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He first had symptoms Monday 8/18.
Hospital Admissions (comparing to initial #s for last week)
https://twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1892231672894038450There are other models, but the Health Belief Model is my favorite.
The COVID median climbs to 53k from 30k last Tuesday.
Ive long been beating a drum of the excellence of Wastewater as a tool to measure the burden of COVID in our state.
That said, there's good data here:
The estimate places the current COVID level in the top 25% of weeks since the start of the pandemic.
The wastewater data is a bit of a bright spot, with a major caveat.
The picture across the front range looks bleaker than it has in recent weeks, with almost all the front range utilities showing "steadily increasing" levels of COVID.
This time last year, we were near our lowest level of hospitalizations ever reported: 63 on 7/25/23. We are now more than double that at 135, a level we did not reach until mid-late September.
https://twitter.com/coloradosun/status/1815380529056735416Reporters:

This after no affected poultry producers in 4 full months. https://twitter.com/oscarcontrarius/status/1803577030459445599
The wastewater picture is looking particularly concerning. The trend numbers havent updated on the COVID Dashboard yet, but hand counting them yields this: 
The wastewater picture is concerning. 
Disclaimers
The estimate dips into the level equivalent to "Moderate Community Transmission", a level for which the CDC suggested it was safe for vaccinated people to be unmasked indoors.
Wastewater continues to decline, with declining utilities now the third highest ever.
https://twitter.com/nukittobesure/status/1774328203500564721More Sizes!
The weight of the pandemic has been difficult to bear for those who campaigned for you based on your promise to stop the pandemic, not just sweep it under the rug. For healthcare & public health workers, abandoned by your failure to follow public health practices, …/3
The median of all reporting utilities is dipping slightly, with a few low reports in the last couple days.