Comparative political analyst. Populism, risk, political and social identities, institutions of all sorts. Director @_Counterpoint_
Apr 10, 2022 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
🇨🇵In case anyone had forgotten-- 1st round of #FrenchElection today. There has been a lot of scary talk over the past few days about #MarineLePen. Here are a few thoughts (bit of a thread!). Macron and MLP are neck and neck. They were pretty close in 2017 and came in within
3 points of each other. This time it may be closer. Most serious polls place Macron on roughly 26.5 and MLP on 23. Bus some suggest it may be tighter--and refer to it being 'within the margin of error' (i.e too close to call). It's important to keep in mind that, even if MLP were
