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Jul 12 • 31 tweets • 15 min read
⚾ MLB DINGER REPORT - 7/12
Betting on home runs today? Don't scroll past this thread! Every pick is backed by advanced stats from my home run model! Yesterday it helped cash...
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(STL vs ATL) Brendan Donovan
Donovan leads today's slate with an exceptional 43.9 home run matchup rating while facing Nathan Wiles at home in St. Louis. His recent contact work shows quality barrel production - 13.9% barrel percentage, solid 36.1% hard hit percentage, and steady 103.1 mph exit velocity over his last two weeks. Donovan has connected for 8 home runs this season with 6 coming against right-handed pitching, creating solid splits against Wiles who has literally zero home run exposure with 0 HR/9 and 0.0% HR/FB across just 1 inning pitched. The right-handed pitcher has also allowed zero home runs to left-handed batters this season, but his complete lack of major league exposure suggests tremendous regression potential for Donovan's quality contact to exploit. The weather shows potential rain delays but outfield wind conditions should assist both batters with substantial distance, creating favorable atmospheric conditions for Donovan's solid fundamentals despite environmental considerations.
