Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 7 10 tweets 3 min read Read on X
GPS jamming has reached space, and from orbit a single source can blank an entire continent at once, far beyond any jammer on the ground.

Scientists traced short GPS outages across Europe, from Iceland to Italy, to three Russian satellites in at least 3 of 75 cases logged since 2019, NYT. 1/Image
The disruptions are short, lasting under 10 seconds, but they spread across a continent.

They hit the GPS networks of the U.S., China and the EU. Russia's own system stays untouched. 2/
Richard Bowden of Spanish tech firm GMV said the signal is clearly structured and well designed.

It sits next to a widely used GPS frequency but runs strong enough to bleed over and drown it out. 3/
The three satellites belong to EKS, Russia's only known early-warning constellation, built to spot missile launches and nuclear blasts.

The first jamming case hit in October 2019, a month after the first active EKS satellite launched. The latest came in mid-February. 4/
U.S. Air Force officials were briefed and confirmed Russia was behind it.

The EU ran its own investigation, and the results are classified. The Russian Embassy in D.C.: "we don't have a comment on that." 5/
Experts doubt it's deliberate. Pavel Podvig, who tracks Russia's nuclear forces: "nobody would mess with early-warning satellites by adding some secondary mission."

Moscow may not even know its signals interfere. 6/
The danger is reach. Jammers on the ground, a ship or a plane need line of sight. A satellite doesn't.

"Someone could, if they wanted to, selectively jam an entire continent every day," said Ramsey Faragher of the Royal Institute of Navigation. 7/
GPS does far more than power Uber and maps. It syncs electrical grids, cell towers and aircraft alerts.

"GPS is just like electricity," said Gen. William Shelton. "You put a plug in the wall and expect power." Todd Humphreys calls the jamming "a wake up call." 8X
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More from @Mylovanov

Jun 9
The tank is no longer the king of the battlefield.

In Finland, 18 miles from Russia, NATO watched Leopard 2 tanks get “destroyed” by anti-tank teams, drones and artillery in a simulated war game.

This is Ukraine’s lesson becoming NATO doctrine — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
Russia has lost 11,974 tanks and almost 25,000 armored vehicles. Ukraine has lost around 5,700 tanks and armored vehicles to drones, mines and missiles.
Armor still matters, but alone it dies fast. 2/
In Ukraine, drones reportedly account for more than 90% of battlefield casualties, mostly tanks and armored vehicles.
A cheap drone can now find, track and help destroy a platform worth millions. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jun 8
Kasparov: On Bulgakov, my advice to Russian liberal society is simple: keep quiet.

While Russian missiles keep hitting Kyiv, Russians have no moral right to criticize Ukrainians for removing monuments tied to Russian culture, however much we value the literature. 1/
Kasparov: Every Russian missile that kills Ukrainian civilians widens the abyss between Ukraine and the Russian world.

It will take years before new generations can separate Pushkin, Bulgakov or Dostoevsky from the imperial culture now bombing them. 2/
Kasparov: Any participation in political procedures run by a fascist dictatorship helps legitimize it.

If the regime is illegitimate, how can you discuss the legitimacy of its elections? Even standing near the polling station means joining their staged process. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 8
Kasparov: Europe cannot enter talks with Putin as both mediator and participant.

If Europe acts as mediator, it starts trading Ukrainian territory. But if Ukraine stops fighting, Europe will have to fight Putin itself. Europe must be part of Ukraine’s coalition. 1/
Kasparov: Russia violates every treaty, bombs everything, kills civilians and still enjoys legal protections, lawyers, procedures and sovereign-money arguments.

But a missile flies faster than a court process. Europe still has not matched law to reality. 2/
Kasparov: Ukraine showed it can paralyze Russia’s second-largest city.

During the St. Petersburg forum, Kyiv demonstrated it can hit military targets with remarkable precision. If Ukraine sends ten times more drones, St. Petersburg will feel it very hard. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 8
Former President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko: Ukraine launched 140 drones at St. Petersburg. Capacity is up to 1,000. Russia has no air defense against it.

That's drone diplomacy — and Putin can no longer ignore Ukrainian insistence.

1/
Poroshenko: Every day the price of aggression grows. Putin's window of opportunity is now.

Unconditional, comprehensive ceasefire — stop the war, freeze the conflict, sit at the table. US and EU at the table. Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine.

2/
Poroshenko: Time stopped working for Putin. Every month he pays more. Ukraine will never surrender — we have no choice.

The sooner Putin understands that, the sooner he moves toward ceasefire. And ceasefire doesn't save Ukraine — it saves Russia.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jun 8
Kuleba: Every meter of Ukrainian land along the border with Belarus and Russia is already, in fact or potentially, frontline territory.

Lukashenko’s actions today are different from what we have seen since 2022. I am not saying an attack is tomorrow, but this is different. 1/
Kuleba: Lukashenko is either preparing for war or demonstrating that he is preparing.

Does he want war? Definitely not. But he is not a free man. What he is told to do, he will eventually have to do. He is maneuvering, but something is happening in Belarus. 2/
Kuleba: Do not think linearly. It could be a local operation against an EU country and, at the same time, a massive attack on Ukraine — or the reverse.

Russia is in a negative dynamic in the war, and Putin needs to do something differently. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 8
Kuleba: Ukraine currently has no real leverage over Trump, but must keep looking.

Trump lives in a world of great powers, where big states decide what they want and everyone else obeys. Ukraine lives in another world: we are fighting a great power. 1/
Kuleba: For Trump, Ukraine defeating Russia is like Venezuela defeating the United States.

It simply does not fit his worldview. And he personally sympathizes with Putin; he would like to govern America the way Putin governs Russia. 2/
Kuleba: With European populists, do not just react to slogans.

Scratch the surface and you often find something else: a Russian trail, a business trail, domestic interests. Ukraine has to work with the people and businesses that influence them. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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