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Jul 26 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ Russian soldiers say they are facing a "catastrophic shortage" of fuel at the front lines due to Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries. Far less is available now, it's more expensive, and it's only being issued for vehicles owned by the army – excluding vast numbers in use. ⬇️ Image
2/ Soldiers interviewed by the independent Russian news site Verska says that a "catastrophic shortage" has made the situation "a complete mess". Just like civilians, the military is now being rationed to only 20 litres of gasoline per vehicle per day.
3/ The Russian army is also only issuing fuel to vehicles with military licence plates. As the vast majority of frontline vehicles (reportedly up to 90%) are privately owned, either by soldiers themselves or donated to them, this policy is likely having a big effect on mobility.
4/ The reduction in fuel availability is affecting both combat and logistics vehicles. Soldiers are also complaining about the poor quality of the lower-octane fuel that they are receiving, which is causing motors to fail due to its adulteration and likely contamination.
5/ There have already been indications from Ukrainian drone videos that Russian vehicles have been breaking down or running out of fuel during combat operations. It's likely that this reflects the impact of the fuel crisis.
6/ Gasoline is essential for frontline life, with soldiers relying on generators to power their bunkers. The lack of fuel for logistics vehicles is forcing them to walk more often on foot – up to 11 km (7 miles) each way – to get supplies, exposing themselves to drone attacks.
7/ The frequency of new fuel deliveries has also become erratic. One soldier says: "They can't deliver, or they run out, and it takes a long time for new fuel to arrive, and so on."
8/ One unfortunate result of the reduction in military fuel supplies is that there's now less available for the soldiers to resell for their own gain, even though the profit is now much greater. They "borrow" fuel and sell it to civilians for 350 roubles ($4.48) per litre.
9/ However, this traditional perk is much less lucrative than it used to be, due to the fuel shortage. A soldier called Ivan laments that while "fuel and lubricants were stolen by the ton" before, there simply isn't enough to sell now.
10/ Civilians are now able to gouge the soldiers by selling them fuel for personal vehicles, generators, chainsaws, and other equipment – for which the army won't provide fuel – at five to six times the usual price, on the limited occasions when it is actually available.
11/ Increasingly, soldiers are having to travel back to the "mainland" – the Russian side of the border – and bring fuel back with them in canisters, or wait for other soldiers to bring it to them.
12/ This is having a big impact on their personal expenses. One soldier says that he was spending 50,000 rubles ($639) a month on gasoline but is now facing a 70,000 ruble ($895) monthly bill. 40% of his salary is being consumed by logistical expenses.
13/ "We buy everything ourselves, generators are running out fast, plus cigarettes, sweets, and I also pay for food delivery and water with gas."

Russian soldiers typically obtain equipment such as generators for themselves, rather than registering it with their regiment.
14/ This is because if it becomes an 'official' asset, it can be confiscated and transferred elsewhere if the need arises, leaving the purchaser with nothing. The Russian army doesn't provide such essential equipment itself, with soldiers dependent on purchases and donations.
15/ The fuel crisis is also severely affecting volunteer logistics. Civilian providers of 'humanitarian aid' to the army are having to do fundraisers to buy gasoline, or request donations of gasoline from civilian allocations. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jul 27
1/ Russia isn't winning in Ukraine and it's all the fault of Russian society, says an angry Russian warblogger. Seeking an explanation for why (in the eyes of warbloggers) Russia has not yet started "fighting for real", he blames ordinary Russians for apathy and cowardice. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russian society has been massively atomised under the rule of Vladimir Putin, with the near-destruction of most civil society organisations (apart from a limited number approved of or tolerated by the state). Passive subservience is welcomed; collective action is discouraged.
3/ This nuance seems to have passed by the author of the 'It's Time To Go Home ZOV' Telegram channel, who thinks that his fellow citizens, rather than the oppressive regime they live under, are to blame for the current situation:
Read 18 tweets
Jul 27
1/ Wildberries sellers are generally blaming the Russian government, rather than Ukraine, for their losses. It's an interesting and striking dynamic, which Russian warbloggers say the Russian government itself has created through its suppression of bad news. ⬇️ Image
2/ Over the last couple of weeks, Russian social media has been flooded with videos of distraught Wildberries sellers weeping over their huge losses as a result of Ukrainian drone strikes against warehouses across Russia.
3/ Tens to hundreds of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses have lost much if not all of their stock, with total financial losses just from inventory alone already reckoned to be in the billions of dollars. Ukraine, however, has received surprisingly little blame.
Read 21 tweets
Jul 27
1/ A rare Russian armoured assault on 22 June ended in disaster, with the loss of numerous vehicles and the reported deaths of scores of Russians. Russian warbloggers are scathing about the losses, seeing the attack as incompetent. ⬇️
2/ FT military correspondent Andrey Filatov is highly critical, using a standard euphemism for the Russian army to evade censorship:
3/ "The enemy's video report is all standard fare: analog FPV, fiber optics, Mavics. The new thing is a strike wing approaching a stationary "shed" [turtle tank] All these threats can be worked on, but they're not for the brilliant commanders of the Laotian army...
Read 15 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin has strongly hinted that Russia should claim the entire eastern half of Ukraine, going far beyond the existing annexation of the Donbas and southern Ukraine. He foresees a future in which western Ukraine is also annexed by its neighbours. ⬇️
2/ In a meeting with sailors in St Petersburg to mark Navy Day today, Putin extensively discussed Russia's historical rights over Ukraine, highlighting in the process his obsession with Russian and Ukrainian history and his dubious reading of it.
3/ He told them that "Ukraine has always been divided into Left-Bank and Right-Bank. Left-Bank Ukraine has always been considered not just Russia-oriented, but part of Russia." Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin is today celebrating the 330th anniversary of the Russian Navy. However, it's a muted, shrunken event held under the shadow of Ukrainian drone strikes and with the Black Sea Fleet blockaded in Novorossiysk. Russian commentators fear for the Navy's future. ⬇️
2/ Putin has today been at the Main Admiralty of the Russian Navy in St. Petersburg for Navy Day to mark the Navy's 330th anniversary since its foundation under Peter the Great. He spoke of the Navy and Marines' "important role in the Special Military Operation."
3/ "Shipborne complexes are delivering devastating strikes against the enemy with high-precision weapons. Marines are advancing, fighting bravely, skillfully, and fearlessly. The entire country supports them and awaits their return home with victory."
Read 32 tweets
Jul 26
1/ A Russian commander has reportedly come up with a novel form of 'flag-sticking', the practice of planting flags in Ukrainian-held territory to falsely report advances. He was reportedly caught using AI to fake flag-sticking events to conceal his territorial losses. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Donetsk Infantry' has posted an insight into the problems that the Russian command is continuing to have. with false reports from the ground. These have led to the war being fought on the basis of grossly inaccurate control of terrain maps.
3/ He writes: "On the role of AI in the Ministry of Defence’s reports," likely with reference to one of the areas in the Zaporizhzhia region where Ukrainian forces have recently been reported to be advancing.
Read 5 tweets

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