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Jun 30 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ Ukraine's attacks on Russia's space communications complexes appear intended to systematically degrade the Russian military's ability to access satellite imagery and communications. Analysts say they'll have a serious impact on military capabilities. ⬇️ Image
2/ Ukraine has so far carried out three attacks on Russia's space communication centers (SCCs) in the Moscow and Vladimir regions. The Dubna SCC was hit twice, on 22 and 30 June, and the Vladimir SCC in Gus-Khrustalny was hit on 24 June.
3/ At Vladimir, the main complex's 25-metre parabolic antenna and the antenna on the roof of the Main Hardware and Software Complex were both damaged. The central part of the latter complex also suffered significant damage, along with the Hardware and Technical Building No. 1.
4/ These buildings house satellite modems and multiplexers, as well as the central switching node, to which fibre-optic communication lines with other space centers are connected.
5/ They also house transmission and reception complexes, the central switching cable route of the SCC's antennas, and equipment for cooling the main antenna's transmitters and electronics.
6/ Three other complexes have not yet been attacked – the Medved'ye Lakes centre (Moscow region) and the Zheleznogorsk (Krasnoyarsk Krai) and Khabarovsk (Khabarovsk Krai) complexes have not been hit.
7/ These sites are a more difficult target for Ukrainian attacks, as they are further from the border. They are likely to need the use of long-range drones, of which a larger number would be needed due to their smaller payloads.
8/ Military analysts say that the attacks will hamper secure satellite communications for the Russian authorities and military, as well as disrupting the Russian military's ability to access the global Internet via satellite.
9/ Russian warbloggers acknowledge the strategic significance of the attacks. Vladimir Romanov comments:

"The enemy is systematically and purposefully knocking out the Space Communications Centers of the Russian Federation."
10/ He complains that "people of retirement age [i.e. the Russian leadership] are constantly expressing their readiness for negotiations and surrendering terrorists from Azov."

'Brothers in Arms' urges readers to "Appreciate the scale of the shitstorm."
11/ "While we're here on the front lines pooling our money for Chinese radios and trying to establish some kind of communication between neighboring forest detachments, the Ukrainians are casually launching their drones hundreds of kilometers into our territory.
12/ "And they're not hitting random targets, but a strategic space communication hub right in the Moscow region.
13/ "Where is our legendary, unparalleled layered air defence system? Where is the impenetrable shield over strategic facilities, which they've been sweetly talking about on TV for years?
14/ "Obviously, it's just a pretty slide for presentations at Frunzenskaya [the Russian MOD HQ in Moscow]. The enemy is methodically, professionally blinding and deafening us at the state level.
15/ "But in the official reports, we'll once again be fed the usual lie that "the air defence system worked as intended, and the grass was damaged by falling debris". We'll keep pretending everything is going exactly according to plan." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jul 27
1/ Russia isn't winning in Ukraine and it's all the fault of Russian society, says an angry Russian warblogger. Seeking an explanation for why (in the eyes of warbloggers) Russia has not yet started "fighting for real", he blames ordinary Russians for apathy and cowardice. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russian society has been massively atomised under the rule of Vladimir Putin, with the near-destruction of most civil society organisations (apart from a limited number approved of or tolerated by the state). Passive subservience is welcomed; collective action is discouraged.
3/ This nuance seems to have passed by the author of the 'It's Time To Go Home ZOV' Telegram channel, who thinks that his fellow citizens, rather than the oppressive regime they live under, are to blame for the current situation:
Read 18 tweets
Jul 27
1/ Wildberries sellers are generally blaming the Russian government, rather than Ukraine, for their losses. It's an interesting and striking dynamic, which Russian warbloggers say the Russian government itself has created through its suppression of bad news. ⬇️ Image
2/ Over the last couple of weeks, Russian social media has been flooded with videos of distraught Wildberries sellers weeping over their huge losses as a result of Ukrainian drone strikes against warehouses across Russia.
3/ Tens to hundreds of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses have lost much if not all of their stock, with total financial losses just from inventory alone already reckoned to be in the billions of dollars. Ukraine, however, has received surprisingly little blame.
Read 21 tweets
Jul 27
1/ A rare Russian armoured assault on 22 June ended in disaster, with the loss of numerous vehicles and the reported deaths of scores of Russians. Russian warbloggers are scathing about the losses, seeing the attack as incompetent. ⬇️
2/ FT military correspondent Andrey Filatov is highly critical, using a standard euphemism for the Russian army to evade censorship:
3/ "The enemy's video report is all standard fare: analog FPV, fiber optics, Mavics. The new thing is a strike wing approaching a stationary "shed" [turtle tank] All these threats can be worked on, but they're not for the brilliant commanders of the Laotian army...
Read 15 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin has strongly hinted that Russia should claim the entire eastern half of Ukraine, going far beyond the existing annexation of the Donbas and southern Ukraine. He foresees a future in which western Ukraine is also annexed by its neighbours. ⬇️
2/ In a meeting with sailors in St Petersburg to mark Navy Day today, Putin extensively discussed Russia's historical rights over Ukraine, highlighting in the process his obsession with Russian and Ukrainian history and his dubious reading of it.
3/ He told them that "Ukraine has always been divided into Left-Bank and Right-Bank. Left-Bank Ukraine has always been considered not just Russia-oriented, but part of Russia." Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin is today celebrating the 330th anniversary of the Russian Navy. However, it's a muted, shrunken event held under the shadow of Ukrainian drone strikes and with the Black Sea Fleet blockaded in Novorossiysk. Russian commentators fear for the Navy's future. ⬇️
2/ Putin has today been at the Main Admiralty of the Russian Navy in St. Petersburg for Navy Day to mark the Navy's 330th anniversary since its foundation under Peter the Great. He spoke of the Navy and Marines' "important role in the Special Military Operation."
3/ "Shipborne complexes are delivering devastating strikes against the enemy with high-precision weapons. Marines are advancing, fighting bravely, skillfully, and fearlessly. The entire country supports them and awaits their return home with victory."
Read 32 tweets
Jul 26
1/ A Russian commander has reportedly come up with a novel form of 'flag-sticking', the practice of planting flags in Ukrainian-held territory to falsely report advances. He was reportedly caught using AI to fake flag-sticking events to conceal his territorial losses. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Donetsk Infantry' has posted an insight into the problems that the Russian command is continuing to have. with false reports from the ground. These have led to the war being fought on the basis of grossly inaccurate control of terrain maps.
3/ He writes: "On the role of AI in the Ministry of Defence’s reports," likely with reference to one of the areas in the Zaporizhzhia region where Ukrainian forces have recently been reported to be advancing.
Read 5 tweets

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