Brendan Greenwald Profile picture
Jun 12, 2020 8 tweets 4 min read
2012 appears to be a great analogue for the current volatility in the treasury market, and might provide clues on what comes next if rates fall through their recent support level. Spoiler alert: it involves the #Fed. Here's a thread of the impact on diff markets.

$TNX $SPX I'll start with $SPX. When $TNX broke its support, equities experienced a >10% correction. This was after a 20% drop a year earlier that started this higher vol period.