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Jul 27 15 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ A rare Russian armoured assault on 22 June ended in disaster, with the loss of numerous vehicles and the reported deaths of scores of Russians. Russian warbloggers are scathing about the losses, seeing the attack as incompetent. ⬇️
2/ FT military correspondent Andrey Filatov is highly critical, using a standard euphemism for the Russian army to evade censorship:
3/ "The enemy's video report is all standard fare: analog FPV, fiber optics, Mavics. The new thing is a strike wing approaching a stationary "shed" [turtle tank] All these threats can be worked on, but they're not for the brilliant commanders of the Laotian army...
4/ "And remember the "triumphant breakthrough" there? And how are things going?...

Basically, some unit received equipment, personnel, and decided to form... columns.
5/ "Was reconnaissance conducted? Engineering reconnaissance? Reconnaissance based on the number of crews the swine have? I'm pretty sure not. And what was the calculation based on? Mass? Like we have more people than they have drones?...
6/ "This is for conversations with idiots who are all for mass, but without reconnaissance.

Of course, the command staff is not held accountable for such a waste of personnel and equipment, so there's no need to think about it.
7/ "[They say] 'The job is done,' beg for personnel and equipment until the next attempt. They don't even form columns themselves... valuable specialists, damn it...
8/ "Just to understand. South of this salient, in 2025, one unit suffered no losses from FPV drones and advanced more effectively than all the others.
9/ "In response, the enemy expanded fibre optics in that direction, made significant inroads into non-standard frequencies, and actively advanced in their "strike wings."
10/ "What kind of systemic response do we have? There isn't one... only cries of "Forward!" and piss in the ears at all levels."

Anatoly Radov is also critical:
11/ "A massive attack is, in principle, another attempt to make a quick splash, which seems odd in the fifth year of the war. And it's generally odd to spend months spamming fighters one or two at a time, then gather the men and advance in a column.
12/ "And the most absurd thing is that this attack didn't advance beyond the already liberated territories.

Also, the transfer of some of the 90th Division's fighters there perfectly explains the current mess in the Poddubne area and the surrounding area.
13/ "In other words, they considered taking Dobropillya a more important objective. And they most likely considered it a more important objective because on certain maps, it's been ours since that offensive. After all, the Ministry of Defence doesn't draw it [as enemy territory].
14/ "On the bright side, the Ukrainian Armed Forces, of course, greatly exaggerated the number of vehicles used and destroyed in the video. A total of 11 armoured fighting vehicles, including tanks, were used, 10 of which were destroyed." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jul 27
1/ Wildberries sellers are generally blaming the Russian government, rather than Ukraine, for their losses. It's an interesting and striking dynamic, which Russian warbloggers say the Russian government itself has created through its suppression of bad news. ⬇️ Image
2/ Over the last couple of weeks, Russian social media has been flooded with videos of distraught Wildberries sellers weeping over their huge losses as a result of Ukrainian drone strikes against warehouses across Russia.
3/ Tens to hundreds of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses have lost much if not all of their stock, with total financial losses just from inventory alone already reckoned to be in the billions of dollars. Ukraine, however, has received surprisingly little blame.
Read 21 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin has strongly hinted that Russia should claim the entire eastern half of Ukraine, going far beyond the existing annexation of the Donbas and southern Ukraine. He foresees a future in which western Ukraine is also annexed by its neighbours. ⬇️
2/ In a meeting with sailors in St Petersburg to mark Navy Day today, Putin extensively discussed Russia's historical rights over Ukraine, highlighting in the process his obsession with Russian and Ukrainian history and his dubious reading of it.
3/ He told them that "Ukraine has always been divided into Left-Bank and Right-Bank. Left-Bank Ukraine has always been considered not just Russia-oriented, but part of Russia." Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin is today celebrating the 330th anniversary of the Russian Navy. However, it's a muted, shrunken event held under the shadow of Ukrainian drone strikes and with the Black Sea Fleet blockaded in Novorossiysk. Russian commentators fear for the Navy's future. ⬇️
2/ Putin has today been at the Main Admiralty of the Russian Navy in St. Petersburg for Navy Day to mark the Navy's 330th anniversary since its foundation under Peter the Great. He spoke of the Navy and Marines' "important role in the Special Military Operation."
3/ "Shipborne complexes are delivering devastating strikes against the enemy with high-precision weapons. Marines are advancing, fighting bravely, skillfully, and fearlessly. The entire country supports them and awaits their return home with victory."
Read 32 tweets
Jul 26
1/ A Russian commander has reportedly come up with a novel form of 'flag-sticking', the practice of planting flags in Ukrainian-held territory to falsely report advances. He was reportedly caught using AI to fake flag-sticking events to conceal his territorial losses. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Donetsk Infantry' has posted an insight into the problems that the Russian command is continuing to have. with false reports from the ground. These have led to the war being fought on the basis of grossly inaccurate control of terrain maps.
3/ He writes: "On the role of AI in the Ministry of Defence’s reports," likely with reference to one of the areas in the Zaporizhzhia region where Ukrainian forces have recently been reported to be advancing.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Russian soldiers say they are facing a "catastrophic shortage" of fuel at the front lines due to Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries. Far less is available now, it's more expensive, and it's only being issued for vehicles owned by the army – excluding vast numbers in use. ⬇️ Image
2/ Soldiers interviewed by the independent Russian news site Verska says that a "catastrophic shortage" has made the situation "a complete mess". Just like civilians, the military is now being rationed to only 20 litres of gasoline per vehicle per day.
3/ The Russian army is also only issuing fuel to vehicles with military licence plates. As the vast majority of frontline vehicles (reportedly up to 90%) are privately owned, either by soldiers themselves or donated to them, this policy is likely having a big effect on mobility.
Read 16 tweets
Jul 25
1/ The energy situation in Crimea is steadily worsening as Ukrainian drones systematically destroy power facilities across the peninsula. Russian warblogger 'Two Majors' says that Russia's air defences are being crippled by a lack of coordination. ⬇️
2/ Recent attacks by Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces have hit dozens of electricity substations and other energy facilities across Crimea in recent weeks, as well as logistics hubs and road transportation. 'Two Majors' says the situation is still deteriorating:
3/ "Stabilisation can only be described as slowing the deterioration of the situation on the peninsula, achieved through the titanic efforts of volunteers and military personnel. The enemy continues to strike critical energy facilities in Crimea and Sevastopol daily.
Read 14 tweets

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