🧵 Ontario is sabotaging its own revised science and risk-based 💉 plans days after it was announced. This will kill more vulnerable. Let's take a look. Dr. Warner points out that anyone can jump ahead saying they have an eligible health condition in April. #onpoli#vaccines
We know from their track record that when the @ongov refuses to impose rules and leaves it open to people to choose, many will break the rules. So this is an open invitation for mass queue jumping. Especially for a vaccine, not a fluffy decorator pillow.
This was the strategy announced. It looks good when it recognizes that 96% of the deaths are 60+. Health conditions look fine too *until* you sabotage it with a "Homesense" version. Every healthy person can step in line and divert vaccines from the truly vulnerable and seniors.
I'm finding myself at odds with people who want to just measure vaccine performance by the raw statistics (and I produce such charts lol). I want to see the v80+ vaccinated first and fast. Govts can easily ignore that challenge and just open the gates to the lower priority.
This pressure for popular results is what led to the Premier's meddling in testing strategy back in April and to the delay in vaccinating LTC residents. Convenient and fast will cost lives but make voters happy.
So when you say you want the freezer cleared, be careful what you wish for. Just because the govt doesn't give you the numbers on vaccinations by age doesn't mean you should lose sight of the priority. Demand that 80+ be completed, then demand 70+, demand the other vulnerable.
Mystified as to how some regional vaccination plans think that 80 or 95 year olds can just run out to mass vaccination sites like 40 year olds. There is still a lot wrong in the way we are treating our most vulnerable and that's because no one in that age group had input.
Ageism starts by not having a clue because you're not that age and you assume they are like you. Ageism continues when you never add an elderly rep to a vaccine task force.
I suggest that many of these poor people have bladder, spine, leg/hip, and diabetic issues. Waiting in line outside is going to keep some of them from going, especially if they are alone and depressed, without a care giver. We can do better.
80+ Ontario Vaccine Rollout Status March 8 9am
*** check PHU websites for more details
*** add updates or corrections to replies
Thanks to volunteers who update this daily! #VaccinesSaveLives
Note: I have added the 14 day new cases per 100K to the table. This gives an idea of which regions will be seeing the most 80+ deaths per capita in coming weeks. Part of getting vaccines to regions is understanding where the greatest immediate need is.
🧵🦠📈 Canada March 7 Update
* based on PHU reports this evening *
Canada's weekly case rate stands at 55.2, almost unchanged over the last 18 days. #Covid19#cdnpoli
💡explore in the viz at bit.ly/Billius27
Provincial weekly case rate ranking. Manitoba is breaking from the "Covid-6"
🧵 I need to touch on the disconnect between the Ontario vaccine priorities, the opening framework and variant risk. The current combination amounts to preventable #SENICIDE. Let me explain.
We know who will die in a next wave: 6,666 60+ have died, 96% of all deaths. #onpoli
We know that the province is reopening, a plan that is turning Rt and case growth back up.
We know now how the Fall growth in cases affected deaths. 4,055 have died. 4,055. Let that sink in.
As of Feb 19, 1,402,139 #covid19 doses were administered in Canada and 167 had serious adverse events reported afterwards (about 1 in ten thousand). 10 were deaths - 7 were found to not be due to the vaccination. The other 3 are under investigation (2 per million). #vaccinesafety
🧵🦠📈 Ontario Feb 27 Update
I am seeing a resurgence, linked to the reopening of regions into the Ontario tier framework and despite Toronto and Peel remaining in Stay at Home.
Let me touch on some of the latest stats and trends. #Covid19#Covid19Ontario#onhealth#onpoli
Ontario's new cases are trending upward since sub-1000 case reports 10 days ago. The smoothed trend has picked up on that and now expects them to rise above 1,200 per day.
The recent rise in the 7 day test trend would normally mean lowering test positivity. It has remained flat.
2/ You may recall that I took a controversial position early on how vaccines should be distributed across Canada, advocating that they be dist'd based on local mortality risks rather than provincial populations. This is that idea applied within Ontario.
3/ The brief explains (and we all know from my charts) that much of the burden has been in certain areas such as Peel and NW Toronto. By prioritizing based on both age and neighbourhood (first 3 chars of postal code), more lives can be saved faster.