Crimea is connected with southern occupied Ukraine by multiple key bridges.
The one in Chonhar was hit few days ago by multiple drones, which forced the russians to put up a pontoon bridge for their road traffic.
At least 3 bridges have been recently hit. The one in Henichesk, the ones in Armyansk and in Stavky.
As we can see on the video, these strikes are putting holes in the middle of those key bridges. Any consolidation attempt will probably be hit.
Thus, all bridges leading from Crimea to Kherson are now cut, which further complicates russian logistics.
As you can understand, trucks will now follow fewer roads which will be under Ukrainian fire control, especially pontoon bridges.
This will further reinforce the fuel penury ongoing in Crimea, all the more as Ukraine continues to hit fuel trucks heading to Crimea, with few strikes on key roads in Crimea.
Mid-range strikes continue on key roads. I'm collecting screeshots from ukrainian drone videos showing a strike, with around 375 strikes on trucks and vehicles (more than 20km from the frontline in 95% of the time).
On the map, I have now around 230 hits, with 70 on the Rostov-Crimea road, 23 on Mariupol-Donetsk and more than 30 on Luhansk-Donetsk.
Key supply roads in Donbas are being hit everyday.
For months, drone strikes were limited on logistics close to the frontline (30 km maximum most of the time).
These strikes are still ongoing, but the same logistial means seen on this video (cars, SUV, loaf, Bukhanka, quad...) are being hit farther.
The focus was put on Mariupol and the roads in the south, but we shouldn't forget that multiple strikes are happening around Luhansk, Sievierodonetsk, Yenakieve, Horlivka or Donetsk.
The commander of the USF, Robert Magyar stated that arthere are minus 70% military traffic along the Rostov-Crimea road since the strikes started.
This morning, multiple vehicles could still be seen on the road, which means it continues to be used.
The more Ukraine will obtain drones and the more it will strike russian logistics.
3 months ago, FP-2 drones were used to strike high value targets like air-defense. It is now so much widespread that it can hit multiple bridges, electric substations or single trucks.
Thank you for following this new analysis ! I will later update on the russian airstrike campaign.
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Ukraine's 🇺🇦 mid-range strike campaign against Russian 🇷🇺 logistics continues, with more than 1 350 strikes on trucks and vehicles since early may
Railways, air-defense systems and energy infrastructure is also being hit on a daily basis.
🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️
Yesterday, @414magyarbirds posted an update about strikes on the key R-280 highway, so called "Novorossia" road between Rostov and Crimea.
On this road alone, I have around 175 geolocalized trucks and vehicles hit since early may.
It is highly likely that the number of trucks and vehicles hit by Ukrainian drones this month will be higher than the previous one, especially since video compilations are much more centralised by the USF.
We should expect a large number of videos for the end of the month.
During the first week of July, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to target Russian 🇷🇺 trucks and logistics, hitting more than 240 vehicles, 34 per day.
Despite fewer coverage, these strikes continue to be a very big problem for Russian forces across occupied territories.
🧵THREAD🧵1/8 ⬇️
The number of strikes continue to increase, with nearly 600 trucks and vehicles hit in june 2026 (around 20 per day) and already 240 for the 1st week of july (34 per day).
All these strikes are only the confirmed ones from ukrainian videos, I do not count videos from the ground.
Today, the Ukrainian army of drones () published a compilation of nearly 200 strikes on trucks and vehicles near Crimea.
This video covers multiple units work for the 1st week of July. The good point ? Everything is proven. t.me/robert_magyar/…
Recently, new videos emerged of Russian soldiers showing their flag far behind the frontline.
What is important about that is the aim of these operations : to show to the Russian command.
1/9 ⬇️
Russian flag videos are almost always the same. One or two Russian soldiers walk along the front line for weeks, evading Ukrainian detection.
Upon reaching the rear, they spend a day wandering through an entire village with their flag, while a drone overhead films them.
They are often not armed and will stay in the village for a long time, hidden in a basement, most of the time being found and captured/killed and sometimes go back to their lines.
These soldiers are not meant to disrupt Ukrainian rear but to create the illusion Russia controls an area.
In June 2026, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 8 284 airstrikes, of which I managed to map 49%
This airstrike campaign is at the heart of Russian offensive strategy and one of the biggest challenge to the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces.
🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️
With artillery and drones, airstrikes are the third phase of the Russian strike campaign.
These unguided bombs—the FAB-250, -500, -1000, and -1500—are fitted with a UMPK guidance kit and dropped from more than 50 km behind the front line.
Here you can see the results of those :
The use of these guided bombs is steadily increasing, reaching a record high this month.
The accuracy of the FABs, which ranged from 10% to 30% last year (with "accuracy" defined as hitting something, such as a hedgerow, a village, or a forest), now stands at between 40% and 90%.
In June, Russia occupied 28 km2 and continued offensive operations in 7 directions out of 12. Russian forces took control of some neighbourhoods inside Kostiantynivka and advanced near Sloviansk.
My analysis :
🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️
Data above is from @Pouletvolant3 who has a strong regularity, using @Majakovsk73 data.
Below, Maps bases are from @M0nstas, with @Deepstate_UA and @AndrewPerpetua data.
The battle for Kostiantynivka has been ongoing for over 8 months.
Russian forces have been infiltrating the city's eastern, southern, and western sectors for several months; in recent weeks, they have—for the first time—managed to seize control of several neighborhoods, particularly in the west, and secure certain access routes to the city center.
Concurrently, Russian forces have launched a major propaganda campaign, showing flags across nearly the entire city and releasing videos showing their infiltration into most areas of Kostiantynivka.
Ukrainian forces maintain a presence throughout almost the entire city, although their hold on the southeastern and southwestern neighborhoods is increasingly threatened by the Russian advance into their rear. Fighting within the neighborhoods continues, and the Russian objective remains to seize control of the two roads supplying the city.
While the majority of Ukrainian assets—including drones and artillery—were evacuated in early June, the battle for the city (much like the earlier battle for Toretsk to the south) could drag on for weeks or even months until Russian forces achieve total control, enabling them to use the city as a hub for a northward push toward Drujkivka and Kramatorsk.
Overall, the battle for the city is lost, even though the Ukrainians still control more than a quarter of it—specifically the northeastern districts. It is important to understand that it is too early for Russian forces to use the city as a launch point for artillery or drone strikes; however, the initial drone units arriving in the coming weeks could intensify the threat to the northern supply routes leading to Drujkivka.