Adar Weinreb Profile picture
Research, analyses & commentary on 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 Former IDF, now working for peace. Building AI to help. Join the community: https://t.co/PtjZG2iSnD
Dec 17, 2024 13 tweets 12 min read
A thorough debunking of @Mr_Andrew_Fox's report published by the @HJS_Org “think tank”.

In short, this is one of the most misleading and intellectually dishonest reports I have ever read. It contains over a dozen instances of misinformation, misrepresentation of data, or omission of critical details.

To keep things simple and accessible, this thread focuses only on debunking the report's primary claims. If there’s enough interest, I’m happy to dedicate time to addressing other aspects of the report.

The report credits the following individuals for their contributions, so I will too: @Aizenberg55, @ElliotMalin, @MarkZlochin , Patrick Schnecker, and Jacob Haddo.

While you are free to express your disappointment in their actions, I urge you NOT to harass them. We gain nothing from harassment and personal attacks.

I want to emphasize that I generally dislike targeting individuals, I'd much prefer challenging systems and institutions. However, when someone uses their platform to mislead the public on such a serious issue intentionally, I feel a moral obligation to speak out.

Attempting to cast doubt on or deny atrocities committed against a people is one of the lowest forms of conduct. One that we, as a society, should stand against. Introduction

The core claim of the report is that we cannot trust any information coming out of Gaza and that media reports are unreliable. While Andrew is absolutely wrong in claiming there is no reliable data from Gaza, he is correct that the media is often unreliable.

However, it’s worth noting that the media’s inaccuracies often involve underestimating the civilian death toll, as they rarely mention that indirect deaths and those still buried under rubble have not yet been accounted for.

Throughout the report, Andrew cites data from the Gaza Ministry of Health (MoH), the Gaza Media Office (GMO), and Hamas officials. He at times confuses and conflates these different sources.

Andrew is correct that Hamas has an incentive to lie, especially during times of war, and we shouldn’t blindly trust reports from Gaza. For this reason, I agree that the statements of the GMO and Hamas officials cannot be taken at face value, so I won’t focus on those claims for the remainder of this thread

The MoH, however, releases updated casualty lists every few months, and their data is both verifiable and historically accurate.
Oct 23, 2024 11 tweets 11 min read
How we can know with a high degree of certainty that the civilian death toll in Gaza is at least 40,000 but likely much higher and that the civilian to combatant ratio is amongst the highest in recent history 🧵 This might be surprising to some, as many are claiming that the civilian death toll is only a fraction of this and that the civilian to combatant ratio is the lowest in history. However, when we examine the actual data we see that these claims are entirely baseless, while we have substantial data to suggest otherwise.