Jeff Asher Profile picture
Not here much anymore. Find me: Email: JAsher@ahdatalytics.com Substack: https://t.co/wfkJyG1GT7 Bluesky: @jeffasher.bsky.social Web: https://t.co/UlK6Tq5kHW
Mar 21, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
The FBI reported today that they will not be releasing quarterly crime estimates for any quarter of 2021 because not enough agencies reported data to the FBI. There is an artificial cap requiring 60% of agencies to report in a given quarter. Only 52.5% of agencies (9,881 of 18,818) reported data for Q4 2021. That's up only 780 agencies relative to Q3 2021 and down 3,093 agencies relative to Q4 2020.
Dec 29, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read
Final national murder update of 2020:

Murder up 36.7% in 57 agencies with data through at least September (though most have data through November). Murder up in 51 of 57, 37 of 58 agencies reporting murder up more than 30%.

Spreadsheet here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… Big city trends tend to overstate national trends, so a 5% increase in murder in big cities tends to mean a 2-3% increase nationally. But this year we have no idea what will happen with the national figure.
Nov 25, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read
Louisiana reported 1,023 additional cases today with 7.3% of tests (PCR only) positive.

Orleans Parish reported 64 additional cases today with 3.6% of tests positive.

May be more evidence of a plateau coming though still too early to tell for sure. Decent evidence of a plateau developing a little more than a week ago in the cases by date of test data.

If we have a bad backlog right now that might be skewing things though.
Nov 25, 2020 5 tweets 1 min read
"For every Southern boy fourteen years old, not once but whenever he wants it, there is the instant when it’s still not yet two o’clock on that July afternoon in 1863 the brigades are in position behind the rail fence, the guns are laid and ready in the woods and the furled flags are already loosened to break out and Pickett himself with his long oiled ringlets and his hat in one hand probably and his sword in the other looking up the hill
Nov 24, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
Louisiana reported 2,120 additional cases today with 6.4% of tests positive (PCR only).

Orleans Parish reported 134 additional cases today with 1.5% of tests positive.

Definite plateau in Orleans PCR testing, maybe starting to see it statewide but too early to say for sure. Orleans Parish reported 2 new deaths after going 11 straight days without a new death.

Deaths statewide are starting to surge again.
Nov 23, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
Louisiana reported 970 additional cases today with 9.5% of (PCR only) tests positive.

Orleans Parish reported 54 additional cases today with 2.8% of tests positive.

That's the highest % positive statewide since July 30 though weird things happen on Mondays. Image Seeing evidence of a plateau in Orleans Parish, not so much yet statewide. ImageImage