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There is an artificial cap requiring 60% of agencies to report in a given quarter. Only 52.5% of agencies (9,881 of 18,818) reported data for Q4 2021. That's up only 780 agencies relative to Q3 2021 and down 3,093 agencies relative to Q4 2020.
Big city trends tend to overstate national trends, so a 5% increase in murder in big cities tends to mean a 2-3% increase nationally. But this year we have no idea what will happen with the national figure.


Decent evidence of a plateau developing a little more than a week ago in the cases by date of test data. 

https://twitter.com/qjurecic/status/1331593786368122884the brigades are in position behind the rail fence, the guns are laid and ready in the woods and the furled flags are already loosened to break out and Pickett himself with his long oiled ringlets and his hat in one hand probably and his sword in the other looking up the hill


Orleans Parish reported 2 new deaths after going 11 straight days without a new death. 
Seeing evidence of a plateau in Orleans Parish, not so much yet statewide. 