Chris O'Brien Profile picture
Just a regular guy posting my fantasy takes for fun.
Aug 24 12 tweets 3 min read
Millions of Fantasy Football teams will be drafted this month…

I did the research to build a MONSTER team so you don’t have to!

Here’s a 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Guide: The Blueprint:
Aug 23 10 tweets 2 min read
The 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Blueprint:

Rounds 1-3: Draft 2 RBs through the first 3 rounds - RB is very top heavy this year with a sharp drop off after the top 12-15 guys

By this point you have an Elite WR and 2 RBs

(cont.) Rounds 4-6: HAMMER these WRs:

- Davante Adams
- Mike Evans
- Courtland Sutton
- George Pickens
- Jameson Williams
- Tetairoa McMillan
- Calvin Ridley

If one of the big 4 QBs or big 3 TEs drop - pull the trigger
Aug 13 12 tweets 4 min read
I researched the LEAGUE WINNING Players in Fantasy over the past 3 seasons…

This will change the way you draft your Fantasy Football team in 2025: First, it’s important to understand that upside wins championships

Fantasy points follow a power law distribution where the top scorers are worth so much, that the rest of your roster becomes almost insignificant

The RB1 + RB24 combined to outscore the RB7 + RB8… Image
Aug 3 12 tweets 3 min read
I did the research so you don’t have to…

Use this 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Guide to DOMINATE your friends and family: Drafting the WR1 overall:
Aug 2 8 tweets 3 min read
Hitting on a sleeper pick can change the ENTIRE trajectory of your Fantasy Season

Last year it was:

- Bucky Irving
- Jerry Jeudy
- Baker Mayfield

Here are the Sleepers you NEED to be drafting for 2025: 1. Jaydon Blue (RB, DAL)

- Ambiguous backfield with path to RB1
- Serious pass catching chops
- Speed and vision to make big plays

The Cowboys will have a good offense and Blue has a path to serious snaps

He’s been getting a lot of praise out of camp from HC Schottenheimer
Jul 23 10 tweets 3 min read
Drafting an Elite TE outside of the early rounds is a Fantasy CHEAT CODE

Last year it was:

- Brock Bowers
- Jonnu Smith
- David Njoku

Here are the TE1s that you NEED to be drafting in 2025: First let’s look at some data from the last 10 seasons:

43% of TEs to average 13+ PPG were drafted OUTSIDE of the top 6 rounds of fantasy drafts

ADP breakdown:

31.5% drafted rounds 6-9
68.4% drafted rounds 10+

Now, let’s look at archetypes…
Jul 22 12 tweets 4 min read
Drafting an RB1 outside of the first 2 rounds is the fast track to a Fantasy Championship

Last year it was:

- Chase Brown
- Devon Achane
- James Conner

Here are the RB1s that you NEED to be drafting in 2025: First let’s look at some stats from the last 5 seasons…

43% of RB1s were drafted OUTSIDE of the top 2 rounds of fantasy drafts

ADP breakdown of what round they were drafted:

34.6% drafted rounds 3-4
34.6% drafted rounds 5-8
30.8% drafted rounds 9+

Let’s apply this to draft…
Jul 15 9 tweets 3 min read
EVERY year rookies explode onto the scene and win Fantasy Leagues

Last year it was:

Bucky Irving
Brian Thomas Jr
Malik Nabers
Ladd McConkey

Here are the MUST draft rookies for 2025: 1. Tetairoa McMillan

- Monster college productions
- Perfect landing spot for true ALPHA
- Promising QB
- High end draft capital

He’s a massive dude with great hands and YAC ability - a bit of Nico Collins vibes

A good value at WR22 with top 12-15 upside
Jun 5 7 tweets 2 min read
20 BOLD Predictions for the 2025 Fantasy Football Season:

1. Kyler Murray throws 30+ TDs and finishes as a top 5 QB

2. RJ Harvey finishes as a top-12 RB behind an elite Denver O-line

3. Nico Collins finishes as the WR1 in all of fantasy with 1600+ yards

(cont.) 4. Davante Adams leads the league in TD receptions

5. James Cook sees serious TD regression pushing him outside of the top 20 RBs in PPG

6. Rashee Rice posts over 1,400 receiving yards en route to a WR1 season

7. Dak Prescott throws 40+ TDs as the Cowboys have 0 run game
Dec 2, 2024 8 tweets 2 min read
Week 13 Fantasy Thoughts:

- Bucky Irving’s LEAGUE-WINNING campaign continues - 24 PPG in the last month

- Saquon is the MVP - Fantasy and real life

- Brock Bowers is SPECIAL! 10-140-1, 30.2 fantasy points, your 2025 TE1 and 2nd round pick - Trey McBride with back to back 12 catch games, Kyler’s safety blanket who makes PLAYS!

- DJ Moore has been rejuvenated with Thomas Brown as OC - 21.4 PPG (WR6)

- Jonnu Smith is the WR1 for the Dolphins, TE1 over the last 3 weeks with 24.4 PPG
Nov 25, 2024 10 tweets 2 min read
Week 12 Fantasy Thoughts:

- The Bucky breakout! RB1 on the week with 151 scrimmage yards. League winner down the stretch with a cake schedule

Welcome back Jaylen Waddle! 28.4 pts, WR2 on the week. Nice to see fantasy relevance + upside

(cont.) - Josh Jacobs is the RB2 since Week 7 with 22.1 PPG - the yardage has always been there, now the TDs are flowing

- Courtland Sutton is the WR3 over the last 5 weeks with 20.8 PPG, league winning run

- JSN has been WR1 in SEA, having a huge breakout - 26.2 PPG over the last 3
Oct 22, 2024 12 tweets 4 min read
The Fantasy Football Waiver Wire is HOT Ahead of Week 8

Here are the MUST GRAB Guys: Jauan Jennings
FAAB: 20-25%

With Aiyuk out for the season, Jennings steps into a starting role

- Proven upside
- Trusted by team/Purdy
- Paid this offseason
- 19% target share
- 3rd in YPRR

3 games of 60+ yards.

#1 priority on the week.
Sep 1, 2024 9 tweets 3 min read
I researched the most rostered players on Championship teams…

Here’s EVERYTHING I found to help you win in 2024 Fantasy Football: I looked at the 10 most rostered players on championship teams from 2019-2023.

Here’s the ADP breakdown:

Rounds 1-2: 32%
Rounds 3-5: 20%
Rounds: 6-9: 8%
Rounds 10+: 4%
Undrafted: 36%

Top waiver pickups are the highest contributors to fantasy championships…
Aug 29, 2024 10 tweets 4 min read
Hitting on a BREAKOUT Rookie WR gives you a MASSIVE advantage.

Let’s look at the Top Options for 2024 Fantasy Football: We’ve seen at least 2 rookie WRs finish in the top 25 each of the last 4 seasons.

Often times they breakout down the stretch and make a real impact when it matters.

We’ll bypass MHJ, Nabers, and Odunze since they’re the obvious candidates…
Aug 28, 2024 10 tweets 5 min read
DO NOT leave your Fantasy Football Draft without these guys.

2024 BREAKOUT Picks: Rashes Rice

Weeks 12-17:

18.8 FPPG
162-122-1468-8 pace

2.62 YPRR (10th)

The only WRs with more YAC in 2024:

Lamb
ARSB

He’s going to be the #1 target for Patrick Mahomes in this Chiefs offense.

When a rookie WR shows he can play, believe it!

Aug 27, 2024 12 tweets 5 min read
Drafting the RB1 overall gives you a MASSIVE Edge in Fantasy Football.

Here are 5 sneaky candidates for 2024: First off, let’s set some parameters.

Here are the boxes we’re looking to check:

» Workhorse volume
» Pass catching upside
» TD Upside
» Good offense
» Talented player

Let’s get into it…
Aug 23, 2024 22 tweets 3 min read
20 stats to help you DOMINATE your 2024 Fantasy Football Draft: The last time Kyler Murray had a 1,000 yard receiver he finished as QB2.

Marvin Harrison Jr’s Vegas line is 1050 yards.
Aug 23, 2024 12 tweets 5 min read
The LEAGUE WINNING WR Draft Guide for 2024 Fantasy Football

Building an ELITE WR Core: Tips:

Try to have 3 WRs after your first 5 picks (especially in full PPR or 3WR)

Target WRs with…

- Good QBs/offenses
- Ambiguous depth charts
- Ascending players

Age 26-28 seasons are typically where guys peak.
Aug 15, 2024 17 tweets 6 min read
I’m ADDICTED to drafting these players…

2024 Fantasy Football MY GUYS: Ken Walker

My rank: RB12
ADP: RB17

Walker is one of the most underrated and explosive RBs in today’s NFL.

And he’s looking at a workhorse role in 2024.

“That’s a true three tool guy.”
-OC Ryan Grubb

Mix a home run hitter with workhorse volume and you get an RB1
Aug 13, 2024 12 tweets 4 min read
BOLD PREDICTIONS for the 2024 Fantasy Football Season: Anthony Richardson finishes as the QB1

AR led the NFL in fantasy points per drop back last season

In his 2 full games in 2023:

21.92 pts (QB4)
29.6 pts (QB2)

Steichen knows how to use his QBs:

2020 - Herbert breakout
2022 - Hurts breakout
2024 - AR breakout

Most athletic QB Image
Aug 12, 2024 21 tweets 5 min read
I watched all 16 NFL Preseason Games this weekend so you don’t have to.

Here’s EVERYTHING that matters for 2024 Fantasy Football: Jayden Daniels played 11 snaps and looked GREAT!

2/3 passing 45 yards
1 rush for 3 yards and a TD

That rushing upside along with his underrated passing ability makes him a steal in fantasy drafts.

He will breakout in 2024.