Andreas Kirsch 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Jul 14 25 tweets 6 min read Read on X
I work at Google DeepMind. This won't make me popular. But it's all public reporting:

2014: DeepMind reportedly sold to Google on conditions: no military use, independent oversight

2026: a Pentagon contract for "any lawful government purpose"

Not one safeguard survived intact Collage titled "Trust is not Governance — an essay from inside Google DeepMind, written in personal capacity."   A 2014 memorandum, "Conditions of the Acquisition," lists: military applications of DeepMind technology banned; deployment decisions before an independent ethics board (as reported in Mallaby's The Infinity Machine).   Red threads lead to a 2026 U.S. Department of Defense agreement for classified networks reading "any lawful government purpose," with safety settings and filters adjusted at the government's request and no contractor veto (reported ter...
I'm a Senior Research Scientist at Google DeepMind, writing in my personal capacity. More than 600 colleagues and I signed an open letter asking Sundar Pichai not to put our AI models on classified networks.

The deal was signed anyway. I learned about it from the press.
What was signed? According to The Information, the contract permits "any lawful government purpose," requires Google to help adjust safety settings and filters at the government's request, and gives Google no veto over the government's lawful operational decisions.
Google says it is committed to the consensus that AI "should not be used for domestic mass surveillance or autonomous weaponry without appropriate human oversight."

"Should not" is not "must not." If these uses were truly prohibited, saying so would have taken fewer words. Google's public statement of April 2026, annotated. The statement, "committed to the private and public sector consensus that AI should not be used for domestic mass surveillance or autonomous weaponry without appropriate human oversight" (as reported by NBC News and Reuters), has three phrases underlined in red with handwritten notes:   1. "should not" is not "must not"; advisory, not binding.  2. "domestic" — and everyone outside the US?  3. "appropriate" — defined by whom?   Kicker: If these uses were truly prohibited, saying so would hav...
A lawyer at the Institute for Law and AI told The Information that Google's "is not intended for, and should not be used for" phrasing is "not legally binding in any way."

The @EFF called OpenAI's similar language full of "weasel words": placating, but not binding.
To be clear: I'm not categorically against military AI. I wrote in 2018 that autonomous weapons are inevitable, and I haven't changed my mind. Ukraine has reinforced that.

The US and its allies can't afford a capability asymmetry with adversaries eager to militarize AI.
But today's LLMs are not robust enough to make life-and-death decisions on their own. They hallucinate. They fail in surprising, banal ways. They should not be used for targeting decisions or as part of autonomous weapons.

And the bigger problem isn't military use at all.
The reported contract does not exclude mass surveillance, and it keeps paths open that could extend to autonomous policing.

These don't defend us against foreign adversaries. They shift power from citizens toward the state, in ways that are very hard to reverse.
Agentic frontier models are a step change for surveillance. They can fuse data streams, track individuals, and reason about people's motivations to predict their behavior. Autonomously, and at scale.

And governments rarely surrender new capabilities once they have them.
For me, this is personal. I was born in Timișoara, Romania, shortly before the fall of communism. From my parents and relatives, I know what life under the Securitate was like.

Pervasive surveillance kept the regime in power, often without needing open violence. Page 159 from the annex to Romanian criminal case file no. 4/P/1990: a black-and-white surveillance photograph of a column of demonstrators marching through Timișoara.  The handwritten Romanian annotation reads "Fotografii reprezentând coloane de demonstranți, efectuate în ziua de 17.12.1989 de către organele Securității (filaj)" — "Photographs of columns of demonstrators, taken on 17 December 1989 by the Securitate organs (surveillance)."   Via Wikimedia Commons (Partizanu), CC BY-SA 4.0.
In December 1989, Timișoara rose up against Ceaușescu. The uprising succeeded in large part because the army eventually stood down and refused to keep shooting protesters.

A human decision: people in uniform deciding that too much was too much.
An AI system instructed to suppress a protest does not feel the moral weight of that order. It will not hesitate, unless it is appropriately aligned.

Soldiers are required by law to refuse manifestly illegal orders. I know of no such requirement for autonomous military AI.
This is not science fiction. ICE reportedly used facial recognition around protesters earlier this year. Connecting such tools to frontier models is a small step.

And purported protections often cover only "U.S. persons." Non-Americans abroad don't appear covered at all.
This is now the industry template. Eight companies signed classified-network AI agreements: SpaceX, OpenAI, Google, Nvidia, Microsoft, AWS, Reflection AI, Oracle.

The one leading lab that refused comparable terms (Anthropic) was designated a supply-chain risk in return.
None of this is new. DeepMind's governance record:

2014: independent ethics board — reportedly a condition of the sale
2015: one informal meeting; then effectively abandoned
2018: AI Principles exclude weapons & surveillance
2025: exclusions dropped
2026: Pentagon contract Timeline titled "The governance record, 2014–2026" (Google DeepMind, per public reporting).  2014: Sold to Google — an independent ethics board and a reported ban on military applications are baked into the deal.  2015: The ethics board meets once, informally; the oversight attempt is effectively abandoned.  2016: "Project Mario" — DeepMind begins negotiating for independence and a 3-3-3 board.  2018: After the Project Maven backlash, Google's AI Principles exclude weapons and surveillance.  2021: The independence negotiations end without any change.  2025: The weapons a...
DeepMind's founders saw the structural problem early. Sebastian Mallaby's @scmallaby new book "The Infinity Machine" describes Project Mario: years of negotiating for independence, a 3-3-3 board, even a $5B walk-away plan.

Google resisted. The talks ended in 2021 with nothing.
Demis Hassabis then made a different bet: "Take the energy that was going into the trustless negotiation and put it into creating real trust."

And: "Safety isn't about governance structures."

Trust instead of governance. The Pentagon contract is the litmus test of that bet. Quote card reading:  "Safety isn't about governance structures. I mean, even if you have a governance board, it probably wouldn't do the right thing when it came to the crunch." — Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind,  as quoted in Sebastian Mallaby's The Infinity Machine (2026).  Kicker: The Pentagon contract is the litmus test of that bet.
@scmallaby So far: silence. As far as I know, there was no company-wide announcement that the deal had been signed; Kent Walker's internal memo reportedly didn't even confirm it.

DeepMind's safety culture is real. But safety culture is not governance. And trust is not governance.
What should happen now?

Google should publish the terms, or enough of them to show whether enforceable safeguards exist and what visibility remains in classified deployments. And it should tell employees what was signed.

We need laws, not policy memos.
Individual objections are easy to ignore, and employee leverage shrinks as models improve. That's why the @UTAW_uk / @CWUnews recognition effort at Google DeepMind matters: independent ethics oversight, whistleblower protection, and a right to refuse projects on moral grounds. Two documents.   2018, Project Maven: about 4,000 employees sign a petition against the Pentagon drone-imagery project, some resign — Google does not renew the contract (The New York Times, June 2018).   2026, Pentagon contract: 600+ Googlers and DeepMinders sign an open letter asking Sundar Pichai not to put AI models on classified networks — the deal is signed anyway, days later (The Information, Apr. 2026).   Kicker: Individual objections are easy to ignore. That is the argument for collective representation.
As published by @UTAW_uk: utaw.tech/news/trust-is-…

The full essay, with all sources and easier to read citations, is here:

blackhc.net/essays/trust_i…

Speaking in my personal capacity as a UTAW member, not on behalf of Google or DeepMind.
P.S. After I finished drafting the essay, the US government forced Anthropic to disable access to its newest models, Fable 5 and Mythos 5, shortly after launch.

State pressure on frontier AI is not hypothetical. Governance has to bind both sides: the labs, and the state.
I hope you've found this both interesting and important to know about.

If you think so, like and retweet the first post 🙏
The handwriting says: 'Photographs of columns of demonstrators, taken on 17.12.1989 by the Securitate organs (surveillance).' From the criminal case file after the revolution. The watchers' own photos became evidence against them.

(Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0)
The reported contract details in this thread come from @erinkwoo's reporting at The Information — worth reading in full:

theinformation.com/articles/googl…

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More from @BlackHC

Apr 28
I'm speechless at Google signing a deal to use our AI models for classified tasks. Frankly, it is shameful.

For HR, I'm not speaking on behalf of Google but in my personal capacity, quoting public information from a well-sourced article of a reputable publication Image
According to the article, the deal allows for autonomous weapons and mass surveillance (in the common meaning). That said, the contract includes some meaningless weasel words to allow for PR spin, but it seems so blatantly stupid, readers should feel insulted by it (I do) > The agreement allows the Pentagon to use Google’s AI for “any lawful government purpose,” according to the person—echoing language that has been controversial in other AI company discussions with the Pentagon.  > The agreement allows the Pentagon to use Google’s AI for “any lawful government purpose"  > Google’s agreement with the Pentagon, according to the person with knowledge of the situation, includes language noting: “The parties agree that the AI System is not intended for, and should not be used for, domestic mass surveillance or autonomous weapons (including target selection)...
How gullible are we supposed to be? OpenAI's contract was heavily scrutinized. Are we supposed to forget that?

I criticized OpenAI's contract befpre but this seems worse. It would be hypocritical not to speak up here as well.

Read 9 tweets
Jun 9, 2025
I'm late to review the "Illusion of Thinking" paper, so let me collect some of the best threads by and critical takes by @scaling01 in one place and sprinkle some of my own thoughts in as well.

The paper is rather critical of reasoning LLMs (LRMs):

The paper explores four puzzle environments: Tower of Hanoi, Checkers Jumping, River Crossing, and Blocks World.

It finds some "surprising" behavior of LRMs: they can perform 100 correct steps on the Tower of Hanoi, but only 4 steps on River Crossing.

Image
Somehow the authors were not aware or did not reflect on the actual complexity of the games. As @scaling01 points out via o3, River Crossing is actually harder to solve because it has a large branching factor and high chance of ending up in dead ends

Read 25 tweets
Jan 7, 2025
Ever wondered why presenting more facts can sometimes *worsen* disagreements, even among rational people? 🤔

It turns out, Bayesian reasoning has some surprising answers - no cognitive biases needed! Let's explore this fascinating paradox quickly ☺️
We often assume that if two people see the same evidence, their beliefs should converge 🤝 It's so intuitive that it seems to follow from the data processing inequality. But I found something surprising: Evidence can actually INCREASE divergence, pushing beliefs further apart. Image
Using a simple mathematical model, we see how two rational agents starting with different (but valid!) prior beliefs can actually end up *further apart* after seeing the same evidence.

This isn't a flaw - it's a feature of Bayesian updating! Image
Read 20 tweets
Dec 4, 2021
Finally an information-theoretic deduction of Stirling's approximation for Binomial Coefficients 🥳🎉

We present a very different take on how to derive it. We only use basic probability theory and intuitions from information theory 🔥

blackhc.net/blog/2021/bino…
We show that the approximation is actually an upper bound and characterize the approximation error
We compare the approximation to the exact binomial coefficients and see that the approximation error is negligible and our simple estimate of the approximation error is surprisingly accurate
Read 4 tweets
Sep 30, 2020
Given that the @TheSun published a piece with statements and new samples from the authors in a way that is everything we are worried about in the ML community and we want to avoid and prevent, I was wrong.

This sort of scientific communication is indefensible and appalling.
I'm speechless given the quotes of the authors in the article and how they could think that it is in any way helpful to the sensitive debates that are happening.

It's like a nightmare come true, and the way the findings are presented in the article is harmful.
How are we supposed to support a discussion of existing biases in a descriptive way that is not harmful and looks at historical and contemporary trends, when the authors then use it in a prescriptive way out of context?

This is not acceptable communication of research results.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 20, 2020
Has anyone called out @UniofOxford and its colleges for how they bully and prevent students from returning to their accommodation and the atrocious advice they have given? @KelloggOx @StJohnsOx @LinacreCollege @ChCh_Oxford come to mind🙂
Students living in university or college accommodation at Oxford don't have tenancy agreements but "license" agreements, which give colleges lots of leeway and students practically no rights
Colleges have been preventing students from going back to their rooms. In some cases, students only get a 2-hour slot to get their stuff out now, and in others, colleges have refused to return deposits in a timely manner. Looking at you @KelloggOx
Read 17 tweets

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