Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Dr. Beate Sander Profile picture
Dr. Beate Sander
@BeateSander
Scientist, Prof, CRC Econ of Infect Dis @thetacollab @UHN @ihpmeuoft. Pop health, IDs, econ, sims. Co-Chair Modeling Consensus Table, Member @COVIDSciOntario
Sep 2, 2021 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
There was some confusion on the modeling released yesterday by @COVIDSciOntario. I will walk you through it, slide by slide. Predictions show the range of possible scenarios across 5 models, 3-5 scenarios each.
Grey dashed line is our CURRENT TRAJECTORY, i.e., 4% 7-day average daily case growth. That’s the trajectory we are on if we continue as is. 1/n
Apr 11, 2020 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
You asked - here are our updated predictions @covid19mc.
What's new? Better data on reported cases over longer period of time = ⬆️ precision.
First signs #PhysicalDistancing worked. If we keep going (+ ramp up other strategies), "Italy" scenario seems unlikely.
What's next?
1/6 Focus on #LTC, #shelters and other vulnerably populations. What emerged over the last couple days is beyond appalling. We can do so much better!
2/6