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Seth Abramson Profile picture
@SethAbramson
Oct 30, 2017 • 144 tweets • 15 min read • Read on X
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(THREAD) Paul Manafort and Rick Gates are now indicted. This thread analyzes legal and political aspects of their indictment and surrender.
1/ Draw no conclusion from the two being allowed to surrender rather than being arrested at home/work. It often happens in nonviolent cases.

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More from @SethAbramson

Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 17
The most sober, terrifying thing I can say as a Trump presidential historian is that what happened tonight was not about you, me, or America.

He's going to do what he's going to do based on how he convinces *himself* to do it.

Nothing else matters. He's not listening to anyone.
However it came to pass—childhood trauma, genetics, dementia—this US president is now functionally a psychopath. He lives in his own reality. He converses only with himself. All America is now downstream from a madman who's not listening to anyone or anything but his own madness.
The 25th was made for this moment.

It won't be used because Trump nominated cowards.

Impeachment was made for this moment.

It won't be used because America elected cowards.

The federal courts were made to stop this.

They won't because lifetime appointments reward cowardice.
Read 4 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 17
I'm watching the Trump speech because I have to for my job and it's the most batshit crazy presidential speech I've ever heard in my nearly 50 years alive

Where it's coherent—which is only intermittently—it's on its face the largest tureen of turd soup any POTUS has ever served
I'm not in the first instance saying I don't understand how anyone could believe what the man is saying but rather how anyone could *understand* what he's trying to say

In the rare moments I think I understand what he's saying, it is the biggest most insane lie I have ever heard
What the President of the United States appears to be saying tonight is that our entire government is secretly run by China and has been for years and as far as evidence of that claim is concerned there really does not seem to be any whatsoever
Read 12 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 16
(🚨) PROOF EXCLUSIVE: I’ve published 1,500+ pages of bestsellers on the coup plot Trump is about to move to Stage 2. One-sentence or one-post summaries do it no justice.

🔗:

This lengthy report will fully prepare you for what’s coming Thursday—please RT. sethabramson.substack.com/p/donald-trump…Image
1/ I understand that there are many people out there who say, OK, he is going to lie about election interference. He always does that. It is noise, not news.

These people (and their blitheness) are wrong, and wrong in a way that is going to be dangerous to the United States now.
2/ There is a reason many are demanding the Thursday speech not be televised. There is a reason many are saying it could be the most deranged presidential speech ever.

But in a way, *that* is the noise. It presumes that what matters is what he says, not what he is going to *do*.
Read 11 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 5
If I'd told you that on the evening of July 4th on the nation's 250th birthday it would be 11:15PM, Trump would not yet have spoken, there would only be a few hundred people in attendance, and the event stage would be featuring a foreign opera, you would've had me committed
Whoa he just showed up and he looks absolutely livid at the tiny, low-energy crowd
Every time he strays from his milquetoast script it is either to make up lies about a Communist threat, babble repetitiously, or whine about how he has been treated

This crowd is so small I kid you not you can hear *individual people* cheering

This is humiliating to America
Read 16 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 2
(🚨) So to be very clear, FIFA rules do *not* allow the USMNT to appeal the Balogun red card *on the basis of claiming the referee erred*.

But.

Under the circumstances, the USMNT should appeal on the very different grounds ESPN just reported on: misapplication of VAR protocols. Image
As ESPN explains, there's no doubt the card was issued on the basis of still images and slow-mo vids shown to the ref by VAR—and we know this because the ref didn't think the play was even a *yellow* card in real time. But such evidence can't be sent to a ref *in this situation*. Image
So considering the situation—the USMNT facing the biggest game in its history without its best player by far because of a red card almost the entire world agrees was absurd—it would be *scandalous* if the USMNT didn't at least *try* to appeal on the technical basis of VAR misuse.
Read 11 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jun 27
People are missing the point.

It is not that the phrase Trump insisted be on new passports confirms that he doesn't know what a passport is.

It's that for a year not one person who works for him was willing to tell him so.

They will remain cowards when he declares martial law.
Donald Trump is a rabid dog. He has been a menace his whole life, assaulting and raping and defrauding with impunity. That is no longer news. What is news is that he is surrounded by an impenetrable cloud of cowardice. No one will stop him from the things he is about to do to us.
Because he's not just a rabid dog and a moral troglodyte but a knuckle-dragging moron, Trump told everyone around him to put a message on new passports that only makes sense if you've no idea what a passport is. No one stopped him. Not one corrected him.

And hundreds *complied*.
Read 15 tweets

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