arctotherium Profile picture
Jun 24 15 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Thread with excerpts from TR Fehrenbach's "Fire and Blood: A History of Mexico" (1995), on post-Revolutionary Mexico. To justify land reform, the revolutionaries revived the principle that expropriation was justifiable if the national interests demanded it. Image
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The Constitutionalists defeated the Villistas in battle and assassinated the leader of the last revolutionary faction, Zapata, by treachery. Image
Carranza, the erstwhile leader of the victorious Constitutionalists, dug his own grave by trying to promote someone other than Obregon to the presidency after him; he was forced to flee the capital, run down, and murdered. Image
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Alvaro Obregon faced the critical problem of a dirt-poor, destroyed, nationalistic (in a country that desperately needed foreign capital) Mexico, full of Mexicans who demanded land expropriation ASAP. He successfully balanced social demands with economic needs. Image
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There was a major rebellion against Obregon in 1923; his regime was saved by much-hated Yankee support. He took advantage of his victory to kill most of his major opponents and permanently destroy the military as an independent power-base, eliminating Mexico's Pretorian class. Image
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The succeeding Calles presidency was more severe than Obregon (lots of "shot while attempting to escape"), and ramped up spending on education and land reform (while not bowing to the temptation to fully abolish private property). Image
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The business and social elite remained white(-ish) while the military and political elite were turned brown by the Revolution. Calles did not allow an independent labor to destroy incipient capitalist development. Image
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During the Calles presidency, the Mexican Church effectively revolted over the constitutional requirement to "six years of socialist education for every child." Image
The Mexican Church went on strike for three years, refusing to administer sacraments, in the expectation that this would inspire resistance among the pious masses. But the Mexican masses, lacking theological sophistication, didn't even notice and just kept going to Church. Image
However, some devout middle- and upper-class men launched a guerilla war against the government on behalf of the Church, the cristero revolt. Calles cracked down hard, torturing, massacring, and plundering the faithful (*especially* those uninvolved in the revolt). Image
Calles and Obregon attempted to subvert the "no re-election" clause of the Constitution by giving Obregon another (non-consecutive) term as president, fortunately (?) for Mexico, Obregon was assassinated; Mexican Catholics were scapegoated. Image
This touched off another round of anti-clericalism, up to and including machine-gunning Catholics en route to Mass and demolishing Churches. This 'Red Terror' lasted through 1934; the Mexican Church was down to under 100 priests. Image
Calles continued to rule for the six years of Obregon's unexpired term under a series of puppet presidents. His administration was brutal, cynical, and corrupt, but nevertheless gave Mexico reasonably good government. Image
Calles had to balance two issues:
1) The indios and peasants might rise again; they still had their guns
2) The indios and peasants were completely useless, deadweight, to a modern society
He balanced moderate land redistribution with Diaz-style industrial development. Image
The Great Depression convinced Calles that land reform had to end, as Mexico needed every bit of productivity it could get and the redistribution hurt output. Image

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More from @arctotherium42

Jun 25
Employers hiring people and then training them in the specific skills they require has declined as a hiring model for decades, in favor of a hiring market where employers look for people who already have those skills. Image
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In the training/internal labor markets model, a company struggling to find specific skills will train promising entry-level employees. In the hiring market model, they can raise wages or otherwise improve conditions. In both, they can also substitute technology for labor. Image
Neither a hiring market nor training model for matching jobs to seekers is compatible with "skill shortages" as a concept, which implicitly assumes skills are fixed and once people with those skills run out employers can do nothing (except through immigration or schooling). Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 24
"Fire and Blood: A History of Mexico" (TR Fehrenbach, 1973/1995) thread of threads. Mesoamerican civilization was horrifying and very backwards by Old World standards, but unique.
Read 13 tweets
Jun 24
Excerpts from TR Fehrenbach's "Fire and Blood: A History of Mexico" (1995). The PRI had massively expanded higher education. These universities were entirely 'free'/self-governing and became locuses of left-wing organizing. Image
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In 1968, security forces fired upon a massive student demonstration/riot against the Olympic Games. Image
By 1970 Mexico had made enormous progress; the national income increased sixfold while the death rate dropped by half. But Mexico was still struggling with foreign-exchange; the govt pursued import-substitution to improve balance-of-payments. Image
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Read 13 tweets
Jun 24
Thread with excerpts from the Partido Nacional Revolucionario (PNR) section of TR Fehrenbach's "Fire and Blood: A History of Mexico" (1995). Calles created the PNR in 1929 to institutionalize the govt and Revolution, creating a Mexican party-state. Image
The Calles/Obregon governments were corrupt, but never succumbed to paranoia; there was no equivalent to the Soviet or Chinese liquidations of class enemies, the press was free, and the average Mexican had nothing to fear from the govt (Red Terror against the Church aside). Image
Roughly 19M acres were redistributed through 1933; most land remained with latifundios. But the new latifundios were not like the old ones, they were commercial enterprises rather than social systems. The clerics, army, and latifundistas were all tamed by Calles/Obregon. Image
Read 25 tweets
Jun 22
Excerpts from TR Fehrenbach's "Fire and Blood: A History of Mexico" (1973). The Porfiriato gave Mexico a generation of stability and development for the first time since independence. This left Mexico overdue for another civil war: the Mexican Revolution.
One problem was that the Porfirian school system had created a large, literate middle structure (not class). These educated mestizos became dissatisfied due to lack of opportunity; growth was rapid but not rapid enough to absorb them all. Image
The Revolution kicked off in 1910, when Diaz announced he'd won reelection with 99% of the vote. This kicked off an insurgency in Chihuahua, in the mestizo, frontier north. Image
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Read 26 tweets
Jun 22
Thread with excerpts from the 'Porfiriato' section of TR Fehrenbach's "Fire and Blood: A History of Mexico" (1973). This was the first era of stability and economic growth in post-independence Mexico, summed up with the slogan "Order and Progress." Image
Independent Mexico's problem was that Mexicans were incapable of setting aside personalisms for truly national institutions; congress, for example, was a joke. Image
Benito Juarez greatly expanded secular education; but this turned out to be more of a curse than a boon, because the vast majority of people with schooling insisted on government or legal jobs; very few became doctors or engineers or technicians. Image
Read 18 tweets

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