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CyFi Profile picture
CyFi
@CyFi10
Pandemic updates || insight | breaking news || macroeconomics | geopolitics | markets | disasters | conflicts | science | climate | technology | OSINT
Apr 4 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
BREAKING: The CDC reports Florida, Maine, and Nevada have record high Flu Like Illness visits for this time of year.
US Flu Like Illness visits are the highest since 2020 for this time of year.ILI ACTIVITY BY STATE TEXAS IS ONLY PARTIALLY REPORTING SO THE TEXAS RECORD IS LIKELY TO BE REVISED DOWN NEXT WEEK. IF IT HOLDS, IT'S THE HIGHEST INCREASE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ALSO.
ILI ACTIVITY BY REGION
ILI ACTIVITY BY STATE
ILI ACTIVITY YOY - US The Texas record shown above is likely because only partial reporting in Texas this week. It's likely to be revised significantly when fully reported.
2/COVID WASTEWATER TRENDS. WEST UP SLIGHTLY THIS WEEK.
COVID EPI TRENDS.
COVID WASTEWATER LEVELS BY STATE
ARI MAP. HIGH BASELINE USED.
Mar 14 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
BREAKING: The CDC reports Flu Like Illness visits since October are still the worst in over 28 years, and likely in at least 50 years.Cumulative Flu Like Illness visits by year. Denominators inside bars. Total weeks adjusted in 53 year seasons. This season is the highest of all time by more points than last week. 2019-2020 hits 2nd place due to the Covid outbreak.
Flu Like Illness Visits by state for week ending Mar 8. Multiple states at seasonal records.
ILI regional map. One region in western NY is at the highest category.
NY state was revised to PURPLE, the highest category for the previous week after hiding the data last week. Burying the lede, the CDC reports 20 new pediatric deaths for a total of 134 this season.Image
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COVID WASTEWATER LEVELS BY STATE
Mar 10 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
BREAKING: Walgreens reports the highest SARS-2 positivity since Jan 11.
22 states have increases.Walgreens Covid Pos rates by state - Highest shown here.
Walgreens Covid Pos map
Covid pos rates and tests by day - rolling avg
Flu vs Covid in lower right 2/Image
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Feb 24 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
NEW: Walgreens reports the largest February SARS-CoV-2 positivity increase since 2020. 9.9% > 12%.Image
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 Covid is now more prevalent than Flu in this datasetImage
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Feb 14 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
BREAKING: Flu-like illness hits all-time record for 2nd week in a row!
Flu positivity up for 17th week in a row!
OH, MI, MA, NH at all-time records since 2010!
New England at 2nd highest since 1997!ILI RATES BY STATE
HIGH ILI WEEKS OF ALL TIME SINCE 1997
ARI MAP
ILI REGIONAL MAP Last week
Feb 7 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
UPDATE: US Flu Like Illness hit an ALL TIME RECORD over 28 yrs
Flu positivity up 16 consecutive weeks to 31.6%.
FL, MI, MA, NH at all time records over 15 yrs.ILI MAP
ILI ACTIVITY BY STATE
ARI MAP
US NATIONAL HIGHEST ILI OF ALL TIME WITH DATA TO 1997. 2/
 This season, 6 out of 9 Census regions have records in the top 15. Notably, none of them are at all time records.
New England has a 2nd place spot this week with peak 2009 flu epidemic still ahead.CENSUS REGION MAP
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Feb 3 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
ICYMI: The CDC on Friday reported extraordinary data with the most VERY HIGH states I have ever seen on the ARI map.
Influenza-Like-Illness is the highest since 2018, and the 2nd highest for the entire dataset going back to 1998 on a year over year basis.
South Carolina is in especially bad shape.Image
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Jan 24 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
NEW: The CDC reports COVID is rising in 9 states, echoing the Walgreens report on Monday.

The CDC reports FLU positivity of 25%, a new season high, and the 14th consecutive increase.Image
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 Covid positivity by HHS region here
Jan 13 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
BREAKING: ILI activity, which includes FLU, COVID, and other pathogens, HIT AN ALL TIME PANDEMIC HIGH for the week ending January 4.

The CDC reports an increase in flu positivity for the week ending January 4 to 18.6%.

This release was delayed from Friday, and just released today.Image
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 2025 was worse than every year going back to 1998 except for 2000. Image
Jan 13 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
BREAKING: Walgreens reports the highest amount of COVID testing since September on Jan 8.

As of Jan 12, US COVID positivity is 13.2%, the lowest since November 30.

Walgreens reports the largest 1 week drop in Positivity since October 31.
THREAD:
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 Source: walgreens.com/healthcare-sol…Image
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Dec 27, 2024 • 23 tweets • 10 min read
BREAKING: The CDC releases Influenza-Like-Illness map with several jurisdictions PURPLE, including Los Angeles county, Orange county, Portland, Oregon region, Nashville, TN region, Louisiana, and Birmingham, AL regionImage
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Oct 4, 2024 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
CDC UPDATE: ILI ACTIVITY REPORT LISTED BELOW.
🚨SIGNIFICANTLY WORSE THAN PRE-COVD.
TREND IS TRACKING WITH THE DELTA WAVE.

FLU POSITIVITY IS ONLY 0.543, SO THE EXCESS IS ALL COVID
🧵 Image Last week was revised upward, which happens nearly every week.
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Sep 27, 2024 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
BREAKING: The CDC releases updated virus positivity rates, and ILI activity data with a 6 day lag.

Covid positivity is down in all HHS regions except 10 (WA, AK, OR, ID) which saw a small increase.
SARS-CoV-2 positivity is shown ih the 4th image.
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Image ILI activity is 141% higher than 2008, a year with comparable Flu positivity to present.

Flu positivity is the lowest since 2020. Image
Sep 3, 2024 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
COVID UPDATE: The Walgreens Covid index is indicating a NEW Summer 2023-2024 testing RECORD HIGH of 14.3k tests on August 28, with testing at the highest rate since Summer 2022!

The positivity rate is ~11x higher than the pandemic all time record low of June 18, 2021.

The positivity rate is has declined for the 4th week in a row, and is the lowest since June 20th. 🧵Image
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Image Not shown: IDAHO 17.9% positivity rate
States in white not statistically significant OR no change.
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Aug 20, 2024 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
BREAKING: Walgeens Covid data is showing a NEW Summer season 2023-2024 testing RECORD high, the highest since 2022 Summer when tests were highly subsidized.
Colorado hit a 2024 RECORD positivity high on Aug 16.
Positivity data is showing a steady dropping pattern for the 2nd week in a row.
Positivity is the lowest since July 2, and has dropped 3.5% from the August 6 high.
Testing is the highest since March 4.
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Aug 16, 2024 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
UPDATE: For the first time during this Summer Covid wave, ILI (influenza like illness) activity EXCEEDS 2022 year over year as reported in this week's CDC report.

ILI activity for the week ending Aug 3 in 2024 is 112% worse than 2019.
For the week ending Aug 10 it is 100% worse now than in 2019.

The CDC revised upward by ~5.7% LAST weeks ILI activity! This is the highest upward revision I have reported since began tracking ILI this year.

Last week I reported ages 25+ were more adversely affected more than ages 0-24.

This is hard evidence that the population as a whole are MUCH worse off now than the same period in 2019.
🧵Image 2/ The latest week is below Image
Aug 13, 2024 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
BREAKING: Walgreens Covid data is showing a new summer 2023-2024 testing record high on August 11 of over 12k tests, the highest during summer since 2022. Data is updated to Monday, August 12 showing a positive rate of 38.3% the lowest since July 5. NEW data shown below. 🧵Image
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Image Walgreens updated data to Monday today.Image
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Aug 12, 2024 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
BREAKING: Walgreens Covid data is reporting a NEW PANDEMIC ALL TIME RECORD POSITIVITY HIGH of 40.5% on August 6 when excluding weeks with under 9k tests.
A new summer testing high was reached with 11.2k tests done, and testing is still trending higher. This is the highest testing rate during summer since 2022! Data shows the latest positivity rate of 39.4% as of August 8.Image
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Image Not shown: Idaho 21.4%Image
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Aug 5, 2024 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
UPDATE: As of August 4, Walgreens is reporting COVID testing positivity of 40.2% which is ONLY .3% lower than the 40.5% hit on July 18 *AND* TESTING HIT A NEW SUMMER HIGH OF OVER 10.5K! The peak may still be yet to come according to this report. 🧵Image
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Jul 19, 2024 • 154 tweets • 48 min read
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Jul 15, 2024 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
UPDATE: WALGREENS COVID TESTING DATA IS SHOWING THE LARGEST 1 DAY INCREASE IN TESTING SINCE JANUARY 8, 2024 (EXCLUDING HOLIDAY PERIODS) PRIOR TO THE INCREASE, POSITIVITY HIT 40.4% IN THIS WEEKS DATA, THE HIGHEST SINCE SEPTEMBER 6, 2023. AS OF YESTERDAY, POSITIVITY IS 39.2%, THE FIRST DECREASE AFTER 10 WEEKS OF INCREASES. TESTING IS THE HIGHEST SINCE APRIL 1, THE HIGHEST SINCE THE SUMMER WAVE BEGAN.Image
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