A Russian soldier risks his life just to salvage a Ukrainian “Vampire” heavy bomber drone that came down in the grey zone.
Russian units make every possible effort to get hold of a “Vampire”, due to the incredible failure of the Russian state to build a heavy-lift drone fleet.
“It's obvious that Russia had a rather unsuccessful winter campaign, and they completely failed their spring campaign. In fact, in May, they managed to capture about 10 square kilometers of territory.
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“And I'm sure that when the overall result is calculated, Ukraine's achievements in May will be greater than those of Russia. There is a turning point at the tactical and operational levels.
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Since its disconnection from Starlink, Russia is urgently pushing forward its own LEO high-speed satellite constellation called “Rassvet”.
Ukrainian communications expert Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov analyses its status and prospects. 1/
“1. The enemy needs a ‘Russian StarLink’. Undoubtedly, Russia understands the importance of a high-speed data transmission system via low-orbit satellites, and it would be foolish to think they wouldn't pursue this direction. The question is just about timing.
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“2. I have no idea which agencies or structures in our country are monitoring this project and considering potential problems. I can only speak for myself. Since the first day of the war, I've been collecting all the information on this topic, trying to analyze and monitor it. 3/
Russian sources report that Ukraine has started dropping anti-vehicle landmines on the M-14 highway between Melitopol and Mariupol.
This key logistical route to Crimea is 100–150 km from the front lines and would require fixed-wing UAVs to reach that far.
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This highway has been the primary focus of Ukraine’s sharp rise in strikes on Russian trucks using mid-range UAVs like the “Hornet.”
Landmines at operational depth on this and other routes will greatly increase pressure on Russian logistics. 2/
The Russians have recovered cassettes containing either 48 or 10 landmines of the IBM anti-vehicle/anti-personnel series.
These devices are equipped with “PDP” movement-sensitive fuzes and are powerful enough to immobilize vehicles, leaving them easy targets for strike UAVs. 3/
Serhii “Flash” clarifies new Russian tactics that combine “Geran-2” attacks on Ukrainian air defense units while another UAV simultaneously strikes the main target.
First, a “Gerbera” reconnaissance UAV studies the air defenses to determine their movements and locations. 1/
Then, a double strike is applied—one Geran-2 strikes and distracts the ground-based air defenses, while another attacks the target.
“Flash” advises using camouflage, changing to backup positions, and closely monitoring reconnaissance UAV flights.
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While the crew is engaged in targeting, the radar must be monitored closely for other UAVs nearby.
It is important not to fire too early or ineffectively, as this can prematurely reveal the defensive position. 3/
Russian blogger “Philologist in Ambush” (Svyatoslav Golikov) warns Ukraine is no longer just flooding the front with drones.
It is building an adaptive, networked strike system that is increasingly outpacing Russian EW and logistics defenses. 1/
“At the root of the sharply increased activity of Ukrainian UAVs, I see a progressive increase in the volume of deliveries of small strike drones to the troops.
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“However, the issue is not just about the increase in activity itself, but also about the effectiveness of this increased activity. For example, you can dramatically intensify offensive actions, but not achieve any significant progress and at the same time suffer heavy losses.
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Russian blogger Alexei Rogozin warns that the American company Palantir has provided Ukraine with AI tools that process vast amounts of data to integrate with and leverage long-range UAV strike capabilities. 1/
“Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian targets cannot be viewed solely as a problem of air defense. An unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) or missile is just the final link in the chain.
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“The main work begins earlier: reconnaissance, accumulation of digital traces, analysis of satellite and aerial photos, comparison of open and closed data, assessment of the vulnerability of objects, and review of the results of previous strikes.
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