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Jun 23 20 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ Russia's air defence teams are manned by "homeless people, alcoholics, deserters, disabled people, idiots", complains a Russian warblogger. In the face of continued failures to stop Ukrainian drone attacks, urgent investment in robotic defence systems is advocated. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Military Chronicle' argues that "recent incidents involving the use of attack drones against targets in Moscow and Voronezh demonstrate that the human factor is becoming the most critical vulnerability in modern air defence systems."
3/ 'Dead Heads' explains that Russia's mobile fire teams are attracting the wrong kind of recruits: "We're forming Mobile Task Forces (MOGs) and assembling them by units: homeless people, alcoholics, 500s, disabled people, idiots – why aren't they shooting down anything?"
4/ Other reports have highlighted that many Russians have often been reluctant to join MOGs. They are formally part of the Ministry of Defence, and signing a contract to join one does not mean that one is exempted from being sent to fight in Ukraine – as has already happened.
5/ For this reason, Russian drone developers such as Alexey Chadayev have frequently argued that air defence should become the responsibility of a separate civilian organisation. Given that it has been a military responsibility since Soviet times, this seems unlikely to happen.
6/ 'Dead Heads' comments:

"Regarding the topic of Mobile Task Forces (MOGs) and their scaling, the problem is obvious and lies in two areas: absolute lack of preparation and a lack of understanding of the importance of their work."
7/ "While some MOGs are actually on duty and don't sleep, with a large number of kills, others perceive the MOGs as a failure.
8/ "They want to be farther away from the brass, have a chance to have a quiet drink, and blame the lack of results on inoperative equipment or hardware failure.
9/ "All hope lies in the rapid implementation and scaling of robotic anti-aircraft platforms like the Citadel [an automatic air defence gun from Rostec]."
10/ 'Military Chronicle' concurs:

"The concept of protecting rear areas requires a transition to highly automated, cost-effective, and mass-produced systems."
11/ "While full robotisation is difficult to achieve for long- and medium-range systems (such as the S-400, S-500, and prospective modifications of the Buk family of air defense systems) due to the specific nature of their operational use, this task is entirely feasible in the…
12/ …short-range air defence segment.

Experience with the deployment of mobile fire teams (MOGs) staffed exclusively by personnel has revealed the limits of such formations' effectiveness in repelling dense air attacks.
13/ "Human physiological limitations—delayed reaction times, cognitive errors under stress, and the difficulty of calculating lead time and firing large-caliber systems at high-speed, small targets—objectively reduce interception effectiveness.
14/ "Stabilisation of the situation is impossible without the integration of automatic detection and target designation stations based on high-frequency X- and Ku-band radars, which offer high resolution for detecting targets with a small radar cross-section (RCS).
15/ "Systems developed by Rostec State Corporation enterprises (including the Citadel series) confirm the high priority of automation.
16/ "However, work in this area must be accelerated, with the human operator transferred exclusively to the backup control loop, as no current solution allows for simultaneous autonomous and effective interception.
17/ "Trends in the development of air attack capabilities indicate the need not only for new solutions but also for the extensive robotisation of combat-proven short-range air defence systems—in particular, the Pantsir-S1 family of anti-aircraft missile and gun systems (ZRPK).
18/ "It would be appropriate to redesign these platforms as fully autonomous modular systems with a significantly increased ammunition load.
19/ "The modernised complex must be capable of autonomous operation in a given area without the direct involvement of a human operator or technical maintenance for periods ranging from several days to two weeks." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jun 24
1/ Ukraine is using quadcopter drones carried by uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) to hunt down and destroy Russian anti-drone teams in occupied Crimea, according to a Russian source. ⬇️ Image
2/ Ukrainian drone carrier USVs have been observed in use in the Black Sea in recent months. The Russian warblogger 'Veterans' Notes' describes how they are being used to support Ukraine's middle-strike campaign, by suppressing air defences in the occupied regions:
3/ "Regarding mobile task forces (MOGs) on the peninsula, the enemy has begun actively hunting them. There have already been numerous cases of MOG crews coming under fire from Ukrainian drones and suffering losses. These attacks were carried out on the coast using FPV drones.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 24
1/ The Russian government is a "great hypnotoad" that is trying to distract the population from the fact that things are bad and about to get worse, says Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova. She complains that the government is attempting to "zombify people". ⬇️
2/ A common complaint among Russian warbloggers in recent months has been that the Russian government frequently but ineptly tries to play down the deteriorating situation with the Ukraine war, through so-called "anti-crisis" propaganda or simply not mentioning Ukrainian attacks.
3/ They point out that this is highly ineffective and erodes trust in the government, as anyone with an Internet connection can see – even on Russian pro-war Telegram channels – that things are not going well.
Read 18 tweets
Jun 24
1/ Russian commanders are being accused of failing to ensure that their soldiers do not wear neo-Nazi and far-right insignia. The practice is said to be widespread. However, a crackdown is apparently underway, with offenders being sent to die in assault units. ⬇️ Image
2/ Throughout the war in Ukraine, Russian soldiers have been photographed wearing unofficial patches representing extremist ideologies, such as death's-head insignia, Nazi runes, and the "black sun" Sonnenrad symbol.
3/ This reflects the appeal of far-right and neo-Nazi ideology among Russian nationalists. (Indeed, there is an entire neo-Nazi paramilitary group, the Sabotage Assault Reconnaissance Group (DShRG) 'Rusich', fighting alongside the Russian regular forces.)
Read 11 tweets
Jun 23
1/ Russian warbloggers have steadily become bolder in calling for Russia's leadership to be replaced to overcome the current stalemate in Ukraine. Calling the current situation "hopeless", 'Verum Regnum' calls for new leadership in Russia so that it can win the war. ⬇️ Image
2/ While well aware that open criticism of Vladimir Putin is still too dangerous a step, many warbloggers are willing to criticise "the system" in general terms or call out specific officials regarded as failing, such as Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov
3/ This kind of approach, which could be summed up as "the Tsar should replace his boyars", is clearly visible in what 'Verum Regnum' writes on Telegram:

"Do you know what a "hopeless situation" is? It's a situation where we don't like the simple, obvious way out."
Read 16 tweets
Jun 22
1/ The Russian warblogger 'Fighterbomber', a retired Russian air force pilot, is taking heavy flak from other warbloggers for disclosing a fuel delivery to Crimea that the Ukrainians promptly blew up. "Go fuck yourself. Preferably holding hands," he responds. ⬇️ Image
2/ On 17 June, in an apparent attempt to refute widespread accounts of fuel shortages in Crimea, 'Fighterbomber' wrote on his Telegram channel: "The audience is saying that fuel has arrived in Crimea. Lots of it. There's more coming. 😍"
3/ Three days later, Ukrainian forces struck the Kerch oil terminal's fuel depot, causing a major fire. An official Ukrainian Telegram channel trolled Fighterbomber by crediting the warblogger for the strike (it's unlikely that he had any influence on it).
Read 23 tweets
Jun 22
1/ Dozens of specialist workers were likely killed or wounded in today's Ukrainian strike in Voronezh. Russian warbloggers are dismayed, complain that the Russian government is ignoring it, and call for London to be nuked in retaliation. ⬇️
2/ Heavy missiles (it's not yet clear what type; the Russian warbloggers assume a UK/French Storm Shadow or SCALP/ER) have caused heavy damage and raging fires at the Voronezh Semiconductor Devices Plant, a vital element of Russia's missile production chain.
3/ The regional governor says that five people are known to have died, with dozens more injured. He says that while most were able to take shelter and survived, many ignored the alert and were caught up in the attack.
Read 24 tweets

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