Usually a lurker on here but dipping my toes briefly into the "k-shaped economy" discourse.
At PNC we track the debit & credit spending trends of a fixed cohort of ~4 million households.
Long story short: lower-income spending/balance sheet trends have been on a tear in 2026
First things first: the distribution of spending trends in our dataset is a lot closer to the official estimates from the BLS than others I've seen.
Top-third of households are responsible for ~56% of total spending in our data, closer to the ~55% figure from the CEX (for 2024)