Charles Fain Lehman Profile picture
Senior Fellow @ManhattanInst • Senior Editor @CityJournal • Crime, Drugs, Vice, Cities • Opinions my own
Jan 13 4 tweets 2 min read
As a great new paper in Science demonstrates, the reason for this is probably not any particular American policy (in part because the same thing happened simultaneously in Canada), but a sudden and unexplained "drought" of fentanyl across North America. science.org/doi/epdf/10.11…
Sep 30, 2025 5 tweets 1 min read
We are not ready for this. Image It's time to overturn Ashcroft v. Free Speech Coalition.
Sep 10, 2025 10 tweets 3 min read
Yes, America has a political violence problem. Image Yes, America has a political violence problem. Image
Mar 20, 2025 5 tweets 1 min read
I think the real third rail is that nobody wants to talk about whether and how much corporations should be allowed to take advantage of very stupid people. the left doesn't want to admit they're stupid. The right doesn't want to admit it's taking advantage. So it's an impasse.
Sep 12, 2024 13 tweets 5 min read
Begging, pleading with the right to stop doing crime-data trutherism. It's a bad look when the left does it, and it's a bad look when we do it! 1) NIBRS non-participation was an issue in 2021, when it may have downplayed the *growth* in the crime level. But, as @Crimealytics has argued, it's just not an issue anymore, both because the FBI is letting PDs report under SRS, and because UCR coverage grew.
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Jun 29, 2024 4 tweets 1 min read
Camping enforcement isn’t a solution to homelessness. It is a solution to public disorderliness and dangerous conditions. Obviously the solution to people not having places to live is housing and/or shelter. But letting people take over public spaces until we resolve that problem is neither sensible nor humane as a solution.
Jun 6, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read
Here's a quick thread on the Americans who parachuted behind enemy lines on D-Day, which is among the most insane things anyone has ever done in military combat. (Screenshots are from John Keegan's _Six Armies In Normandy_.) First of all, it is important to remember that there basically were no parachutists prior to WWII. And the Allies only belatedly figured out the technique, with a lot of men dying along the way.
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May 23, 2024 17 tweets 6 min read
I muted this tweet after Twitter's AI got it mobbed, but fine, I'll engage. Is it reasonable to think that people are using 300 mg/day of THC? Yes. 🧵 Caulkins and Humphreys are talking here about daily (or near-daily) users. Caulkins separately estimates that about 40% of the ~60 million American marijuana users use daily or near-daily (~24M). Image
Apr 29, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read
That's a share, not a rate. Like yes, most homicide is intraracial, so the shares of homicide that are intraracial are similar between black and white offenders. But the Maher point is that black *rates* of homicide are much higher, and *because* homicide is intraracial, victims are mostly also black.
Apr 24, 2023 15 tweets 8 min read
Good morning! Pleased to make an appearance in @mattyglesias's Slow Boring newsletter, writing about my new @ManhattanInst report on modernizing our criminal justice system 🧵

slowboring.com/p/the-criminal… @ManhattanInst The report is in many senses a follow up to the argument @reihan and I made in the Atlantic last month: America is an extremely violent country, and this violence ought to be thought about primarily as a policy choice.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Feb 10, 2023 5 tweets 3 min read
'I never thought leopards would eat MY face,' sobs professor who voted for the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party.

compactmag.com/article/a-blac… Surely this is a shocking departure from Telluride's previous topics! ...Oh. ImageImageImageImage
Jan 23, 2023 12 tweets 4 min read
A fun fact from @HannahElka's report on Discovery Reform in New York: the bill was based on language drafted by ... the defense bar! @HannahElka It's almost like ... their goal was to make the system too dysfunctional to operate ...
Jan 22, 2023 4 tweets 1 min read
You need young people to be the workers whose labor is taxed to pay for old former workers.
Oct 6, 2022 6 tweets 2 min read
The pardon seems like small beans: nobody's currently in federal prison for marijuana, and it sounds like historical convictions number in the thousands, which is not a lot. I would guess that the number with *only* a federal mj possession conviction is even smaller. 1/ That said, it's good to remember that many of those convictions are probably plea deals. Even if Biden isn't explicitly pardoning convicted dealers, the guys who the feds are actually charging with MJ possession are not mostly kids in the wrong place at the wrong time. 2/
Oct 4, 2022 7 tweets 3 min read
One really efficient form of prevention is hiring cops to deter crimes. Another one is incarcerating offenders. I'm sure Brookings covered both of these! oh, ah, well, never mind.

Oct 4, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Engel et al. 2020: RCT evidence finds de-escalation training reduces use of force by 28%, citizen injuries by 26%, and officer injuries by 36%.

theiacp.org/sites/default/… Williams et al. 2021: meta-analysis of 20+ studies finds that body-worn cameras reduce complaints by 16.9 percent, use of force by 9.6 percent

nber.org/papers/w28622
Sep 30, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
It's actually good to refuse to work with institutions which hate you. I also have no idea why "refusing to hire people" is some deep violation of principle.
Aug 29, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
Hechinger is really the best example of one of these "evidence-based" reformers who don't understand what "evidence" means.

(Scott is afraid of me, so blocks me, but I assume most followers can click through to his tweets.)
Aug 19, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
declining TFR != declining population. Indeed, declining TFR makes emigration more attractive ceteris paribus! And if first-gen is more likely to be conservative than second-gen, you want to dilute the influence of the woke second-geners... (That, ofc., granting the premise that second-gen east Asians are ideologically woke, as opposed to just doing what SES says they should. Will have to dig into that)
Aug 19, 2022 13 tweets 7 min read
I've seen a couple variations on this point (I just happen to know @herandrews @njhochman), i.e. that Asian's Democratic preference is durable across a long time period. The thing is, that's not perfectly accurate. 🧵 It's hard to discern how Asians voted prior to the early '90s, because they were too small a group to show up in polls. But they seemed to lean right. The first and third Asian Senators, Hiram Fong and the infamously conservative S. I. Hayakawa, were conservatives.
Aug 17, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
why would a minimum wage buy an average rent seems like you'd expect a minimum wage to buy something below the average rent