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James Cameron Profile picture
James Cameron
@CameronJJJ
Postdoc @NuclearOslo @UniOslo_SVfak, working on Arms Control in Europe. Author of The Double Game (@OUPAcademic) https://t.co/1lfSaPCUbL. Views my own.
Oct 12, 2022 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
A 🧵 on the Russian strategy of escalation through missile attacks, why its likely logic is wrong, and the possible consequences:

1/12 On Monday Putin addressed Russia's attacks on Ukrainian civilians & infrastructure.He:

1. Framed them (correctly or not) as punishment for Kerch & other alleged attacks
2. Promised future RU strikes would be "harsh" & "correspond to the level of threat posed" by new attacks 2/12 Image