Slide by the Dutch CDC: scenarios for the coming months.
1. B117 used as a weapon towards quick #HerdImmunity through schools.
2. Don't count on acces to hospitals until May.
3. The Netherlands is now a bioweapon factory for the world: extreme circulation during vaccination. Left: lots of vaccines, reduce transmission
Middle: lots of vaccines, no impact on transmission
Right: no vaccines.

Top: current control package. Second row: with primary schools + final secondary open.

The magenta is the spread of scenarios.

The start point is already bad.

So now we know in more detail what we've argued all year long. Everyone said we were exaggerating. It was actually worse than we thought.

1. Containment was a real option. It was hidden from view. Mitigation was chosen, then presented as inevitable.
⬇️ 2. Mitigation was called "controlled free run" between ministries, which became "maximum control" in official communication, a meaningless propaganda term.

3. The authorities knew very well that the measures were looser than in other countries.

Notice a pattern? Only in Sweden, the UK and the Netherlands is explicit cost-utility analysis (CUA) the basis of decision making on medical interventions. Our key thread👇

english.zorginstituutnederland.nl/binaries/zinl-… Allow us to explain.

Healthcare is very expensive. In most countries the government needs to make difficult choices which come down to rationing of care.

Rationing is most visible with reimbursement of medicines. Inevitably, expensive drugs with few benefits are kept out.