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CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
CasualtiesOfTheDay
@Ayei_Eloheichem
Animalia, Chordata, Mammalia, Primates, Hominidae, Hominini, Homo, H. sapiens, Homo sapiens sapiens. Opinions are my own. And stupid.
2 subscribers
Mar 13 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Better to be a theoretical nuclear target.

If India and Pakistan can avoid a nuclear exchange, anyone can, and North Korea, e.g., will nuke South Korea (and use biological and chemical weapons) in the event of conflict regardless of the South's possession of nukes. Nukes aren't a magical answer, but if you've got the infrastructure, know-how, and money, unclear to me why you wouldn't at least become a nuclear threshold state as a theoretical deterrent to nuclear coercion/threats.
Sep 20, 2024 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Oh, this one fucking hurts. Fuck.

Seems the "Georgian Legion" that basically kicked off what became NAFO was a scam, one I promoted and to which I donated and got my friends to donate significant amounts of money.

Should've paid closer attention. Mea culpa 🤦‍♂️💀 🧵👇
Apr 14, 2024 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
Very Serious People are insisting that Israel's strike on Iran's embassy complex in Syria justifies any military response.

Who am I to disagree with the Very Serious People? Embassies are sacred. Everything is justified.


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Image The regime in Iran was literally created by attacking the US embassy in 1979 🤡

Here are some other incidents.




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Oct 16, 2023 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
.@jonathanchait: "They are treating apologias for Hamas as a factually or logically flawed application of left-wing ideals. I believe...that Hamas defenders are applying their own principles correctly. The problem is the principles themselves."
nymag.com/intelligencer/… @jonathanchait: "The illiberal left believes treating everybody equally...merely serves to maintain existing structures of power. It follows...that the legitimacy of a tactic can only be assessed with reference to whether it is being used by the oppressor or the oppressed."
Jun 12, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
"Wagner...has also released several horrifying snuff films and images of executions, mutilations and beheadings that would make Islamic State blush."
archive.md/2023.06.12-060… "RIM and Wagner are the Russian equivalent of...Jaish-e-Mohammad, Lashkar-e-Tayyiba and Hezbollah. The former two are...well-known terrorist fronts created by [Pakistan]...while the latter is essentially the Lebanese branch of Iran’s [IRGC]." aijac.org.au/op-ed/barbaric…
Jun 11, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
14th report of the UN Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team on ISKP: "At least five new [ISKP training camps] built in 2022. The group has created a network of sleeper cells in the centre of the country...elsewhere [ISKP] operate in cells of 5 to 15 people." ImageImageImage "There had also been a targeted campaign to recruit TTP members, Uighurs and ethnic Tajik and Uzbek minorities, which prompted reports of [IMU] units secretly pledging allegiance [IS] while remaining under the Taliban umbrella and biding their time."
Mar 3, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
A fascinating account in @newlinesmag about Iran's all-expenses-paid, Orwellian recruitment centres in Qom masquerading as religious institutions, where it's struggle sessions, lies, spies, antisemitism, conspiracy, and Khomeini worship 24/7. newlinesmag.com/first-person/h… "The biggest taboo of all was Khamenei...We would never, ever speak about him, his role in Iran or the Iranian regime. It was really strange to see his Orwellian portrait everywhere without being able to speak about him."
Mar 2, 2023 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
At least 100 incredibly cheap ($1000-$5000) Australian drones made of cardboard+rubber bands are being delivered to Ukraine every month.

Designed to be totally expendable, some have completed 60 flights and drop bombs, deliver supplies, or conduct recon. theaustralian.com.au/nation/cheap-a… The Precision Payload Delivery System drones, designed by @SYPAQ_Official, are constructed from thick, wax-coated cardboard and heavy-duty rubber bands that secure the wings.

Mar 1, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
"Military planners assess that the CFR-600 is poised to play a critical role in raising China’s stockpile of warheads to 1,500 by 2035 from an estimated 400 today."

CCP racing to match the Russian and American nuclear arsenals by the 2040s.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/… "Russia exported almost seven times as much highly-enriched uranium to China for the CFR-600 as all the material removed worldwide under US and IAEA auspices in the last three decades."
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Jan 10, 2023 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
The Teals have been out front on the issue of Australia listing the IRGC as a terrorist organisation for months.

Let's bloody do it already.
Jan 10, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Pentagon: "Soledar...has been contested now pretty significantly. So, we do think that there are a good portion of Soledar that the Russians have in their hands and the Ukrainians do as well." Pentagon: "They have these rolling volleys of artillery fire and then the Russians...will follow that with all sorts of people that are not their best fighters...then you have better-trained forces that move behind them to claim the ground."

Jan 9, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
"A French official told POLITICO that Paris is turning the screws on Germany in the hope of extracting an agreement...to send Leopard tanks to Ukraine ahead of a Franco-German summit on January 22, the 60th anniversary of the Élysée partnership treaty."

politico.eu/article/france… "Similar pressure is coming from Poland, which wants to form a broad coalition among Western partners to jointly hand over Leopards to Ukraine."
Jan 8, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
The US will eventually have to transfer a few symbolic Abrams to get the ball rolling, and then Germany et al will send Leopards.
Dec 18, 2022 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
🧵 This brilliant NYT report on Putin's cascading catastrofuck in Ukraine is a must-read.

Nothing we didn't know before in some sense, but puts it all in one place and adds a lot of meat to the bones.
nytimes.com/interactive/20… As I and others have consistently pointed out, nothing that has happened to date has changed Putin's imperial goals, and no amount of losses or sanctions will have an impact in the future: Image
Dec 11, 2022 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
Something getting lost in all the commentary on Russian gains around Bakhmut is that their offensive has not made substantial gains in over 4 months, and those at HORRENDOUS cost.

And in the interim, they lost Kharkiv and Kherson city because of it 🤡
Dec 9, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
State Department: "I think you heard from my colleague at the White House this morning that we don’t have any information to share at this point regarding current deliveries of [Iranian] ballistic missiles [to Russia]." Image The United States has not seen evidence that Iran has transferred ballistic missiles to Russia for use against Ukraine reuters.com/world/us-has-n…
Dec 9, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Erdogan, via his friend and associate Sıtkı Ayan [and in coordination with the Russian government], has been overseeing the IRGC-QF's “largest financial network in Turkey and possibly the entire world”.

Quelle surprise 🙄

politico.eu/article/sitki-… IRGC-Erdogan coordination is long and deep. Not sure why anybody would be confused by this revelation if they'd been paying attention since... well, since even before AKP came to power, but certainly thereafter.

Dec 9, 2022 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
🧵I am being rightfully ratioed for this idiotic tweet, which I am deleting to save my mentions.

Let this be a lesson not to tweet while super drunk. However, while taking the L, I want to clarify my “thought process” here: Image 1. It goes without saying that this is a Russian win and a US loss. That’s the nature of hostage diplomacy: they get important agents, we just get our civilian citizens back. It sucks.
Sep 30, 2022 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
WarGonzo: Lyman is fucked, Russia has reportedly been forced from Yampol, Drobyshevo has either fallen or soon will. [Yampil, Drobysheve]

Sep 29, 2022 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Pentagon on mobilization: "If you think about the consequences that they kind of feel that they're in right now and you compare that to World War I and World War II, that certainly says a lot about what the Ukrainians have been able to do to the Russian Army." Image Pentagon: "It's much harder to generate that force than I think folks will say...The mechanics of outfitting that size of a force is very difficult...The majority of the people who would train those individuals, those individuals are in Ukraine."

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Sep 29, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
I wonder if this is still true. Would they actually be crazy enough to invade the North again with even less combat-capable forces?