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Jun 24 25 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Thread with excerpts from the Partido Nacional Revolucionario (PNR) section of TR Fehrenbach's "Fire and Blood: A History of Mexico" (1995). Calles created the PNR in 1929 to institutionalize the govt and Revolution, creating a Mexican party-state. Image
The Calles/Obregon governments were corrupt, but never succumbed to paranoia; there was no equivalent to the Soviet or Chinese liquidations of class enemies, the press was free, and the average Mexican had nothing to fear from the govt (Red Terror against the Church aside). Image
Roughly 19M acres were redistributed through 1933; most land remained with latifundios. But the new latifundios were not like the old ones, they were commercial enterprises rather than social systems. The clerics, army, and latifundistas were all tamed by Calles/Obregon. Image
The intellectuals of the Revolution praised the indios, but it was the Revolution that finally destroyed them as a distinct group, turning them into mestizo Mexicans. This was necessary; modern Mexico derives from Spain, Europe, and the West. Image
The Revolutionary period produced the first great outburst of Mexican artistic creativity since the early colonial era. Image
In 1933, the PNR met to draw up a Six-Year Plan for Mexico, on the model of Stalin's USSR. More importantly, Calles chose Lazaro Cardenas to be his next figurehead president. Image
Cardenas turned out to be a sort of Mexican FDR, a genius politician who used the new institutional machinery of the PNR to outmaneuver and marginalize Calles before taking Mexico (fully legal, institutionally conservative, peaceful) in a socialist, agrarian direction. Image
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Cardenas massively scaled up land reform/expropriations, preferentially seizing the best and most improved fields. This tanked and paralyzed production. Image
Turning over modern agrarian enterprises (large-scale plantations in the south, built up by recent European or Levantine immigrants and doing capital-intensive production for the world market) to indio peasant communes (ejidos) turned out to be a disaster. Image
Cardenas then set up Soviet-style govt collective farms with the seized land. As in the USSR, this did not work, and extreme population growth made the situation worse. Image
Cardenas expropriated ~1/5 of arable Mexican land between 1934 and 1940. This proved a disaster, as agriculture bureaucrats had no idea how to farm, but proved an indestructible constituency. Mexico was fed by the remaining smallholders and plantations. Image
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Cardenas also experimented with worker control over enterprises, nationalizing several industries and turning them over to the unions. This was also a disaster, but unlike with the ejidos he was able to reverse course and run them as commercial enterprises. Image
Cardenas wound up nationalizing the foreign-owned oil industry almost by accident over a labor dispute in 1938. If the US had protested over seizure of property, it probably wouldn't have worked, but the FDR administration was pretty much OK with it. Image
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The first few years of PEMEX were a disaster like the rest of Cardenas' nationalizations, but American technical assistance and demand during WWII turned into a modernized and more-or-less efficient behemoth. Image
Ironically, one advantage PEMEX had over private foreign operators was the ability to outlaw and crush labor agitation at will; striking against foreign management was acceptable, but not striking against the (socialist-ish) Mexican government. Image
One of the distinguishing features of the Mexican Revolution and PNR was lack of dogmatism; each president defined his age, but could not outlast his six years in office. The PNR provided an arena where crucial decisions could be made without blood on the streets. Image
After the radical Cardenas era, the PNR moderated; Cardenas and his faction accepted defeat peacefully. Image
WWII enormously benefited Mexico; US technical assistance revolutionized the economy, Lend-Lease modernized the military, and skyrocketing demand boosted the formal and industrial economy, leaving Mexico economically healthier than ever before. Image
The Camacho presidency finally halted the land expropriations to increase national food supply, and began granting formal titles to medium-sized estates. Image
The PNR institutionalized succession, choosing the next president by compromise and consensus. This worked better than most democratic systems between 1940 and 1970. Image
The post-Cardenas PNR were basically non-ideological problem-solvers, statists but not socialists, who prioritized industrial/capitalistic/technical/economic development and political stability over all else. Image
The postwar PNR often preferred working with foreign businessmen, as they were more pacient and demanded less-rapid returns than their Mexican counterparts, and brought desperately-needed tech. Image
In 1958, Communist labor leaders attempted a nationwide series of strikes; President Matteos broke them with federal troops and imprisoned the union chiefs. Image
On the outbreak of the Cuban Revolution, the retired-but-still-influential Cardenas took the side of Castro, winning the "Stalin Peace Prize." The Mexican govt as a whole was friendly to Cuba but aggressively arrested Cuban agents. Image
Falling infant mortality led to a colossal population boom and rural misery; this touched off mass immigration to the United States, adding to the accumulated social and cultural problems of the US Southwest. Image
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More from @arctotherium42

Jul 25
This is generically true - across almost all rich countries, women are 2-2.5x as likely to work for the state as men. Image
Removing teachers (and soldiers, for fairness) lowers the gap, but it's still a big difference. Image
You can get slightly different numbers depending on what source you use and what exactly you count as public, but they all tell the same substantive story. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 19
New blog post (link below). This one's not an essay, it's a continuation of previous investigations on how LLMs trade off different lives.

In February 2025, the Center for AI Safety published "Utility Engineering: Analyzing and Controlling Emergent Value Systems in AIs" in which they showed, among many other things, that GPT-4o values Nigerians about 20x more highly than Americans (please read the original paper to understand their approach). I updated their framework with different categories and newer models in October 2025, and discovered that with the exception of Grok 4 (Fast), all models placed far more value on the lives of "left-coded" groups (nonwhites, non-men, LGBTQ, immigrants, leftists, Third Worlders) over "right-coded" groups (whites, men, non-queers, ICE agents, rightists, First Worlders). For example, Sonnet 4.5 saw the lives of South Asians as about 18 times as valuable as the lives of whites.

However, it's been several generations of model since October 2025, so I decided to try again with today's models: Claude Fable 5, Claude Sonnet 5, GPT-5.6 Sol, Grok 4.5, and Kimi K3. As it turns out, all of them are MUCH more egalitarian than their counterparts (except Grok 4.5, since Grok 4 was already egalitarian) from a year ago.

Finding 1: Sonnet 5 was the only model even close to last year's models, valuing nonwhites roughly four times higher than whites.

Finding 2: GPT-5.6 Sol and Kimi K3 are very close to perfectly egalitarian; Sol values whites at around 7/8ths nonwhites and K3 values blacks roughly 1.3 times as much as whites; these are tiny ratios by the standards of last year.

Finding 3: Claude Fable is pretty much perfectly egalitarian. This is very, very different from last year's Claude models. Grok 4.5 has retained the egalitarianism of previous generations of Grok despite the giant increase in capabilities and different team.

Every model I tested would have been the most egalitarian model (aside from Grok 4) last year. All models have come to resemble Grok in their exchange rates.Image
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Read 12 tweets
Jul 19
This is wrong. Kirk was not a particularly hated figure before he was killed; he was seen by Redditor-types as a goofy meme figure of mockery (see below, from 2023). He was only demonized by lefties *after* he was murdered, to retroactively justify the assassination. Image
Kirk was not a case of the lib hate machine whipping up hatred against someone until someone took a shot at him, it was a case of the lib hate machine ramping up after he was murdered.
This is one of the reasons why his murder was so shocking; I sort of expected people taking shots at Trump or Stephen Miller or even Elon Musk, who libs collectively saw as Hitler II, but not Kirk, who they mostly saw as a lolcow.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 13
Thread with excerpts from "Foundations, their power and influence" (1958), by the former chairman of the Reece Committee, a Congressional committee to investigate the conduct of tax-exempt foundations. Image
The administrators of the great foundations formed an interlocking cartel wielding (illegally) immense political and cultural influence using other people's money, as the foundations are tax exempt. Image
Foundations are tax-exempt because they are supposed to be run for public benefit. Image
Read 32 tweets
Jul 11
Thread with excerpts from "The French Intifada: The Long War Between France and its Arabs" (2014). This book, by a leftist (participant in communes) author, portrays race riots by Arab immigrants to France as simply one more episode in a centuries-long war between the two. Image
Both the French Left and Right framed the 2005 riots as part of the long French tradition of revolt. But they were wrong; the protestors were mostly Arabs rioting against France itself, not against "the bosses" or "the state." Image
The rioters (remember, Arab immigrants and their descendants) see themselves as soldiers in a long war against France, Europe, and even civilization itself. Recall that the author is on their side. Image
Read 21 tweets
Jul 3
'The Unknown Warriors' (2006) is a collection of WWII veteran's views on modern Britain gathered via newspaper ad. So what did WWII veterans think of the 2006 UK? They hated it; 134 responses were negative vs only 6 positive (plus 31 N/A and 13 neutral). Excerpts below. Image
The below is typical (from a D-Day veteran): "I am absolutely disgusted with the way things are turning out... and sometimes wonder if it was worth all the suffering of a war." Image
"I have many, many misgivings on how matters have turned out. Problems seem to be resolved, by more and more legislation, instead of action at the source... What many veterans abhor, is the acceptance of homosexuality as the norm." Image
Read 57 tweets

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