Clément Molin Profile picture
Jun 4 14 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues to launch an important number of mid-range strike, targeting Russian 🇷🇺 logistics in occupied territories

Since early may, more than 270 trucks have been hit, together with multiple fuel depots and trains.

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In total, Ukraine 🇺🇦 striked around 270 trucks and vehicles more than 20km from the frontline since early may.

I still need to add earlier proofs, but this number is probably closer to 350-400 confirmed losses this year. Image
This strike campaign is only started, progressively scaling. Drones are primarly targeting key roads as well as fuel trucks in occupied territories.

In Crimea, a widespread fuel penury is ongoing after Ukraine's repeated strikes. Image
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@tochnyi gathered evidences of 26 different units using at least 14 different types of drones.

The most known and used ones are FP-1 and FP-2, Hornet, Bulava, Ram X and B2. However, multiple other one, with less media focus are in fact very useful. Image
These drone strikes have been allowed by a massive Ukrainian S/DEAD in occupied territories, hiting as much as 174 air-defense and radar systems this year, including 115 launchers and 59 radars.

Most are can be proved on video footage, with part of those here :
Ukrainian forces are constantly looking for fuel trucks, which are a priority target.

Around 30 of those have been destroyed so far, which further complicates all the logistics.

A Hormuz doctrine can be brought here : you don't need to hit all of them to prevent the other ones from crossing...Image
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For the last few days, important fuel shortage were ongoing in Crimea. Indeed, fuel trucks are not allowed on the Kerch bridge, while part of the ferries going from Russia to Crimea cannot be used after multiple strikes.

The main suitable road is going through southern Ukraine.
Today, two fuel trucks were seen burning on the Southern road of Crimea, going from Kerch to Sebastopol.

I tryied but didn't manage to geolocate this video (I think satellite images are too old to find the correct area).
Based on @DrnBmbr map, multiple gas station are out of use (red), while multiple other ones (orange) are limitating the gas sold.

The situation is impacting both the military and the civilian businesses, further complicating logistics. Image
If initial strikes were hitting key roads, more and more secondary roads and paths are being struck.

On these videos, we can see multiple strikes on secondary roads of southern Zaporizhzhia.


Today, Ukraine striked again multiple trains in Crimea.

Geolocated here :
Today, the ukrainians hit a construction truck at the entrance of Horlivka, showing that even this city is targeted.

Multiple drones have been hitting logistics in the city lately.
We shouldn't forget that mid-range strikes exclude the kill zone and the short range strike, which are also very important and very numerous, but Russia is conducting nearly as much strikes than Ukraine in this area of the front.
Thanks for following this new thread, I will continue to update the map as much as possible. Image

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More from @clement_molin

Jul 11
In recent weeks, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched a large number of strikes against electricity infrastructure in Crimea

Since 2026 started, both Ukraine and Russia 🇷🇺 launched continuous strikes against each other energy infrastructure.

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Recently, most of Crimea has been without power after a large number of Ukrainian strikes (source : @georgewbarros).

You can see here that most of the peninsula was lacking electricity, including large cities.
In total, around 37 electric substations have been hit, together with oil and gas infrastructure.

This has drastic consequences on both civilian and military infrastructure of the peninsula.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 8
During the first week of July, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to target Russian 🇷🇺 trucks and logistics, hitting more than 240 vehicles, 34 per day.

Despite fewer coverage, these strikes continue to be a very big problem for Russian forces across occupied territories.

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The number of strikes continue to increase, with nearly 600 trucks and vehicles hit in june 2026 (around 20 per day) and already 240 for the 1st week of july (34 per day).

All these strikes are only the confirmed ones from ukrainian videos, I do not count videos from the ground. Image
Today, the Ukrainian army of drones () published a compilation of nearly 200 strikes on trucks and vehicles near Crimea.

This video covers multiple units work for the 1st week of July. The good point ? Everything is proven. t.me/robert_magyar/…
Read 8 tweets
Jul 3
Let's dive in Russian 🇷🇺 war propaganda machine

Recently, new videos emerged of Russian soldiers showing their flag far behind the frontline.

What is important about that is the aim of these operations : to show to the Russian command.

1/9 ⬇️ Image
Russian flag videos are almost always the same. One or two Russian soldiers walk along the front line for weeks, evading Ukrainian detection.

Upon reaching the rear, they spend a day wandering through an entire village with their flag, while a drone overhead films them. Image
They are often not armed and will stay in the village for a long time, hidden in a basement, most of the time being found and captured/killed and sometimes go back to their lines.

These soldiers are not meant to disrupt Ukrainian rear but to create the illusion Russia controls an area.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 2
In June 2026, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 8 284 airstrikes, of which I managed to map 49%

This airstrike campaign is at the heart of Russian offensive strategy and one of the biggest challenge to the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces.

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With artillery and drones, airstrikes are the third phase of the Russian strike campaign.

These unguided bombs—the FAB-250, -500, -1000, and -1500—are fitted with a UMPK guidance kit and dropped from more than 50 km behind the front line.

Here you can see the results of those : Image
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The use of these guided bombs is steadily increasing, reaching a record high this month.

The accuracy of the FABs, which ranged from 10% to 30% last year (with "accuracy" defined as hitting something, such as a hedgerow, a village, or a forest), now stands at between 40% and 90%.Image
Read 20 tweets
Jul 1
Russian 🇷🇺 offensive assessment for June 2026

In June, Russia occupied 28 km2 and continued offensive operations in 7 directions out of 12. Russian forces took control of some neighbourhoods inside Kostiantynivka and advanced near Sloviansk.

My analysis :

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Data above is from @Pouletvolant3 who has a strong regularity, using @Majakovsk73 data.

Below, Maps bases are from @M0nstas, with @Deepstate_UA and @AndrewPerpetua data.

The battle for Kostiantynivka has been ongoing for over 8 months.

Russian forces have been infiltrating the city's eastern, southern, and western sectors for several months; in recent weeks, they have—for the first time—managed to seize control of several neighborhoods, particularly in the west, and secure certain access routes to the city center.

Concurrently, Russian forces have launched a major propaganda campaign, showing flags across nearly the entire city and releasing videos showing their infiltration into most areas of Kostiantynivka.

Ukrainian forces maintain a presence throughout almost the entire city, although their hold on the southeastern and southwestern neighborhoods is increasingly threatened by the Russian advance into their rear. Fighting within the neighborhoods continues, and the Russian objective remains to seize control of the two roads supplying the city.

While the majority of Ukrainian assets—including drones and artillery—were evacuated in early June, the battle for the city (much like the earlier battle for Toretsk to the south) could drag on for weeks or even months until Russian forces achieve total control, enabling them to use the city as a hub for a northward push toward Drujkivka and Kramatorsk.

Overall, the battle for the city is lost, even though the Ukrainians still control more than a quarter of it—specifically the northeastern districts. It is important to understand that it is too early for Russian forces to use the city as a launch point for artillery or drone strikes; however, the initial drone units arriving in the coming weeks could intensify the threat to the northern supply routes leading to Drujkivka.Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 30
In recent months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to reinforce its fortifications across the country

6 months ago, Zaporizhzhia direction was lacking defensive preparation, it now has 5 defensive lines, which shows how fast Ukraine can adapt.

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Here in red are all the new fortifications built from january to jun 2026. Lines are stretching from Chernihiv to Odessa.

You can see priority was given to Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblast. Image
Near Zaporizhzhia, are still digging new lines, with currently 5 lines protecting the city from the east.

Red are lines dug in 2026, yellow in 2025 and white in 2024 (mostly obsolete). Image
Read 13 tweets

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