Last night, multiple Ukrainian 🇺🇦 units hit the bridges leading to Crimea, further isolating the peninsula from the land bridge to Russia 🇷🇺
At the same time, strike campaign continues on multiple key roads, with over 375 vehicles and trucks hit since early May.
Crimea is connected with southern occupied Ukraine by multiple key bridges.
The one in Chonhar was hit few days ago by multiple drones, which forced the russians to put up a pontoon bridge for their road traffic.
At least 3 bridges have been recently hit. The one in Henichesk, the ones in Armyansk and in Stavky.
As we can see on the video, these strikes are putting holes in the middle of those key bridges. Any consolidation attempt will probably be hit.
Thus, all bridges leading from Crimea to Kherson are now cut, which further complicates russian logistics.
As you can understand, trucks will now follow fewer roads which will be under Ukrainian fire control, especially pontoon bridges.
This will further reinforce the fuel penury ongoing in Crimea, all the more as Ukraine continues to hit fuel trucks heading to Crimea, with few strikes on key roads in Crimea.
Mid-range strikes continue on key roads. I'm collecting screeshots from ukrainian drone videos showing a strike, with around 375 strikes on trucks and vehicles (more than 20km from the frontline in 95% of the time).
On the map, I have now around 230 hits, with 70 on the Rostov-Crimea road, 23 on Mariupol-Donetsk and more than 30 on Luhansk-Donetsk.
Key supply roads in Donbas are being hit everyday.
For months, drone strikes were limited on logistics close to the frontline (30 km maximum most of the time).
These strikes are still ongoing, but the same logistial means seen on this video (cars, SUV, loaf, Bukhanka, quad...) are being hit farther.
The focus was put on Mariupol and the roads in the south, but we shouldn't forget that multiple strikes are happening around Luhansk, Sievierodonetsk, Yenakieve, Horlivka or Donetsk.
The commander of the USF, Robert Magyar stated that arthere are minus 70% military traffic along the Rostov-Crimea road since the strikes started.
This morning, multiple vehicles could still be seen on the road, which means it continues to be used.
The more Ukraine will obtain drones and the more it will strike russian logistics.
3 months ago, FP-2 drones were used to strike high value targets like air-defense. It is now so much widespread that it can hit multiple bridges, electric substations or single trucks.
Thank you for following this new analysis ! I will later update on the russian airstrike campaign.
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In June 2026, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 8 284 airstrikes, of which I managed to map 49%
This airstrike campaign is at the heart of Russian offensive strategy and one of the biggest challenge to the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces.
🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️
With artillery and drones, airstrikes are the third phase of the Russian strike campaign.
These unguided bombs—the FAB-250, -500, -1000, and -1500—are fitted with a UMPK guidance kit and dropped from more than 50 km behind the front line.
Here you can see the results of those :
The use of these guided bombs is steadily increasing, reaching a record high this month.
The accuracy of the FABs, which ranged from 10% to 30% last year (with "accuracy" defined as hitting something, such as a hedgerow, a village, or a forest), now stands at between 40% and 90%.
Russian 🇷🇺 offensive assessment for June 2026
In June, Russia occupied 28 km2 and continued offensive operations in 7 directions out of 12. Russian forces took control of some neighbourhoods inside Kostiantynivka and advanced near Sloviansk.
My analysis :
🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️
Data above is from @Pouletvolant3 who has a strong regularity, using @Majakovsk73 data.
Below, Maps bases are from @M0nstas, with @Deepstate_UA and @AndrewPerpetua data.
The battle for Kostiantynivka has been ongoing for over 8 months.
Russian forces have been infiltrating the city's eastern, southern, and western sectors for several months; in recent weeks, they have—for the first time—managed to seize control of several neighborhoods, particularly in the west, and secure certain access routes to the city center.
Concurrently, Russian forces have launched a major propaganda campaign, showing flags across nearly the entire city and releasing videos showing their infiltration into most areas of Kostiantynivka.
Ukrainian forces maintain a presence throughout almost the entire city, although their hold on the southeastern and southwestern neighborhoods is increasingly threatened by the Russian advance into their rear. Fighting within the neighborhoods continues, and the Russian objective remains to seize control of the two roads supplying the city.
While the majority of Ukrainian assets—including drones and artillery—were evacuated in early June, the battle for the city (much like the earlier battle for Toretsk to the south) could drag on for weeks or even months until Russian forces achieve total control, enabling them to use the city as a hub for a northward push toward Drujkivka and Kramatorsk.
Overall, the battle for the city is lost, even though the Ukrainians still control more than a quarter of it—specifically the northeastern districts. It is important to understand that it is too early for Russian forces to use the city as a launch point for artillery or drone strikes; however, the initial drone units arriving in the coming weeks could intensify the threat to the northern supply routes leading to Drujkivka.
Since early May, Ukraine 🇺🇦 targeted nearly 800 Russian 🇷🇺 trucks and vehicles on key logistical roads.
This strike campaign continue to be scaling, with strikes on railway infrastructure, bridges and the isolation of Crimea.
🧵THREAD🧵1/17 ⬇️
Here is the video of the ~784 trucks and vehicles hit by the Ukrainians (mainly videos from the drones, since we can't always tell the difference with ground footage).
Strikes target military trucks, fuel trucks, cargo trucks, cars, buses and trucks closer to the frontline.
In total, I counted 784 trucks and vehicles hit by Ukrainian drones since early May.
🔹The per day average since May is 13
🔹May average is 7 (214 trucks)
🔹June average is 19 (570 trucks)
🔸Last 10 days average is 29 (295)
Ukraine 🇺🇦 has now targeted around 500 russian 🇷🇺 trucks and vehicles during the last 48 days.
Mid-range strikes continue to expand across occupied territories, on roads, bridges and rear base. This continues to slow down russian offensive.
🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️
From tomorrow, I will be off for more than 1 week, which means there won't be any new map/airstrike/fortification/mid-range strikes update, apart from some small tweets.
I will however continue to follow the overall trends.
In total, I have 270 geolocated strikes on trucks and vehicles since january, most of those are from May to June.
The key Rostov-Crimea road remains the priority target, but roads in Donetsk, Luhansk and Kherson oblast have also been largely targeted.