1/ As Russian progress in Ukraine slows to a crawl, frustration is mounting among warbloggers about why Russia isn't yet 'fighting for real'. One proposes a list of what should be done, from seizing the eastern half of Ukraine to emulating 2022's infamous Hostomel air assault. ⬇️
2/ Russian warblogger Yuri Kotenok advocates:
"1. Stop playing second fiddle in the war by seizing the initiative. For example, by imposing a pre-emptive blockade on the enemy’s ports and transport links, rather than responding to attacks on ships in the Black Sea and Azov Sea.
3/ "2. Do not agree to a compromise; do not be taken in by the temporary and ostentatious ‘peacefulness’ of the Trump/Macron camp and suchlike, or by the, to put it mildly,…
4/ …strange persuasions and admonitions ([Kazakhstan's President] Tokayev alone is a case in point, and it would be indecent even to mention [Azerbaijan's President Aliyev) from ‘partner-allies’ in the CIS and elsewhere.
5/ "3. Do not stop at the borders of the Russian Federation, but wrest the lands of historic Russia from the enemy. Everything is important, including the full opening of the Chernihiv front with the prospect of threatening Kyiv.
6/ "Do not charge headlong at the enemy’s prepared defensive lines, but take extraordinary operational measures (Hostomel to the rescue).
7/ "4. It is clear that, given the current pace of the advance and the very high casualty rate, these hopes and predictions seem little more than wishful thinking, but...
8/ "One plausible scenario would be to divide the territory of the former Ukraine along a natural barrier – the Dnipro – with access to Kyiv and the taking of its right bank under control, whilst the left bank remains under enemy fire [sic – the banks are the wrong way round].
9/ "Kyiv must, come what may, cease to be a breeding ground for Banderism. This is one of the conditions for Russia’s preservation and the survival of its future generations, regardless of whether those ‘at the top’ – who think in terms of the past – understand this or not.
10/ "5. I believe Russia cannot manage without the help of Iron Kim’s ‘berserkers’. In the same vein – the testing and routine deployment by the Russian Armed Forces of North Korean ballistic missiles against enemy targets,…
11/ …something which is already being trumpeted in the ‘Pig Reich’ and ‘Euro-Sodom’. Also here – the long-overdue joint production with the DPRK of heavy strike UAVs.
12/ "6. Defeating the enemy is unthinkable without a radical change in the situation in the Black Sea, where our fleet, deprived of its flagship, is confined to bays and serves primarily as missile launch platforms.
13/ "I believe that mere promises from star-studded heroes in epaulettes on Navy Day are not enough. Submarine cruisers armed with ‘Zircons’ will undoubtedly plough the world’s oceans in the future, but driving the enemy into a corner in the Black Sea specifically…
14/ …should have been done yesterday, just as divisions of unmanned systems should have been established there first and foremost.
It is clear that the Baltic Fleet and all the Russian Federation’s fleets and flotillas are being strengthened, including in terms of air defence.
15/ "7. And finally, I sincerely hope that the esteemed Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, Hero of Russia Valery Gerasimov, will put his innovative scientific ideas into practice by beginning, in the fifth year of this gruelling war, to…
16/ …to establish a zonal air defence system for the country, with the aim of protecting the economy, infrastructure, energy sector and its citizens from massive raids by enemy unmanned aerial vehicles and missile systems.
17/ "I believe it is time, Valery Vasilyevich, it is time...
1/ Russia has doubled the rate of personal income tax to cover the budget deficits caused by the war in Ukraine. However, as a gloomy Russian commentary notes, it's likely to have dire effects on the economy and the country's already declining demographics. ⬇️
2/ 'Political Report' writes:
"In 2025, Russian authorities doubled personal income tax collection at rates exceeding 13%, turning citizens' incomes and savings into one of the fastest-growing sources of budget deficit financing."
3/ "The federal treasury received 763 billion rubles [$9.72 bn], up from 339 billion rubles [$4.32 bn] the previous year.
1/ Gas prices were lowered, restrictions were lifted, and queues vanished temporarily for a visit to Irkutsk by Vladimir Putin. Russians are calling it a modern-day Potemkin village, but it appears to show how hard Putin's underlings try to hide Russia's problems from him. ⬇️
2/ The original Potemkin villages were said to be fakeside river towns built by Grigory Potemkin to fool Empress Catherine the Great in 1787 (though it appears to be a myth). However, it was an attempt to fake success, rather than hiding failure from a leader inhabiting a bubble.
3/ The Russian Telegram channel 'Honesty, and that's final' reports on unusual events that happened during Putin's recent visit to the western Siberian city of Irkutsk:
1/ Russia isn't winning in Ukraine and it's all the fault of Russian society, says an angry Russian warblogger. Seeking an explanation for why (in the eyes of warbloggers) Russia has not yet started "fighting for real", he blames ordinary Russians for apathy and cowardice. ⬇️
2/ Russian society has been massively atomised under the rule of Vladimir Putin, with the near-destruction of most civil society organisations (apart from a limited number approved of or tolerated by the state). Passive subservience is welcomed; collective action is discouraged.
3/ This nuance seems to have passed by the author of the 'It's Time To Go Home ZOV' Telegram channel, who thinks that his fellow citizens, rather than the oppressive regime they live under, are to blame for the current situation:
1/ Wildberries sellers are generally blaming the Russian government, rather than Ukraine, for their losses. It's an interesting and striking dynamic, which Russian warbloggers say the Russian government itself has created through its suppression of bad news. ⬇️
2/ Over the last couple of weeks, Russian social media has been flooded with videos of distraught Wildberries sellers weeping over their huge losses as a result of Ukrainian drone strikes against warehouses across Russia.
3/ Tens to hundreds of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses have lost much if not all of their stock, with total financial losses just from inventory alone already reckoned to be in the billions of dollars. Ukraine, however, has received surprisingly little blame.
1/ A rare Russian armoured assault on 22 June ended in disaster, with the loss of numerous vehicles and the reported deaths of scores of Russians. Russian warbloggers are scathing about the losses, seeing the attack as incompetent. ⬇️
2/ FT military correspondent Andrey Filatov is highly critical, using a standard euphemism for the Russian army to evade censorship:
3/ "The enemy's video report is all standard fare: analog FPV, fiber optics, Mavics. The new thing is a strike wing approaching a stationary "shed" [turtle tank] All these threats can be worked on, but they're not for the brilliant commanders of the Laotian army...
1/ Vladimir Putin has strongly hinted that Russia should claim the entire eastern half of Ukraine, going far beyond the existing annexation of the Donbas and southern Ukraine. He foresees a future in which western Ukraine is also annexed by its neighbours. ⬇️
2/ In a meeting with sailors in St Petersburg to mark Navy Day today, Putin extensively discussed Russia's historical rights over Ukraine, highlighting in the process his obsession with Russian and Ukrainian history and his dubious reading of it.
3/ He told them that "Ukraine has always been divided into Left-Bank and Right-Bank. Left-Bank Ukraine has always been considered not just Russia-oriented, but part of Russia."