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Alan Holt Profile picture
Alan Holt
@AlanSHolt
Chief Meteorologist, @kiii3news | Certified by the National Weather Association | Avid Golfer | @UTSA & @msstate Alum
Sep 13, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
SUN 10pm - Nicholas remains a 40 mph tropical storm, moving slowly north at 2 mph in the Western Gulf of Mexico. 1/5 There is a notable east shift in the 10PM forecast cone, which is now just to the east of Corpus Christi. Nicholas is forecast to become a 65mph tropical storm (75 mph gusts) en-route to the Middle Texas Gulf Coast TUE morning. Nicholas slows and weakens over SE TX WED/THU. 2/5
Sep 12, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
SUN 4PM - Tropical Storm Nicholas is a 40mph storm, moving NNW at 14 mph. It's about 160 miles off of the coast of Mexico and about 200 miles south of the TX/MX border. Nicholas will move northward, paralleling the Mexico/Texas coastline through Monday. Some strengthening is expected over the next 24-36 hours. Winds near the center of the storm forecast to reach 65 mph by Monday afternoon.
Sep 12, 2021 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Sun 10A - Tropical Storm Nicholas has formed in the Bay of Campeche. Tropical Storm warnings are posted on the Texas Gulf Coast from Brownsville to Corpus Christi. Tropical Storm watches north of that. Nicholas will parallel the TX coastline, passing through/near The Coastal Bend on Monday evening/Tuesday morning as a strong tropical storm - 65 mph winds.
Sep 11, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
SAT PM - The GFS/EURO ensemble plots show most of the iterations for each model bringing Invest 94L north in the Western Gulf, paralleling the coastline. Most members at either Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm strength. A track paralleling the TX/MX coast will make landfall hard to predict & won’t be a ‘tell all’. Spread could be from MX to LA. A weaker system would likely ‘spread the wealth’ of rain across a larger area. A more developed system would concentrate the highest rain totals.
Sep 11, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
🌀🧵SAT AM - Invest 94L, the tropical wave moving into the Bay of Campeche this weekend, continues to have a high (80%) likelihood of developing over the next few days. Most guidance keeps this feature from garnering too much strength in the Western Gulf. The consensus is at least a tropical depression; meaning a cyclonically spinning storm with winds under 39 mph.