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CJinKnoxTN Profile picture
CJinKnoxTN
@CJinKnoxTN
Engineer, Entrepreneur. In God we trust, everyone else bring data. Parler CJinKnoxTN
May 14, 2020 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
Shock study: 60,000 people antibody population study in Spain comparing "essential workers" who continued going out versus those who stayed home. Guess which group had a higher infection rate. /1 If you guessed essential workers, you will be shocked to know that it was those who stayed home. /2
Apr 5, 2020 • 22 tweets • 6 min read
Where is the peak for COVID-19 in NY? It can be foggy on the peak, but drop into this thread and let's analyze the terrain more clearly. There are some good signs in the data you probably haven't heard about. /1
First, let's look at the UW Model that the White House unveiled almost a week ago. WH said it was especially looking at the death counts predicted by this model, and it said it would peak on Apr 9. /2
Apr 1, 2020 • 16 tweets • 5 min read
The Real Challenge for NY State: Hospital Beds (not Ventilators). Also, the dog that did not bark ;)

Another thread about COVID-19 and hospital beds in NY and using data to track a new expert model. (Note: previous thread was on NY ICU beds and ventilators). /1 Tuesday (3/31) the White House revealed they were following a model from Univ of Washington (UW): covid19.healthdata.org/projections This new model answered the question about ventilators, but like the model I used in yesterday's thread it showed other breathtaking projections. /2
Mar 31, 2020 • 16 tweets • 4 min read
A thread about ICU Bed/Ventilator shortages and actual data for COVID-19 are telling us about expert model assumptions. /1 Gov Cuomo of NY stated on Saturday, 3/28/2020, "New York has tested 155,000 people...Projections show New York will reach its apex of cases in 14 to 21 days." So far, so good. /2
syracuse.com/coronavirus/20…
Mar 27, 2020 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
A thread about COVID-19 severity rates and what actual data are telling us about our experts' opinions and model assumptions. /1 @LarrySchweikart @TheLastRefuge2 @SHEPMJS @OBgynFl Severity rates fall into three main categories: [1] Hospital admission (so severe it leads to admission to a hospital). [2] ICU Admission (more severe as it leads to admission to the Intensive Care Unit at hospital & ventilator probably). [3] Fatality rate (most severe) /2