S&S study guide. Diary of a fugitive a 🧵: Dennis Keys aka Espaciodellaves:

Going to largely gloss over the early stages of his saga as I want to focus on the crimes, but let's just say Llaves has falsely accused at least 4 other people of being me in the last year (1/ At some point in june, Llaves incorrectly identified a man who isn't even an active X user as me. Other criminals like @timber001 and @BananaMediaX gleefully participated in publishing the private details and address of this man, flimsily justifying because "I'm mean" (2/

🧵NEW SERIES: "The essential stocks in your life". I'm going to go over the companies that you, if you are going to be active in the markets, NEED to know and understand.

I'll be making 2 passes at them - the first is going to be a high level overview as to why you need to know them and, qualitatively why they're important. I'll list, generally, whether they are tickers you need in your portfolio and a 6-12 month valuation. I'll come back through and provide technical analysis at a later date. I'm going to key in on 3 groups:

-The AI revolution
-The Mag 7
-The most important ETFs in your life

I'll spend most of my time on AI revolution companies, because it's the most wildly misunderstood (and yet, as always, the biggest tsunami that most people don't realize is coming). I'm only going to put focus on the companies that most people should have some stake in rather than a broad overview of the wannabes.

When we talk about the AI revolution stocks, in particular, it's going to be presented so you understand the best-in-breed and broken into 3 sub-groups:

-The AI hardware revolution ( <---------- You are here)
-The software revolution
-The New World Order

This process with AI will take part in serial as opposed to parallel, because the infrastructure has to be put into place before the abstraction layer becomes a revenue generating monster.

When we talk about the Mag 7 (which will have some overlap with AI Revo), we're gonna go into why only 3 of them are winners, why 3 of them are losers, and how 1 can tilt either way.

As it pertains to ETFs, the reality is most traders would be best suited trading in them almost exclusively as opposed to individual tickers - but we're also going to dive into ETFs that are centered around individual sectors or, in some cases, even just individual tickers and how those with less capital but higher appetite for risk can use them as a force multiplier. The essential stocks in your life. piece 1: AI Revolution - Hardware phase

Surprise, motha fucker! After breaking the groups into subgroups, this subgroup has subgroups, as well! Hey, I said I was going to educate you - I didn't say it was going to be fast.

So when we talk about the hardware phase of the AI revolution, we're talking about 4 things:

1) GPUs to process data and learn
2) Storage for that data
3) Real estate (the return of the datacenter!) and
4) Power

The equities I'm going to be talking about in this phase (from each group) are:

1) $NVDA (Also Mag 7) and $ASML. Possibly $AVGO
2) $DELL and $SMCI
3) $EQIX
4) $BE, $ETN and perhaps Schneider (international markets, might leave it out because it's out of bounds for most).

Let's just get started with the single most important company on the planet today, and the 800 pound gorilla: $NVDA

Now, for those of you who have followed me for quite a while, you know that I said back when nVidia was the 455th largest company on the exchange, that within 10 years it was going to be the biggest because it was the single most important AI infrastructure in the world. And everybody laughed at me. 300th, more laughing, 100th, laughing, 50th, ppl stopped laughing, 10th, people paid attention, 5th people believed, 3rd people piled in late...and then it happened.

Matter of fact, if you are from RDS Twitter and you heard me talking about $NVDA the first time I mentioned the markets in a political space back in November of last year, and put 10 grand into the call option I told everybody they should get...congratulations, you're a millionaire right now, and you can sit out this entry, because you already believe. As some of you know, I had been talking about a huge position I had for June calls, which some of you might also know resulted in me netting a profit of over 120 million dollars.

If you didn't pop in, I've got good news for you: This one's still wildly undervalued. Matter of fact, I can (and will soon) make the quantitative argument that $NVDA at $120 is cheaper than $NVDA when it was $70 (accounting for most recent split - so 1200>700 if you will).

Picture this: You sell a $30,000 car at a 12% margin and are heavily reliant upon government subsidies in order to sell the vehicles (tax credits). You then have to support and maintain the vehicle. Everybody thinks it's the most important company in the world (I'm talking about $TSLA of course). Meanwhile, there's another company who literally can't get its product out the door fast enough, sells them for $45,000 a piece at 60% margins with absolutely no continuing support, and they could essentially charge anything they wanted and still have a line of customers out the door. That's $NVDA.

And the big thing is: $NVDA has no competition. Sure, there are other chip makers out there. Sure, you see news stories occasionally of companies like $AAPL that develop part of their AI engine using Google chips and the story tries to claim there are alternatives.

Let me disavow you of this notion: There aren't. When you see a story about how Apple ran its most recent RAG on Google chips, what was left out was how many more GPUs it took to run that, how much more power, and how much less efficient it all was - and, ultimately, how much more expensive it was as a result.

$NVDA has something no other company on the planet has: The luxury of being, literally, 5-10 years ahead of ALL of their competition in a space where the entire world needs as much product as they can get. The rest of the semiconductor world is still trying to catch up to the H100, and NVDA is about to deprecate those sell even higher margin Blackwells, and is already looking beyond GPUs and starting its research into quantum. They have such a massive lead over literally every other company on the market that they can't even SEE their closest competitor in the rear view mirror. You see NVDA bears proclaim that it can't last because 40% of nVidia's sales go to 3 companies - what they fail to realize is that that's only the case because those 3 companies refuse to give up their spot in line. Were they to vanish tomorrow, that 40% would be instantly gobbled up by people having to patiently wait their turn for scraps at the table. Companies like $MSFT and $AAPL and $AMZN can grouse and complain about the cost of these GPUs all day long or threaten to make their own, but everybody knows it's empty threats and that no amount of money is going to help them catch up to where $NVDA is - meaning that they're stuck, completely at the mercy of Jensen Huang.

This is a company that, literally, has more money than it knows what to do with and knows all of its customers are completely hostage to it for the next 10-15 years, so it just sinks it into getting further and further ahead of the pack. Nobody can take share from them. Not $AMD, not $QCOM, certainly not fucking $INTC or $GOOGL

I've been saying since January that NVDA would be at $2500 (so $250 post-split) by the January expiry, and I stand by that. Anybody who bought on the dip into the 90's following the Japanese carry trade debacle a few weeks ago got the gift of the fucking year there. It's still wildly undervalued at 125 (where it's sitting as I type this out). The only thing that has me not thinking it won't be 170 by this time next week after their earnings? Is the fact that everybody EXPECTS it to happen, so the algos might not permit it. Even if it doesn't happen immediately, my January 2025 outlook is still $250.

But make no mistake: If there's only one stock you have in your entire portfolio, it needs to be this one. The single most important company of your lifetime with at least a decade of dominance ahead of it. As I've been saying this whole time: Just put it in your portfolio and forget it even exists for 5 years, then brag to all your friends about how you're retiring early.

Short-term options trades are risky right now, but as they say - no risk, no 'rarri. If you're bold and have the capital, the trend is upside. Personally, I favor November and January calls, and have even started buying 2026 options - but make no mistake: If you don't have this stock in your portfolio, even if at this point you're chasing a little, you're doing it wrong. if it has another correction, I will happily keep buying all the way down. This should be the cornerstone of any investment portfolio.

Financial disclaimer: My cost basis on my $NVDA commons in my primary wealth management account is less than $0.80. Between those commons, commons I've added this year, and my option privileges, I have in excess of $250,000,000 worth of financial interest in the company.