definitely not second-order curves."

'Two Majors' is very sceptical:

12/ "Such a solution can only help if the Kamaz is traveling in a herd of zebras.

They used to try to camouflage ships on the water surface during the First World War. It didn't work." /end

Sources:
🔹 t.me/warhistoryalco…
🔹 t.me/infomil_live/3…
🔹 t.me/milinfolive/17…
🔹 t.me/dva_majors/937…