1/ The Russian government is a "great hypnotoad" that is trying to distract the population from the fact that things are bad and about to get worse, says Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova. She complains that the government is attempting to "zombify people". ⬇️
2/ A common complaint among Russian warbloggers in recent months has been that the Russian government frequently but ineptly tries to play down the deteriorating situation with the Ukraine war, through so-called "anti-crisis" propaganda or simply not mentioning Ukrainian attacks.
3/ They point out that this is highly ineffective and erodes trust in the government, as anyone with an Internet connection can see – even on Russian pro-war Telegram channels – that things are not going well.
4/ Some argue that the government isn't being straight with people about the future either. Kashevarova (who is very pro-war) says that the government is bamboozling people into thinking that there isn't going to be "a coming bloodbath with the West":
5/ "The situation is difficult, very difficult. I don't think our people had all that much faith in Trump. What was said publicly, this whole "spirit of Anchorage," the attempt to initiate a peace process—on our part, this is also a delaying of a direct confrontation…
6/ …with the West. An attempt to buy time, and, of course, there was the possibility, a very slim one, that it might work out.
Today's statements, already public, indicate that we are a hair's breadth away from a direct confrontation with the collective West.
7/ "I don't even want to think that 'Alaska' was conceived to buy time to arm Kyiv, but in reality, it turned out the way it did," Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said today. Lavrov not only thought this, he knew it.
8/ "The Russian President said today: "Western countries haven't yet reached the point of attacking Russia from their own territory; they understand there will be a retaliatory strike... Western countries are openly talking about preparing for war with Russia."
9/ "And I can tell you, the front is still coping with its limited forces and the enemy's air superiority. The rear isn't coping.
10/ "Some in high places didn't want to entertain the terrifying thought of a coming bloodbath with the West.Instead of preparing intensively and reorganising, the emphasis was placed on instilling in the minds of Russians, via the media,…
11/ …the idea that what we’re facing is a localised conflict, a ‘special military operation’—not a war at all. And as for the fact that drones have been reaching as far as Omsk – well, that’s just a psychological attack. Don’t worry. Don’t worry. Don’t worry…
12/ "So, there's this huge hypnotoad at work inside the country, explaining to people that losses at the front, the left-wing capture of Kupyansk, the 5th or 10th liberation of the LPR during the Special Military Operation, the strikes on oil refineries and gasoline shortages,…
13/ …the closure of highways to Crimea, the shelling of highways in Donbas, Rostov, Belgorod, Bryansk, Voronezh, and so on, missile strikes deep into the country, the deaths of civilians in the Moscow region, the murder of generals in Moscow—it's all a psychological attack.
14/ "Forgive me, but trying to explain to the parents of the eight-year-old who died in the Moscow region, or the parents of children killed in Starobilsk, Belgorod, Kursk, Bryansk, and Donetsk, that this is a psychological attack is simply brutal.
15/ "But even that failed. You can't just snap a finger and make people stop worrying, especially when drones are attacking Russian regions every day, when people see the situation on the front lines, when civilians are dying deep in the rear, when thousands of…
16/ …assholes recruited by the SBU and GUR are being rounded up by the FSB every day.
It's normal to worry. I'm an anxious person, like many others. Anxious people prepare for the worst, they think up plans А and Б, and when they run out of Cyrillic, they switch to Latin.
17/ "It's not normal to panic or to lie every day that everything is under control, everything is fine, when it's not.
18/ "It's not normal to zombify people and prevent them from being prepared for a serious fight for their lives, for the lives of their children and for their homeland." /end
1/ Ukraine is using quadcopter drones carried by uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) to hunt down and destroy Russian anti-drone teams in occupied Crimea, according to a Russian source. ⬇️
2/ Ukrainian drone carrier USVs have been observed in use in the Black Sea in recent months. The Russian warblogger 'Veterans' Notes' describes how they are being used to support Ukraine's middle-strike campaign, by suppressing air defences in the occupied regions:
3/ "Regarding mobile task forces (MOGs) on the peninsula, the enemy has begun actively hunting them. There have already been numerous cases of MOG crews coming under fire from Ukrainian drones and suffering losses. These attacks were carried out on the coast using FPV drones.
1/ Russian commanders are being accused of failing to ensure that their soldiers do not wear neo-Nazi and far-right insignia. The practice is said to be widespread. However, a crackdown is apparently underway, with offenders being sent to die in assault units. ⬇️
2/ Throughout the war in Ukraine, Russian soldiers have been photographed wearing unofficial patches representing extremist ideologies, such as death's-head insignia, Nazi runes, and the "black sun" Sonnenrad symbol.
3/ This reflects the appeal of far-right and neo-Nazi ideology among Russian nationalists. (Indeed, there is an entire neo-Nazi paramilitary group, the Sabotage Assault Reconnaissance Group (DShRG) 'Rusich', fighting alongside the Russian regular forces.)
1/ Russian warbloggers have steadily become bolder in calling for Russia's leadership to be replaced to overcome the current stalemate in Ukraine. Calling the current situation "hopeless", 'Verum Regnum' calls for new leadership in Russia so that it can win the war. ⬇️
2/ While well aware that open criticism of Vladimir Putin is still too dangerous a step, many warbloggers are willing to criticise "the system" in general terms or call out specific officials regarded as failing, such as Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov
3/ This kind of approach, which could be summed up as "the Tsar should replace his boyars", is clearly visible in what 'Verum Regnum' writes on Telegram:
"Do you know what a "hopeless situation" is? It's a situation where we don't like the simple, obvious way out."
1/ Russia's air defence teams are manned by "homeless people, alcoholics, deserters, disabled people, idiots", complains a Russian warblogger. In the face of continued failures to stop Ukrainian drone attacks, urgent investment in robotic defence systems is advocated. ⬇️
2/ 'Military Chronicle' argues that "recent incidents involving the use of attack drones against targets in Moscow and Voronezh demonstrate that the human factor is becoming the most critical vulnerability in modern air defence systems."
3/ 'Dead Heads' explains that Russia's mobile fire teams are attracting the wrong kind of recruits: "We're forming Mobile Task Forces (MOGs) and assembling them by units: homeless people, alcoholics, 500s, disabled people, idiots – why aren't they shooting down anything?"
1/ The Russian warblogger 'Fighterbomber', a retired Russian air force pilot, is taking heavy flak from other warbloggers for disclosing a fuel delivery to Crimea that the Ukrainians promptly blew up. "Go fuck yourself. Preferably holding hands," he responds. ⬇️
2/ On 17 June, in an apparent attempt to refute widespread accounts of fuel shortages in Crimea, 'Fighterbomber' wrote on his Telegram channel: "The audience is saying that fuel has arrived in Crimea. Lots of it. There's more coming. 😍"
3/ Three days later, Ukrainian forces struck the Kerch oil terminal's fuel depot, causing a major fire. An official Ukrainian Telegram channel trolled Fighterbomber by crediting the warblogger for the strike (it's unlikely that he had any influence on it).
1/ Dozens of specialist workers were likely killed or wounded in today's Ukrainian strike in Voronezh. Russian warbloggers are dismayed, complain that the Russian government is ignoring it, and call for London to be nuked in retaliation. ⬇️
2/ Heavy missiles (it's not yet clear what type; the Russian warbloggers assume a UK/French Storm Shadow or SCALP/ER) have caused heavy damage and raging fires at the Voronezh Semiconductor Devices Plant, a vital element of Russia's missile production chain.
3/ The regional governor says that five people are known to have died, with dozens more injured. He says that while most were able to take shelter and survived, many ignored the alert and were caught up in the attack.