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Seth Abramson Profile picture
@SethAbramson
Oct 30, 2017 • 144 tweets • 15 min read • Read on X
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(THREAD) Paul Manafort and Rick Gates are now indicted. This thread analyzes legal and political aspects of their indictment and surrender.
1/ Draw no conclusion from the two being allowed to surrender rather than being arrested at home/work. It often happens in nonviolent cases.

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More from @SethAbramson

Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jun 11
Mark this moment.

This is where the endgame begins—though it might take two years to play out.

A President of the United States is openly linking the *Pentagon* and rigging elections for his party.

He is framing an authoritarian takeover as something the *U.S. military* wants. Image
The natural endpoint of this comes sometime in the next two years, with Trump announcing that the Armed Forces must be deployed domestically to combat foreign election interference. He'll say Congress' failure to pass the SAVE Act forced him and the military to end our democracy.
In our form of democracy, there's *no role whatsoever* for the Pentagon in domestic elections.

Yet the president just *inextricably linked the two*, having already had his openly Christofascist War Secretary deploy the military domestically in 2025.

This is going to get so bad.
Read 5 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
May 26
If you've been reading independent journalism—which holds that Trump went to war with Iran in mid-2025 and that there have been no ceasefires in the war since then, everything happening now makes sense.

If you've been reading corporate media headlines... you're confused as f*ck.
This is only the tip of the iceberg.

Not only do corporate media readers have no idea that this is a year-long war with lulls but *no ceasefires or deals*—just Trump lies intended to manipulate markets so he and his pals can profit—but they don't know how bad America is losing.
MAGAs of course neither care about the news nor are capable of understanding it—lacking the education or maturity—but even independents aren't being told how screwed America is. I just saw an expert-made video on how Iran's understanding of *salinity and humidity* outstrips ours.
Read 17 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
May 25
Hey, anyone have any possible theories as to why racist Trump voters would be willing to believe Bill Cosby is a serial rapist but not Trump, when the two have faced a nearly identical number of allegations to that effect? Any idea of what would motivate racist Trump voters here? Image
I keep banging my head against a wall on this, as voters who support the convicted felon Trump are super anti-crime and super respect women, so they wouldn't ignore dozens of violent crime allegations just because of race or political preferences.

So what's really going on here?
It's so important that journalists not call Trump voters disgusting loser racists who hate women until every other possibility explaining them ignoring 34 felony convictions and 67 sex-crime allegations has been explored, so help me out—can we run through them with Cosby in mind?
Read 7 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
May 24
Nearly all net-positive interstate migration in the US is to the worst states in the country, make it make sense

What we *should* be doing is acknowledging that nearly every red state is a failed state and unpacking why that is and emulating what the blue/purple states are doing Image
And before anyone references cost of living, look, I get it—I too have lived through some extremely economically precarious years—but that doesn't change the fact that if you're moving to a wildly affordable state the chances that it is *also* a wildly shitty state are very high.
My state is one of the best in every metric, so desirable that Granite Staters regrettably try to convince folks not to move here, including by lying about the state (particularly Manchester). And yes, it's expensive. It *also* has too few people for the number of jobs available.
Read 9 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
May 20
This is only the beginning.

He has no plans to leave office or allow free elections. Nor are his plans hidden—they're all unfolding in plain sight.

The Insurrection never ended and the Christofascists won't stop until our democracy is gone.

Choose who you'll be in this moment.
If I had told you a year ago that Marjorie Taylor Greene wouldn't be radical enough for MAGA, nor Lauren Boebert, nor Thomas Massie, nor John Cornyn, nor the senator-doctor who made Kennedy Jr. DHHS chief... if I told you he would be openly stealing our money to fund terrorism...
If I told you he'd be on his fourth war. If I told you he'd be deporting citizens, even killing us in the streets. If I told you he'd demolish the White House. If I told you he'd declare himself the arbiter of when America goes to war. If I told you he'd be an open war profiteer.
Read 6 tweets
Seth Abramson Profile picture
May 19
The BARE MINIMUM you do to a criminal defense lawyer who signs a non-prosecution agreement with HIS OWN CLIENT is disbar him.

But that is insufficient for Todd Blanche, who took an OFFICIAL ACTION as acting AG as part of a BRIBE to hold his job permanently.

He must be indicted. Image
It gets worse. This breaking news confirms Blanche knew Trump had no case against the IRS when he gave his client $1.8B in taxpayer cash and promised never to prosecute him. Blanche will now become permanent AG. This is a criminal bribe—a TEXTBOOK example. thedailybeast.com/trumps-18b-slu…
To put a finer point on this: the Attorney General of the United States is a felon. Not a minor thug, but a felon who committed one of the most serious offenses identified in the text of our Constitution...in broad daylight.

This wasn't bad judgment; it's worthy of imprisonment.
Read 5 tweets

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