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Black Bird Group Profile picture
Black Bird Group
@Black_BirdGroup
Conflict and Intelligence Analysis Team. Focused on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Contact: contact@blackbirdgroup.fi Map: https://t.co/vONZw0SLYc
Sep 2 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
In August the Russians occupied 430 sqkm of Ukrainian territory. This is down from the 502 sqkm in July.

However, looking at the numbers alone does not give a full picture of the Russian operations. Over the second half of August the situation became increasingly dynamic. Image In the area of the Dnipropetrovsk border, the Ukrainians conducted a tactical counterattack, pushing Russia away from ~50sqkm of territory.

The area in orange was our assessment of Russian control on the 15th of August overlaid on current frontline. Image
Mar 9 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
We have updated the map to reflect the emerging situation in the Kursk salient, where recent Russian offensive have forced the Ukrainians to withdraw from large areas.

The northern part of the salient has been abandoned, with Russians capturing Malaya Lokanaya.

1/ Image According to Russian sources the Ukrainians had rotated some units out of the salient earlier. It's possible that the Ukrainians were preparing for larger withdrawals.

Recent Russian operations may have started as an pre-emptive attempt to disrupt any Ukrainian withdrawal.

2/
Jan 16 • 17 tweets • 7 min read
Light Infantry Attacks – A Thread

Why does our @J_JHelin keep rejecting the "human waves" narrative, instead calling the reported North Korean attacks in Kursk "basic infantry drills"?

Let’s dive into light infantry on the attack and why this distinction matters.

1/ Image What is light infantry?

At its core, light infantry are troops that:
Operate on foot in combat.
Have little to no support from vehicles.
Move organic support (mortars, MGs) on foot or trucks. Rely primarily on infantry weapons to fight.

Pictured: Finnish Jäger Company

2/ Image
Nov 24, 2023 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
Sitrep - War in Gaza

With the news of ceasefire between IDF and Hamas, we're sharing some of our observations. We focus on military situation on the ground in Gaza based on open sources.
This is a short thread about the situation on the ground during the past month. /1 Image Background in short:
After Oct 7th attack by Hamas, highest casualty terror attack on Israels soil, IDF conscripted a record amount of troops from it's reserve: ~360 000 pax, whom were deployed to directions of Gaza, Blue Line, Golan Heights and West Bank. 2/