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BillStepien
@BillStepien
DJTFP 2016. DJTFP 2020. White House in the in-between years. Campaign Manager.
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Nov 2, 2020
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4 tweets
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1 min read
Pres. Trump will head to Kenosha later today.
In Wisconsin, weeks ago the partisan makeup of the electorate was D +12.3 - today it’s D +5.9.
Going into Election Day in ‘16, the gap was D +9.6.
Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 100k net votes. Nevada?
Democrats jumped out to a D +27.3 advantage during AB only voting. Today it’s D +5.
Flashback: going into Election Day in 2016, the gap was D +7.9.
President Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 50k net votes.
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Nov 2, 2020
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7 tweets
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2 min read
So there has been a lot of bluster, from pollsters and pundits, about what we should expect tomorrow.
President Trump has the momentum in this race and the math available to him to win on Election Day.
🚨 👇 THREAD 👇 🚨 President Trump is ahead of where he was in 2016, by a very key measure.
It’s the measure that actually matters. Votes cast, and votes left to be cast.
You’ve been seeing reports of Democrats being nervous, and well, they should be.
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Sep 22, 2020
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6 tweets
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2 min read
We are 7 weeks from Nov. 3rd.
Over the last few weeks, GOP voter registration continues to outpace DEMS in key battlegrounds with partisan registration.
This growth is after GOP registration gains across battlegrounds since Election Day 2016. 📈 PENNSYLVANIA 📈
From Nov. 2016 through Labor Day, GOP gained 166k+ voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Since Labor Day, GOP gained 16k+ additional voters by margin vis-a-vis DEMS.
Republicans increased margins in 64 of the Commonwealth's 67 counties since Labor Day.