Antonio Profile picture
International Monetary Fund. Former visiting scholar at SAIS, Johns Hopkins. Former chief European economist at Barclays. Views are my own.
Mar 9, 2020 9 tweets 3 min read
(1/9)

@ECB has to react this week to #COVIDー19 as EA heads into a recession

There is more limited fire-power at the ECB than at the Fed, but it does not mean the ECB won't act

Targeted support for SMEs is crucial

Time to learn about the reaction function of ECB's new owl (2/9)
1. While there is far more limited fire-power at the ECB than at the Fed, it does not mean the ECB won't act; it will

2. The ECB will try to support SMEs through TLTRO possibly introducing full-allotment

3. It will also signal more QE

4. It won't cut the depo