Clément Molin Profile picture
Jun 11 13 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Last night, multiple Ukrainian 🇺🇦 units hit the bridges leading to Crimea, further isolating the peninsula from the land bridge to Russia 🇷🇺

At the same time, strike campaign continues on multiple key roads, with over 375 vehicles and trucks hit since early May.

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Crimea is connected with southern occupied Ukraine by multiple key bridges.

The one in Chonhar was hit few days ago by multiple drones, which forced the russians to put up a pontoon bridge for their road traffic.
At least 3 bridges have been recently hit. The one in Henichesk, the ones in Armyansk and in Stavky.

As we can see on the video, these strikes are putting holes in the middle of those key bridges. Any consolidation attempt will probably be hit. Image
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Thus, all bridges leading from Crimea to Kherson are now cut, which further complicates russian logistics.

As you can understand, trucks will now follow fewer roads which will be under Ukrainian fire control, especially pontoon bridges. Image
This will further reinforce the fuel penury ongoing in Crimea, all the more as Ukraine continues to hit fuel trucks heading to Crimea, with few strikes on key roads in Crimea. Image
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Mid-range strikes continue on key roads. I'm collecting screeshots from ukrainian drone videos showing a strike, with around 375 strikes on trucks and vehicles (more than 20km from the frontline in 95% of the time). Image
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On the map, I have now around 230 hits, with 70 on the Rostov-Crimea road, 23 on Mariupol-Donetsk and more than 30 on Luhansk-Donetsk.

Key supply roads in Donbas are being hit everyday. Image
For months, drone strikes were limited on logistics close to the frontline (30 km maximum most of the time).

These strikes are still ongoing, but the same logistial means seen on this video (cars, SUV, loaf, Bukhanka, quad...) are being hit farther.
The focus was put on Mariupol and the roads in the south, but we shouldn't forget that multiple strikes are happening around Luhansk, Sievierodonetsk, Yenakieve, Horlivka or Donetsk.
The commander of the USF, Robert Magyar stated that arthere are minus 70% military traffic along the Rostov-Crimea road since the strikes started. Image
This morning, multiple vehicles could still be seen on the road, which means it continues to be used. Image
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The more Ukraine will obtain drones and the more it will strike russian logistics.

3 months ago, FP-2 drones were used to strike high value targets like air-defense. It is now so much widespread that it can hit multiple bridges, electric substations or single trucks.
Thank you for following this new analysis ! I will later update on the russian airstrike campaign.

If you have some questions (I'm often missing some), ask them here :

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More from @clement_molin

Jun 7
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues its massive mid-range strike campaign against russian 🇷🇺 logistics.

Since early May, more than 290 russian trucks and vehicles have been hit. I have now mapped 210 strikes since january.

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The strike campaign is guided by multiple units, using a large veriety of drones.

The backbone of it are the FP-1/2 strikes on key logistics hubs, mainly oil/fuel depots, trains, gas stations, electric substations and rear bases.

Those strikes are often guided with AI. Image
The latest video recently published showcased some strikes around Melitopol (few missed) with Hornet drones.

Interestlingly, everything is not blurred, which helps understanding how they are using those drones.
Read 16 tweets
Jun 5
In southern Ukraine 🇺🇦, Russian 🇷🇺 forces continue their offensive from Hulialpole to Orikhiv, a strategic town

I mapped more than 1 400 Russian airstrikes, supporting multiple offensive axes in May, while Ukraine nearly finished its fortifications.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
In May 2026, Russia conducted 7 486 airstrikes, I managed to locate 52% of those.

18% of those strikes are targeting ukrainian positions near Hulialpole. We can add as well 6% of related airstrikes in Novopavlivka and Zaporizhzhia areas. Image
These airstrikes have a very surprising precision (much more than elsewhere on the front), primarily targeting treelines and villages, where soldiers and drone teams are hiding. Image
Read 16 tweets
Jun 4
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues to launch an important number of mid-range strike, targeting Russian 🇷🇺 logistics in occupied territories

Since early may, more than 270 trucks have been hit, together with multiple fuel depots and trains.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ Image
In total, Ukraine 🇺🇦 striked around 270 trucks and vehicles more than 20km from the frontline since early may.

I still need to add earlier proofs, but this number is probably closer to 350-400 confirmed losses this year. Image
This strike campaign is only started, progressively scaling. Drones are primarly targeting key roads as well as fuel trucks in occupied territories.

In Crimea, a widespread fuel penury is ongoing after Ukraine's repeated strikes. Image
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Read 14 tweets
May 31
Did Nikol Pashinyan save Armenia 🇦🇲 from disappearing?

One week before historic parliamentary elections in which he leads the polls, the outgoing prime minister defends his record.

Russian 🇷🇺 interference in the country has been increasing recently.

🧵THREAD🧵1/19 ⬇️ Image
In 2018, a popular uprising erupted in Armenia after President Serzh Sargsyan circumvented the constitution to secure his re-election as prime minister.

Riding the wave of the Velvet Revolution, Nikol Pashinyan arrived with a promise: to reduce corruption and the influence of the oligarchs.Image
The country's independence in 1991 came amidst pogroms and war with Azerbaijan. Backed by Moscow, Yerevan and the Nagorno-Karabakh separatists won the war and established the separatist Republic of Artsakh.

This republic encompassed the territories of Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as the surrounding areas, historically home to approximately one million Azerbaijanis and Kurds, who were expelled and forced to live in overcrowded Baku for years. Azerbaijan was humiliated.Image
Read 19 tweets
May 29
Since the year started, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched more than 1 000 mid-range drone strikes (only geolocated ones).

The intensification of strikes against russian 🇷🇺 logistics (150 vehicles, 30 trains, 400 warehouses) is a real game-changer in the war.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️Image
The ukrainian mid-range drone strike is quite recent. It started at the end of last year and quickly intensified in 2026.

Ukraine is using :
🔹Big fixed wings drones : FP-1/2
🔹Small fixed wings drones : Hornet/Bulava/RAM X...
🔹Short/Long range FPV.

Here 2 Hornet on a truck :
In total, I gathered more than 1 000 geolocations since january 2026 (sources provided at the end of the thread).

35% of the strikes hit depots and warehouses (we don't know what is inside most of the time). 20% hit vehicles and 7% hit air-defense. Image
Read 24 tweets
May 26
This morning, a continuous fid a videos from key roads in russian 🇷🇺 occupied territories allowed a large number of new geolocations.

I have now mapped 125 trucks hit on key roads, mostly in may, with more than 80 destroyed.

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I geolocated two additionnal burned trucks north of Berdiansk :

46.866328, 36.760171

(red part is visible on more recent satellite images)

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This video from this morning on the Mariupol-Melitopol road shows 4 vehicles on fire in the middle of the road after a strike.

Geoloc :
Read 8 tweets

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