Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 15 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Fire Point co-founder Shtilierman: When Russia enters a territory, it kills at least 20% of the population.

It happened in the Holodomor, the Baltics, western Ukraine, and Chechnya. If they come here, they will cut down 20% as “prevention.”

1/
Shtilierman: The company’s goal is to help humanity avoid the Fermi paradox and not destroy itself as a civilization.

Russia stands in the way. It fuels war and confrontation to keep Europe from living in peace.

2/
Shtilierman: The U.S. already treats Russia like losers. Russia keeps showing weakness: burning forums, Moscow’s “roof,” failed signals.

And if Russians had not killed civilians in Bucha, the world might never have started supporting Ukraine.

3/
Shtilierman: Putin knows he can stop fire along the contact line any time, instantly.

There was already a Kyiv ultimatum, then Trump stepped in and changed everything. Now Putin sees the talks model changing and his window closing.

4X
Source:
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More from @Mylovanov

Jul 17
I told BBC that people in Kyiv are surprised, annoyed, disappointed with the government reshuffle, but not angry.

The reshuffle won’t affect Zelenskyy’s popularity either way. And student protests are real, but not anti-Zelenskyy. They want Fedorov back.

1/
Me: For students, Fedorov is an icon and a cultural role model. He represents youth and the new generation.

They love him and are really sad he is gone.

2/
Me: There is an open conflict between Syrskyi [Сommander-in-chief] and Fedorov.

The cabinet reshuffle triggered the dismissal of the Ministry of Defense. Some people say the reshuffle was just a pretext to remove Fedorov.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 17
Kasparov: Putin could launch an incursion into Latvia or Estonia to test NATO after Russia’s September election.

He has always escalated when he felt he was in trouble. The most likely next escalation is a provocation, Politico. 1/ Image
Kasparov: There is no sign in Russian propaganda, government actions or Putin’s speeches that Moscow is preparing for peace: War, war, war, war. 2/
Kasparov: Russia does not need a full-scale invasion to undermine NATO. Moscow could seize a small border town, possibly with a Russian-speaking population, and wait for the response.

If the US failed to help defend it, NATO is no longer there. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 16
Kuleba: Something personal broke between Zelenskyy and Fedorov.

Zelenskyy likely learned something that hit him personally and stopped trusting him. Yermak pressured Fedorov, but Fedorov had always been indispensable.

1/
Kuleba: I see no parallel with last year. Back then, I saw an attack on NABU, an independent instution.

Today, I see an attack on a strong manager and rising politician whose ties with Zelenskyy broke. Once that trust breaks, he cannot run defense or help the system.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 16
Congressman Moulton: Putin started an illegal war, and Ukraine turned it into a gift for NATO. Russia’s army is being decimated.

It proved far weaker than expected, with few tanks left. Americans now have more confidence because Ukrainians keep beating the Russians.

1/
Moulton: I worry that if Russia fights the U.S. or a NATO ally, it will have fewer tanks, fewer aircraft, and a weaker economy.

But on the ground, Russian troops have more experience fighting in a drone warfare environment than ours.

2/
Moulton: It may sound easy coming from me as a Democrat who opposes Trump. But behind the scenes, smart Republicans feel the same.

Most Republicans support Ukraine, support NATO, and do not want Putin or Xi to succeed. Trump gives a different picture: he cozies up to both.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 16
Zelenskyy: The dialogue between the army leadership and Defense Ministry is difficult at different levels. It is not only about personalities.

Fedorov will remain on the team. The new Prime Minister has his own vision and must be strengthened by people he trusts. 1/
Zelenskyy: The army is responsible for holding the battlefield and our successful long-range strikes. There are problems in some brigades that must be addressed boldly.

Everyone is tired of the war. Our task is to ensure Russia becomes completely exhausted first. 2/
Zelenskyy: We still have not found a respectful way to solve mobilization problems. There are issues on the battlefield and in some brigades that must be addressed.

This is not the responsibility of one side alone. The problems have to be solved together. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Jul 16
Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi: I’m proud Kyiv’s defense saved the capital in 2022. That is why people can hold briefings here, shape plans, and make decisions today.

I thank Mykhailo Fedorov for his work as defense minister. Hope he stays on Ukraine’s team.

1/ Image
Syrskyi: I will do everything so Ukraine stays free and independent.

To keep Ukraine free, we must focus on the war and on a strategy that already brings results.

2X
Read 4 tweets

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