Well Jack, lucky for you I’ve spent this afternoon analysing Golden Boot trends from the last three Euros.

Everyone, give this a read. Some gold in here that’ll help you predict the top goalscorer at EURO 2024, inc some tips.

Please like & bookmark this post.

🧵 // THREAD

https://twitter.com/Jacksmith2186/status/1798404927913697619

Golden Boot winner is simply the top goalscorer at the tournament.

If it’s a tie, it’s decided on who has the most assists.

If still a tie, it’s decided on who has the best goals per minute.

The best way to play this market is backing an outsider each-way, I’ll explain why.

Newcastle v Leicester tonight.

Newcastle can secure Champions League football with a point, Leicester are desperate and need a win.

Desperation and frustration = fouls.

I'm expecting plenty tonight with lots on the line, here's some research.

🧵 // THREAD Newcastle's last three games have been against Brighton, Leeds & Arsenal.

Across those matches, they committed 47 fouls. An average of 15.6 per game.

Newcastle have averaged 10.7 fouls per game this season, so it points to a clear increase in the games that matter.

Some big games across Europe later.

I’ve singled out two derbies in Sevilla v Betis & Sporting v Benfica.

Last meetings:

🇪🇸 Sevilla v Betis
• 9 yellows
• 3 reds
• 26 fouls

🇵🇹 Sporting v Benfica
• 7 yellows
• 30 fouls

There’s more info in this thread.

🧵 // THREAD Starting in Spain.

This is the Seville derby, with less than three miles between the stadiums.

Betis can go eight points clear for a Europa League spot if they win, whilst Sevilla could go level on points with 7th placed Bilbao.

🚂 £10 to £500 Train Challenge.

The last journey of the season.

• £10 start, £500 finish

• 7 bets in total

• Research with every bet

• Bank winnings whenever you like

Here's everything you need to know:

🧵 // THREAD I'll be starting with £10.

You can start with whatever you're happy with, here's some examples:

💷 £1 could return £50
💷 £2 could return £100
💷 £5 return £250

A challenge is fun, but only if we stake what we're comfortable with risking.

👤 Thursday Ref Watch

Getting this out tonight, Tello the one to watch.

🇨🇭 v 🇨🇲 Facundo Tello

🇺🇾 v 🇰🇷: Clement Turpin

🇵🇹 v 🇬🇭: Ismael Elfath

🇧🇷 v 🇷🇸: Alireza Faghani

Card stats for every referee from a range of domestic & int competitions.

#FIFAWorldCup  

🧵 // THREAD 🏟️ Switzerland v Cameroon
👤 Facundo Tello

• Liga Profesional: 20 matches, 5.50 cards per game

• Copa Libertadores: 4 matches, 7 cards per game

Tello dished out 10 red cards in one match only two weeks ago. 😂

👤 Wednesday Ref Watch

🇲🇦 v 🇭🇷: Fernando Rapallini

🇩🇪 v 🇯🇵: Ivan Barton

🇪🇸 v 🇨🇷 : Mohammad Hassan

🇧🇪 v 🇨🇦: Jenny Sikazwe

Card stats for every referee from a range of domestic and international competitions.

#FIFAWorldCup 

🧵 // THREAD 🏟️ Morocco v Croatia
👤 Fernando Rapallini

• Copa Libertadores: 5.8 cards per game

• Argentina league: 5.75 cards per game

• EURO 2020: 4 cards per game

👤 Ref Watch

🇦🇷 v 🇸🇦: Slavia Vinčić

🇩🇰 v 🇹🇳: César Ramos

🇲🇽 v 🇵🇱: Christopher Beath

🇫🇷 v 🇦🇺: Victor Gomes

Domestic and international card stats for all four referees today.

#FIFAWorldCup

🧵 // THREAD 🏟️ Argentina v Saudi Arabia
👤 Slavko Vinčić

🌎 International stats:

• 1 match
• 3 yellows per game
• 0 reds per game

🇸🇮 Domestic stats:

• 13 matches
• 4.07 yellows per game
• 0.23 red cards per game

👋🏼 New follower?

Over 1000 new followers have joined the account since Bet 1 sailed in on Sunday.

🚂💨 You can still join my £10 to £500 World Cup Train challenge, keep reading to get involved…

🧵 // THREAD • This is a 7 bet challenge, aiming to turn £10 into £500 in 7 days

• Bet 1 sailed in on Sunday, bet 2 kicks off at 10am today

• If you start now with £10 you can still win £263 with the remaining 6 bets

• Load bet 2: bit.ly/Load-BET2

18+, gamble responsibly.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales fans, here’s some thought’s on the game from my USA Scout.

Hopefully it helps with any bets and gives a better understanding of the team.

Enjoy.

🧵 // THREAD “The good news is we’ve played a couple of sides who take a similar tactical approach to what we might see against Wales.

The bad news is it hasn’t gone so well.

The best comparison is probably the two matches against a Canadian side, in which we only took one point.”

📊 England v Iran Levels Bet Builder

⬇️ Choose your level:

• 4/1 level 1: bit.ly/Level1-ENGIRA

• 15/1 level 2: bit.ly/Level2-ENGIRAN

• 21/1 level 3: bit.ly/Level3-ENGIRAN

I’m backing level 2 with my £5 free bet, claim it on Paddy Power.

18+, gamble responsibly. 📚 Read the research from my England and Iran Scouts

It’s why I’ve picked out each selection, so make sure you agree before placing the bet.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Listen up England fans

I was chatting with my Iran Scout last night about how they’ll set up today.

Here’s what he had to say…

🧵 // THREAD “Our manager Quieroz will want to capitalise on Englands recent poor form.

In the first half, we’ll be playing ultra defensive and sitting back.

It’s worked for opposition in the past, so our main aim will be to not concede.”

💡 I’m going to start a ‘Ref Watch’

Every morning I’ll share the domestic and international card stats for each ref, and which game they’re officiating.

Here’s today…

🧵 // THREAD #WorldCup2022 🏟️ England v Iran
👤 Raphael Claus

🌎 International stats:

• 6 matches
• 4 yellows per game
• 0.33 reds per game


🏆 Domestic stats:

• 24 matches
• 4.67 yellows per game
• 0.42 red cards per game

👕 Right. This took a while but it’s worth it.

Here’s a thread with predicted lineup, formation, top goalscorer & most carded player for every nation.

This will help you:

• Pick your Fantasy Football team
• Choose your bets for Matchday 1

Enjoy.

🧵 // THREAD 🏆 Group A

🇪🇨 4-1-2-3

⚽️ Valencia: 4
🟡 Caicedo: 5

🇳🇱 3-4-1-2

⚽️ Klaassen: 4
🟡 Dumfries: 2

🇶🇦 5-3-2

⚽️ Almoez Ali: 6
🟡 Khoukhi: 1

🇸🇳 4-1-2-3

⚽️ Sarr: 3
🟡 Gueye: 1

🕵🏻‍♂️ Lots asking about Lautaro Martinez so here’s an insight from my Argentina Scout

✅ I can confirm, he will be in my outright that will be posted later today

🎥 Here he is scoring v Uruguay (look at Messi finding the space to get it wide)

🧵 // THREAD 25 year-old Martinez moved to Inter Milan in 2018 after scoring 22 goals in 48 apps for Racing Club.

Last season he notched 25 goals in 49 appearances, this season he’s currently on 8 goals in 21 apps.

He has scored 21 international goals in 40 apps.

🔍 Spotted on the Paddy Power homepage.

Bet £10 on the Golden Boot winner, get:

💷 Winnings in cash
⚽️ £1 free bet for every goal
🎯 £1 free bet every shot on target

I’ve broken down stats for my top 5 favourites to help you decide.

🧵 // THREAD

18+, gamble responsibly. 🇫🇷 Kylian Mbappe (PSG)

🏆 World Cup Qualifiers:

⚽️ 5 goals in 6 matches
🎯 2.13 avg shots on target per 90

🇫🇷 22/23 Ligue 1:

⚽️ 11 goals in 13 matches
🎯 2.22 avg shots on target per 90

Group: Australia, Denmark & Tunisia

Odds: 9.00 (8/1)

🏆 That concludes the Premier League until Boxing Day so it’s focus on the World Cup now.

🕵🏼‍♂️ Today I introduced every one of my 32 World Cup Scouts.

Their info will be invaluable when it comes to:

• Formations & player roles
• Style of play
• Player based bets

⬇️ 🧵 Group A

https://twitter.com/AndyRobsonTips/status/1591786153992425473

🏆 World Cup Group H

🕵🏼‍♂️ Meet my expert Scouts:

🇬🇭 Ghana
🇵🇹 Portugal
🇰🇷 South Korea
🇺🇾 Uruguay

🧵 // THREAD 🇬🇭 Ghana Scout

🏆 Best moment: Asamoah Gyan’s goal against USA in 2010.

📥 Verdict: A young team with a young coach & new players who just switched nationalities leaves a lot of question marks on us. A lot will depend on how quickly we can gel in Qatar.

🏆 World Cup Group G

🕵🏼‍♂️ Meet my expert Scouts:

🇧🇷 Brazil
🇨🇲 Cameroon
🇷🇸 Serbia
🇨🇭 Switzerland

🧵 // THREAD 🇧🇷 Brazil Scout

🏆 Best moment: Branco goal v Netherlands in 1994

📥 Verdict: This team have a lot more emotional maturity, and the tactical work from Tite is really good. Hopefully Neymar grows up and we stand a good chance.

🏆 World Cup Group F

🕵🏼‍♂️ Meet my expert Scouts:

🇧🇪 Belgium
🇨🇦 Canada
🇭🇷 Croatia
🇲🇦 Morocco

🧵 // THREAD 🇧🇪 Belgium Scout

🏆 Best moment: 2014 vs USA on my birthday. 1st tournament of our golden generation.

📥 Verdict: There is less hype than in 2018 & 2021 because of recent injuries (Lukaku, Hazard, Vertongen). Experience + KDB & Courtois should bring us at least past the groups.

🏆 World Cup Group E

🕵🏼‍♂️ Meet my expert Scouts:

🇨🇷 Costa Rica
🇩🇪 Germany
🇯🇵 Japan
🇪🇸 Spain

🧵 // THREAD 🇨🇷 Costa Rica Scout

🏆 Best moment: Beating Italy in Brazil 2014 World Cup.

📥 Verdict: We won’t get past the group stages. It’s a very difficult group, and we have a very young team that will try to cause a surprise.

🏆 World Cup Group D

🕵🏼‍♂️ Meet my expert Scouts:

🇦🇺 Australia
🇩🇰 Denmark
🇫🇷 France
🇹🇳 Tunisia

🧵 // THREAD 🇦🇺 Australia Scout

🏆 Best moment: Cahill goal vs Netherlands in 2014.

📥 Verdict: Key players such as Souttar, Hrustić and Rowles are each under injury clouds heading into the tournament. Australia’s fate heavily rests on the fitness of this trio.