Thread: Arizona Covid-19 update as of Sun June 6.

507 newly reported cases (592 added - 85 withdrawn)
• 413 (81.5%) from samples collected in the last 7 days.

7 day average is now 390.3;
• a week ago it was 622.4 (-37.3% change). 5,357 newly reported AZ ELR Diagnostic tests on June 6 (6,576 added - 1,230 withdrawn + 11 fudge factor)

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic pos/tests:
191/5,347 = 3.6%

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic positives/tests from samples collected in last 7 days:
293/6,566 = 4.5%

Pima Covid-19 update as of Sun June 6.

-94 newly reported cases (19 added - 113 withdrawn)
• 13 from samples collected in the last 7 days.

Going to stop reporting the 7 day avg for newly reported Pima cases bc they have been so distorted by churn in old cases recently 626 newly reported Pima ELR Diagnostic tests on June 6 (840 added - 208 withdrawn - 6 fudge factor).

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic pos/tests:
20/632 = 3.2%

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic positives/tests from samples collected in last 7 days:
31/833 = 3.7%

Arizona Covid-19 update as of Sat June 5 .

277 newly reported cases (378 added - 101 withdrawn)
• 287 (103.6%) from samples collected in the last 7 days.

7 day average is now 406.9;
• a week ago it was 579.3 (-29.8% change). 10,443 newly reported AZ ELR Diagnostic tests on June 5 (10,865 added - 451 withdrawn + 29 fudge factor)

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic pos/tests:
852/10,412 = 8.2%

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic positives/tests from samples collected in last 7 days:
313/6,061 = 5.2%

Thread: Pima Covid-19 update as of Sat June 5 .

-57 newly reported cases (38 added - 95 withdrawn)
• 32 from samples collected in the last 7 days.

7 day average is now 57.9;
• a week ago it was 37.6 (+54.0% change). The 7 day average of newly reported cases is still distorted on the high side because of hundreds of old cases being newly reported on May 30. The cases by sample date charts are the most reliable indicator of current trends.

Thread: Arizona Covid-19 update as of Fri June 4 .

346 newly reported cases (415 added - 69 withdrawn)
• 390 (112.7%) from samples collected in the last 7 days.

7 day average is now 446.9;
• a week ago it was 591.9 (-24.5% change). 6,274 newly reported AZ ELR Diagnostic tests on June 4 (7,562 added - 1,221 withdrawn - 67 fudge factor)

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic pos/tests:
216/6,343 = 3.4%

Newly reported ELR Diagnostic positives/tests from samples collected in last 7 days:
351/7,506 = 4.7%

Thread: Pima Covid-19 update as of Fri June 4 .

4 newly reported cases (61 added - 57 withdrawn)
• 54 (1,350%) from samples collected in the last 7 days.

7 day average is now 73.7;
• a week ago it was 36.3 (+103.1% change). The 7 day average of newly reported cases is still distorted on the high side because of hundreds of old cases being newly reported on May 30. The cases by sample date charts are the most reliable indicator of current trends.

This Pima Co. memo says the health dept is struggling to reach COVID-19 cases & close contacts.

By my estimate only 11% of close contacts were traced.

This has to improve!

What can the community do?
What can the health dept do?

@pchd 1/12
webcms.pima.gov/UserFiles/Serv… 11% is a long way from what we need to prevent a second wave, but even small improvements can have big benefits. There’s more to contact tracing than epidemic suppression. 2/12