Cb Profile picture
Nov 21, 2020 5 tweets 19 min read
@BorisJohnson @MattHancock @uksciencechief @CMO_England @PHE_uk @NHSEnglandNMD @ONS @michaelgove @talkRADIO @BBCNews @SkyNews @itvnews @Channel4News @BreesAnna @SueC00K @MichaelYeadon3 @ClareCraigPath
I'm not a scientist just a member of the public.
False positives. @BorisJohnson @MattHancock @uksciencechief @CMO_England @PHE_uk @NHSEnglandNMD @ONS @michaelgove @talkRADIO @BBCNews @SkyNews @itvnews @Channel4News @BreesAnna @SueC00K @MichaelYeadon3 @ClareCraigPath Assume 1% False Pos on PCR. Assume 300'000 PCR tests per day. Thats 3000 False pos per day or 21'000 a week. Test and Trace reach c60%. Let's say 50% of contacts of those 21000 a week are told to isolate. Even based in 1 contact per False pos = 10'000 a week.
Nov 19, 2020 5 tweets 12 min read
@BorisJohnson @didoharding @MattHancock @uksciencechief @CMO_England @DailyMailUK @SkyNews @talkRADIO @BBCNews @itvnews
Its not a rebranding T&T needs and its certainly not more testing.
A whole new approach to testing and isolation is needed! @BorisJohnson @didoharding @MattHancock @uksciencechief @CMO_England @DailyMailUK @SkyNews @talkRADIO @BBCNews @itvnews C19 is a respiratory virus. What proportion of asymptomatic people spread the virus?
More testing with LFR or PCR won't help if the tests are not reliable and pick dead cells, causing healthy people to isolate. That defeats the objective of test to unlock approach.