Seth Abramson Profile picture
Oct 30, 2017 144 tweets 15 min read Read on X
(THREAD) Paul Manafort and Rick Gates are now indicted. This thread analyzes legal and political aspects of their indictment and surrender.
1/ Draw no conclusion from the two being allowed to surrender rather than being arrested at home/work. It often happens in nonviolent cases.

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More from @SethAbramson

Mar 22
More than any two men in America, Trump and Musk target for vicious retribution anyone who crosses them.

And more than any two men in America, Trump and Musk complain about media using anonymous sources to report on them.

Just take a moment and sit with those two statements.
The question here is why Trump and Musk have such a penchant for *creating* the phenomena they'll later loudly claim to be victims of.

One answer is that they're both malignant narcissistic sociopaths who can't process empathy and therefore can't put themselves in others' shoes.
But the other answer I have found, as a biographer of both men, is that they desperately need public attention to be on them at all times. They need a piece of all our lives in a way that is actually *clinical*—narcissists literally don't know how to process being widely ignored.
Read 19 tweets
Mar 22
They’re destroying our government—and with it, America.

They’re coming for your Social Security. Your student loans. Your voting systems. Your personal data. Your Medicare. Your freedoms.

They want EVERYTHING. And they are coming for EVERYTHING.

From The Washington Post: Image
Never forget what these people did. They stormed OUR Capitol. They threatened OUR government. They tried to overthrow OUR democracy. They tried to block the presidency WE voted for in 2020.

And when 1,600+ of these lunatic criminals were finally rounded up, they PARDONED them.
Don’t let them rewrite history. THEY attacked our democracy with violence. THEY declared that they’d rather have Vladimir Putin as president than Joe Biden. THEY declared American democracy an outmoded form of government. THEY let billionaires buy our government.

THEY must lose.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 17
(🔐) This isn’t a stunt. It’s long, expert, fully sourced, and includes reams of data—e.g., on casualties.

I hope you’ll RT.

“BREAKING NEWS: The AI Musk Funded Now Asserts There Will More Likely Than Not Be a Second U.S. Civil War This Year or Next”

🔗: sethabramson.substack.com/p/breaking-new…Image
1/ The odds of a second Civil War in the next 20 months are assessed at about 70%, and this assessment was reached after a lengthy conversation between the only bestselling biographer of both Donald Trump _and_ Elon Musk and what is probably the best AI out there at the moment.
2/ More importantly, this conversation _shows its work_. Every claim is sourced, all hard data is historicized, sourced and explained, and the two participants leave no doubt whatsoever as to _exactly_ how this assessment was reached.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 15
Twitter users who aren't Trump biographers love to say they know the Trump-Russia scandal—and know it to be a hoax.

So let's have a contest.

I'll put a 🛎 after the first comment that answers one question correctly: What was Trump's first defense to allegations of a "pee tape"?
{I suppose it goes without saying that—like all "innocent" men—Trump gave many different defenses to the possibility (confirmed as *fact* by the CIA, per the BBC) that Putin has compromising tapes of him, all contradictory. I'm only looking for the first.} bbc.com/news/world-us-…
(PS) One thing I will also do is identify as *close* any reference any commenter makes to a defense that Trump did offer to the allegation, among the possibly dozens he offered.

I will write, "That was a defense! But not the first one." That will make this even more educational.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 14
(🧵) Elongelicals insist this Musk sentiment is right and defend it.

What makes that so interesting isn’t Musk’s antisemitism—he’s a hardcore antisemite—but that he's *encouraging* analogies between 2025 America and Nazi Germany.

OK, let's play them out! thedailybeast.com/musk-boosts-cl…
1/ Hitler was responsible for millions and millions of deaths—some on battlefields in a war he started, some in concentration camps. Which deaths, precisely, is Musk attributing to career German civil servants who were in government before Hitler came to power and stayed at work?
2/ All Western Front battlefield deaths are attributable to Hitler’s psychopathic military adventurism—which was his decision the same way Putin invaded Georgia, Ukraine and Chechnya and the same way Trump is now threatening to invade annex Canada and invade Greenland and Panama.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 14
Hitler ended Germany's democracy in 53 days. This Day 53 of Trump's presidency—and he's just declared that a federal district court judge cannot issue an injunction against the White House.

It can—the Constitution says so. This is a constitutional crisis. mediaite.com/news/trump-spo…
You won't find a U.S. attorney who says a federal district court judge can't issue an injunction the federal executive branch is bound by.

Why? Because it's happened routinely for 200+ years.

That's why Trump sent out a non-lawyer moron, Karoline Leavitt, to claim the opposite.
But here's the worst part: the contempt Trump and Leavitt have for Americans' intelligence.

Our judicial system has been extant for over 200 years; how stupid do you have to be to believe federal judges have been issuing injunctions illegally all that time? Stupid beyond belief.
Read 9 tweets

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